V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Peace Stadium.
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | FC Tokyo | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 5–4 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | FC Mito Holly Hock | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #5 |
| 21 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 25 | Scored | 61 |
| 33 | Conceded | 53 |
| -8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/3
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
–/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/–
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Matheus Jesus | 3 G |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 2 G |
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 2 G | 1 A |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G | |
| Asahi Uenaka | 1 G | |
| Welton | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Peace Stadium will turn into a battlefield for V-Varen Nagasaki and Gamba Osaka.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' Tokuma Suzuki, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' Gamba Osaka has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. V-Varen Nagasaki and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 36' Ryo Hatsuse is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
- 41' V-Varen Nagasaki currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 46' Shunya Yoneda is replacing Keita Takahata for the V-Varen Nagasaki side.
- 50' Masahiro Sekiguchi makes way for Matheus Jesus at the 50 minute mark. A tactical switch from V-Varen Nagasaki.
- 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 60' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Hijiri Onaga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 61' The referee has no hesitation. Hotaru Yamaguchi is booked for V-Varen Nagasaki — card on 61.
- 66' Kenshin Yasuda gets the nod from V-Varen Nagasaki. He replaces Thiago Santana and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' Poor challenge from Kanta Doi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 68' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 68 minute. Tokuma Suzuki leaves to be changed by Yuki Yoshihara.
- 73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 410 games and scored 381 goals.
- 75' The whistle greets Kanta Doi as he departs to be replaced by Yusei Egawa.
- 79' Kenshin Yasuda adds to his 1 season tally! V-Varen Nagasaki lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 82' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Ryo Hatsuse is replaced by Shinya Nakano on 82 minute.
- 84' A goal from the Brazil international Matheus Jesus! He fires home on 84 to make it 2-0!
- 89' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 90' Deniz Hummet doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- It finishes all square. V-Varen Nagasaki and Gamba Osaka share the spoils 2-2.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
9
Thiago Santana ↓ Kenshin Yasuda 66'
- 50
- 5
- 1
- 8
-
17
Keita Takahata ↓ Shunya Yoneda 46'
-
31
Kanta Doi ↓ Yusei Egawa 75'
-
24
Riku Yamada ↓ Diego Pituca 66'
- 41
- 3
Bench
-
23
Shunya Yoneda ↑ 46'
- 19
-
10
Matheus Jesus ↑ 50'
-
21
Diego Pituca ↑ 66'
- 13
-
6
Yusei Egawa ↑ 75'
- 11
- 39
-
7
Kenshin Yasuda ↑ 66'
Coach
Takuya Takagi
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Ryo Hatsuse ↓ Shinya Nakano 82'
-
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Issam Jebali 46'
- 8
- 4
- 67
- 13
- 22
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Yuki Yoshihara 68'
- 20
-
37
Naru Nakatsumi ↓ Deniz Hummet 46'
- 19
Bench
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 46'
-
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 82'
- 2
-
23
Deniz Hummet ↑ 46'
- 18
- 35
-
32
Yuki Yoshihara ↑ 68'
- 48
Coach
Tomokazu Myojin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Deniz Hummet | 2 |
| Matheus Jesus | 2 |
| Issam Jebali | 1 |
| Hijiri Onaga | 1 |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 1 |
| Shogo Nakahara | 1 |
| Keita Nakamura | 1 |
| Hijiri Onaga | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.24
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.62
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 82%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 4.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
57%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
65%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Gamba Osaka
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
6%
2 – 3
5.6%
1 – 1
5.3%
2 – 1
5.1%
1 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 4
3.7%
1 – 4
3.3%
0 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 10% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 15% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 17% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 14% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

