Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
9 games this season
🟨 5.1/game
⚽ 17.0 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 May | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 6–5 | W |
| 06 May | FC Mito Holly Hock | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 May | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–6 | L |
| 10 May | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Kashima Antlers | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #3 |
| 45 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 15 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 40 | Scored | 46 |
| 20 | Conceded | 44 |
| +20 | GD | +2 |
| 2.50 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 83% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
0-15
4/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/7
61-75
4/–
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
| Leo Ceara | 13 G | |
| Aleksandar Cavric | 7 G | 1 A |
| Elber | 3 G | 2 A |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 G | 2 A |
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Kashima Soccer Stadium!
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' Kashima Antlers seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yudai Kimura made 171 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 22' Assisted by Yan Santos with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leo Ceara makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 25' Kento Misao picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ikuma Sekigawa suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' Kashima Antlers have won 485 goals from 456 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 43' Kashima Antlers make a change. Yan Santos trudges off to be replaced by Yuta Matsumura on 43 minutes.
- 45' Poor challenge from Yuma Suzuki. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Yuki Nogami exits the field as Shuhei Tokumoto enters on 46.
- 48' The referee has no hesitation. Leo Ceara is booked for Kashima Antlers — card on 48.
- 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 54' Naomichi Ueda is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 55' Naomichi Ueda puts Nagoya Grampus on the lead.
- 60' Kashima Antlers started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 60.
- 65' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mihailo Petrović might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 69' Time for substitution for Kashima Antlers. Matheus Bueno is replaced by Gaku Shibasaki.
- 74' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Yuya Asano on, Ryuji Izumi off on 74 minutes.
- 77' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
- 82' Kashima Antlers is showing some good football. However, Kashima Antlers are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 87' The whistle greets Yudai Kimura as he departs to be replaced by Kensuke Nagai.
- 88' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Teruki Hara by Yota Sato on 88 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Kashima Antlers to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Kashima Antlers Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Aleksandar Cavric 69'
-
18
Yan Santos ↓ Yuta Matsumura 43'
- 7
- 55
- 6
-
40
Yuma Suzuki ↓ Homare Tokuda 88'
- 5
- 37
-
8
Matheus Bueno ↓ Gaku Shibasaki 69'
- 1
-
30
Minato Yoshida ↓ Haruki Hayashi 46'
Bench
-
10
Gaku Shibasaki ↑ 69'
-
77
Aleksandar Cavric ↑ 69'
-
27
Yuta Matsumura ↑ 43'
- 21
- 23
- 3
-
34
Homare Tokuda ↑ 88'
- 35
-
24
Haruki Hayashi ↑ 46'
Coach
Toru Oniki
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Shuhei Tokumoto 46'
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Asano 74'
-
70
Teruki Hara ↓ Yota Sato 88'
- 31
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Mateus 46'
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↓ Kensuke Nagai 87'
- 35
Bench
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 87'
- 14
-
10
Mateus ↑ 46'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 74'
- 19
-
3
Yota Sato ↑ 88'
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↑ 46'
- 41
- 36
Coach
Mihailo Petrović
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hayato Nakama | 4 |
| Shoma Doi | 3 |
| Mateus | 3 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Homare Tokuda | 2 |
| Tomoya Inukai | 2 |
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers Form
2026-08-15
Kashima Antlers
3–1
Nagoya Grampus
W
2026-05-23
Kashima Antlers
1–0
FC Tōkyō
W
2026-05-17
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
0–2
Kashima Antlers
W
2026-05-10
Yokohama F·Marinos
5–6
Kashima Antlers
W
2026-05-06
Kashima Antlers
3–0
FC Mito Holly Hock
W
2026-05-03
Kashima Antlers
1–1
FC Machida Zelvia
D
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.8
Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Kashima Antlers to win 71% + Over 2.5 goals 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Kashima Antlers or Draw
88%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
29%
Kashima Antlers or Nagoya Grampus
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.3%
4 – 0
5.7%
4 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 0
3.4%
5 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers
| Handicap | Kashima Antlers covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -2 | 33% | 20% | 46% |
| -1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| -1 | 54% | 20% | 26% |
| -0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.