Saturday , 17 October 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026-27
Wed 2 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC Peace Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kenshin Yasuda 79' 1–0
Matheus Jesus 84' 2–0
2–1 90' Deniz Hummet
2–2 90+4' Issam Jebali

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Peace Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Gamba Osaka H 2–2 D
29 Aug FC Tokyo H 0–3 L
21 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 2–4 L
15 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–1 L
23 May Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–1 L
17 May Vissel Kobe H 5–4 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep V-Varen Nagasaki A 2–2 D
29 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–0 D
22 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 1–3 L
15 Aug FC Mito Holly Hock A 1–1 D
24 May Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
10 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–1 L

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki Gamba Osaka
#9 Position #5
21 Points 28
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
25 Scored 61
33 Conceded 53
-8 GD +8
1.17 PPG 1.56
39% Win % 56%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
11% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/3
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
–/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/–
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
Matheus Jesus 3 G
Tenmu Matsumoto 2 G
Kenshin Yasuda 2 G
Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Peace Stadium will turn into a battlefield for V-Varen Nagasaki and Gamba Osaka.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' Tokuma Suzuki, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' Gamba Osaka has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. V-Varen Nagasaki and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 36' Ryo Hatsuse is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
  • 41' V-Varen Nagasaki currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' Shunya Yoneda is replacing Keita Takahata for the V-Varen Nagasaki side.
  • 50' Masahiro Sekiguchi makes way for Matheus Jesus at the 50 minute mark. A tactical switch from V-Varen Nagasaki.
  • 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 60' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Hijiri Onaga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 61' The referee has no hesitation. Hotaru Yamaguchi is booked for V-Varen Nagasaki — card on 61.
  • 66' Kenshin Yasuda gets the nod from V-Varen Nagasaki. He replaces Thiago Santana and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 66' Poor challenge from Kanta Doi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 68' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 68 minute. Tokuma Suzuki leaves to be changed by Yuki Yoshihara.
  • 73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 410 games and scored 381 goals.
  • 75' The whistle greets Kanta Doi as he departs to be replaced by Yusei Egawa.
  • 79' Kenshin Yasuda adds to his 1 season tally! V-Varen Nagasaki lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Ryo Hatsuse is replaced by Shinya Nakano on 82 minute.
  • 84' A goal from the Brazil international Matheus Jesus! He fires home on 84 to make it 2-0!
  • 89' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 90' Deniz Hummet doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • It finishes all square. V-Varen Nagasaki and Gamba Osaka share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.24 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.62 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki35% Draw22% Gamba Osaka43%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes82% 0% No18%
Avg goals/match: 4.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 85%
15%
± 3.5 70%
30%
± 4.5 52%
48%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
57%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
65%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Gamba Osaka
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki29% Draw34% Gamba Osaka37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
6%
2 – 3
5.6%
1 – 1
5.3%
2 – 1
5.1%
1 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 4
3.7%
1 – 4
3.3%
0 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 10% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 15% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 17% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 14% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.