Saturday , 17 October 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026-27
Sun 6 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+7' Ryohei Shirasaki
Hiroki Mochizuki 55' 1–1
1–2 75' Alexandre Pisano
1–3 90+7' Yusuke Matsuo

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Sep FC Machida Zelvia H 1–3 L
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–3 L
29 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC H 2–1 W
22 Aug Gamba Osaka H 3–1 W
15 Aug Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L
23 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 3–1 W
02 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 2–1 W
29 Aug FC Mito Holly Hock A 1–1 D
23 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 3–1 W
15 Aug JEF United Ichihara Chiba A 4–0 W
22 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus FC Machida Zelvia
#3 Position #13
31 Points 37
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 13 / 0 / 5
46 Scored 42
44 Conceded 33
+2 GD +9
1.72 PPG 2.06
56% Win % 72%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
25% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
3/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A
FC Machida Zelvia
Yuki Soma 3 G 3 A
Koki Ogawa 3 G
Hotaka Nakamura 2 G 1 A
Tete Yengi 2 G 1 A
Takuma Nishimura 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.78 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37 FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus28% Draw22% FC Machida Zelvia50%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
49%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
72%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Machida Zelvia
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus25% Draw37% FC Machida Zelvia38%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4%
1 – 4
3.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 14% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 19% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.