V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus, 2018
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jumpei Iida
- Referee Masashi Yamagiwa
- Referee Shoji Akisawa
- Referee Keigo Sendachi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 05 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 02 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 0–3 | L |
| 07 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 May | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #3 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 25 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| -8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
–/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Matheus Jesus | 3 G |
| Thiago Santana | 3 G |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! V-Varen Nagasaki welcome Nagoya Grampus for this crunch clash at .
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. V-Varen Nagasaki needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' It’s high time Yahiro Kazama made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yosuke Akiyama suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' V-Varen Nagasaki are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
- 35' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 40' V-Varen Nagasaki currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 45' It looks surprising V-Varen Nagasaki does not make any changes. Ikki Arai has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 50' Mitch Langerak is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 55' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 60' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 65' Both keepers have barely been tested. V-Varen Nagasaki and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 443 games and scored 402 goals.
- 75' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 80' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 85' Masato Kurogi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 192 appearances.
- 90' The home supporters are growing impatient. V-Varen Nagasaki must find a spark to ignite this game.
- The final score is 3-0.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
- 5
- 4
- 32
-
20
Keita Nakamura ↓ Shu Hiramatsu 85'
-
3
Ryutaro Iio ↓ Yuki Kagawa 87'
- 28
- 17
- 10
-
9
Juanma ↓ Musashi Suzuki 71'
- 19
Bench
- 1
- 39
- 6
- 27
-
37
Shu Hiramatsu ↑ 85'
-
11
Musashi Suzuki ↑ 71'
-
24
Yuki Kagawa ↑ 87'
Coach
Takuya Takagi
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 3
- 5
-
23
Ryota Aoki ↓ Ryuji Izumi 61'
- 6
- 10
- 14
- 9
- 7
- 37
-
8
Cezar Washington ↓ Keiji Tamada 74'
Bench
- 16
-
41
Yukinari Sugawara ↑ 46'
-
29
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 61'
-
28
Keiji Tamada ↑ 74'
- 32
- 39
- 2
Coach
Yahiro Kazama
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Musashi Suzuki | 4 |
| Musashi Suzuki | 4 |
| Keita Nakamura | 3 |
| Keita Nakamura | 3 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Thiago Santana | 2 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
2018-05-12
V-Varen Nagasaki
3–0
Nagoya Grampus
W
2018-05-06
Cerezo Osaka FC
4–1
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2018-05-05
Cerezo Osaka FC
3–1
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2018-05-02
Kashima Antlers
2–1
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2018-04-29
V-Varen Nagasaki
0–1
Kashima Antlers
L
2018-04-28
V-Varen Nagasaki
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
V-Varen Nagasaki or Nagoya Grampus 74% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
70%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
57%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Nagoya Grampus
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
Actual
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

