Nagoya Grampus vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2026

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 3

Full Time

V-Varen Nagasaki

Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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Nagoya Grampus vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League .

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Yuzo Sutani

11 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 12 games · Avg 2.7 goals V-Varen Nagasaki

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–3 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-09-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–4 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-05-12 V-Varen Nagasaki 3–0 Nagoya Grampus 2018-02-10 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 V-Varen Nagasaki 2017-09-09 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	V-Varen Nagasaki	H	1–3	L
15 Feb	Gamba Osaka	A	0–0	D
08 Feb	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	1–0	W
06 Dec	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–0	W
30 Nov	FC Machida Zelvia	A	1–3	L
08 Nov	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–1	L

V-Varen Nagasaki

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Nagoya Grampus	A	3–1	W
13 Feb	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L
06 Feb	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–3	L
01 Dec	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	4–4	D
24 Nov	Gamba Osaka	A	1–2	L
10 Nov	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		V-Varen Nagasaki
#3	Position	#9
31	Points	21
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	7 / 0 / 11
46	Scored	25
44	Conceded	33
+2	GD	-8
1.72	PPG	1.17
56%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

17% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

V-Varen Nagasaki

0-15

–/3

16-30

4/3

31-45

3/3

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/2

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. V-Varen Nagasaki kicks off things out of here…
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for V-Varen Nagasaki players.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Musashi Suzuki	4
Musashi Suzuki	4
Keita Nakamura	3
Keita Nakamura	3
Jo	2
Jo	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Naoki Maeda	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2026-02-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–3 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-02-15 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2026-02-08 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2025-12-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-11-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-11-08 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L

V-Varen Nagasaki Form

2026-02-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–3 V-Varen Nagasaki W 2026-02-13 Vissel Kobe 2–0 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-02-06 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2018-12-01 V-Varen Nagasaki 4–4 Shimizu S-Pulse D 2018-11-24 Gamba Osaka 2–1 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2018-11-10 V-Varen Nagasaki 0–1 Yokohama F·Marinos L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.93 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.63 V-Varen Nagasaki xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or V-Varen Nagasaki 74% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus42% Draw26% V-Varen Nagasaki32%

Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.56

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

67%

Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki

58%

Nagoya Grampus or V-Varen Nagasaki

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus34% Draw40% V-Varen Nagasaki26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.8%

2 – 1

8.4%

1 – 2

2 – 2

6.7%

2 – 0

5.4%

3 – 1

5.3%

1 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 0

4.2%

0 – 1

0 – 2

3.8%

1 – 3

Actual

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	V-Varen Nagasaki covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	13%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	19%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	16%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.