Monday , 12 October 2026

Spain vs Italy, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

European Championship · 2024
Spain
1 – 0
Full Time
Italy
Thu 20 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Veltins-Arena 49,528 HT 45' · FT 45'
Riccardo Calafiori og 55' 1–0
Y 15' Gianluigi Donnarumma
Rodri 45' Y
Y 46' Bryan Cristante
Robin Le Normand 69' Y
Dani Carvajal 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Spain vs Italy — European Championship at Veltins-Arena.

  • Spain 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
  • Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
9 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Head-to-Head

1
3
3
Spain 7 games · Avg 3.1 goals Italy
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-20 Spain 1–0 Italy 2021-07-06 Italy 5–3 Spain 2018-04-02 Italy 2–1 Spain 2017-08-26 Spain 2–2 Italy 2017-04-17 Spain 1–1 Italy

Recent Form

Spain
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jun Italy H 1–0 W
15 Jun Croatia H 3–0 W
06 Dec Morocco A 0–3 L
01 Dec Japan A 1–2 L
27 Nov Germany H 1–1 D
23 Nov Costa Rica H 7–0 W
Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jun Spain A 0–1 L
15 Jun Albania H 2–1 W
11 Jul England H 4–3 W
06 Jul Spain H 5–3 W
02 Jul Belgium A 2–1 W
26 Jun Austria H 2–1 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Spain this season
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Spain
Dani Olmo 3 G 2 A
Fabian Ruiz 2 G 2 A
Nico Williams 2 G 1 A
Alvaro Morata 1 G
Dani Carvajal 1 G
Italy
Nicolo Barella 1 G
Alessandro Bastoni 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Veltins-Arena that hosts another battle between Spain and Italy.
  • 5' Spain has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 10' Italy come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' The referee shows Italy player a card on 15.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' Spain currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' The 26-year-old Andrea Cambiaso has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' Rodri is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' The referee has no hesitation. Bryan Cristante is booked for Italy — card on 46.
  • 46' Another change for Italy made on 46 minute. Jorginho leaves to be changed by Bryan Cristante.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 55' Riccardo Calafiori is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 60' The travelling Italy supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 64' The whistle greets Federico Chiesa as he departs to be replaced by Mattia Zaccagni.
  • 69' Robin Le Normand catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 69.
  • 71' Spain manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alex Baena is hanging Pedri on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' It looks surprising Spain does not make any changes. Pedri has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 78' Spain ring the changes. Nico Williams has done his job and it is now time for Ayoze Perez to step up.
  • 82' Giacomo Raspadori is replacing Lorenzo Pellegrini for the Italy side.
  • 87' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Spain team. Fabian Ruiz is replaced by Mikel Merino on 90 minute.
  • 90' Dani Carvajal catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Spain take all three points.

Lineups

Spain Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Italy Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Italy xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spain46% Draw28% Italy26%
Actual: Spain win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Spain or Draw
74%
Draw or Italy
54%
Spain or Italy
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Spain33% Draw47% Italy20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Spain

Handicap Spain covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Spain keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Italy keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.