Thursday , 2 July 2026

Spain vs Italy, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

European Championship · 2024
Spain
1 – 0
Full Time
Italy
Thu 20 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Veltins-Arena 49,528 HT 45' · FT 45'
Riccardo Calafiori og 55' 1–0
Y 15' Gianluigi Donnarumma
Rodri 45' Y
Y 46' Bryan Cristante
Robin Le Normand 69' Y
Dani Carvajal 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Spain vs Italy — European Championship at Veltins-Arena.

  • Spain 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
  • Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
18 games this season 🟨 3.1/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Head-to-Head

1
3
3
Spain 7 games · Avg 3.1 goals Italy
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-20 Spain 1–0 Italy 2021-07-06 Italy 5–3 Spain 2018-04-02 Italy 2–1 Spain 2017-08-26 Spain 2–2 Italy 2017-04-17 Spain 1–1 Italy

Recent Form

Spain
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jun Italy H 1–0 W
15 Jun Croatia H 3–0 W
06 Dec Morocco A 0–3 L
01 Dec Japan A 1–2 L
27 Nov Germany H 1–1 D
23 Nov Costa Rica H 7–0 W
Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jun Spain A 0–1 L
15 Jun Albania H 2–1 W
11 Jul England H 4–3 W
06 Jul Spain H 5–3 W
02 Jul Belgium A 2–1 W
26 Jun Austria H 2–1 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Spain this season
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Spain
Dani Olmo 3 G 2 A
Fabian Ruiz 2 G 2 A
Nico Williams 2 G 1 A
Alvaro Morata 1 G
Dani Carvajal 1 G
Italy
Nicolo Barella 1 G
Alessandro Bastoni 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Veltins-Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Italy needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' The referee calls foul for Gianluigi Donnarumma. He receives a card.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Italy is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' Italy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lamine Yamal, as he is very good at scoring at Veltins-Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 40' Spain is showing some good football. However, Spain are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rodri on 45.
  • 46' That looks like a foul for a card for Bryan Cristante.
  • 46' Italy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bryan Cristante is hanging Jorginho on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' Goal! Riccardo Calafiori scores his 8 goal in 527 matches.
  • 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lorenzo Pellegrini made 527 appearances and scored 47 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Mattia Zaccagni. He replaces Federico Chiesa on 64 minute.
  • 69' That looks like a foul for a card for Robin Le Normand.
  • 71' Spain manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alex Baena is hanging Pedri on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 78' The Spain manager makes a substitution. Nico Williams departs to be replaced by Ayoze Perez.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Giacomo Raspadori. He replaces Lorenzo Pellegrini on 82 minute.
  • 87' Spain is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Spain. Fabian Ruiz is replaced by Mikel Merino.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Dani Carvajal.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Italy.

Lineups

Spain Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Italy Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Italy xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spain46% Draw28% Italy26%
Actual: Spain win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Spain or Draw
74%
Draw or Italy
54%
Spain or Italy
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Spain33% Draw47% Italy20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Spain

Handicap Spain covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Spain keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Italy keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.