Spain vs Croatia, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Spain vs Croatia — European Championship at Olympiastadion.
Match Details
- Referee Michael Oliver
- Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
- Assistant 2 Dan Cook
23 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 12.2 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Spain this season
Spain this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Croatia this season
Croatia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Croatia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Spain
| Dani Olmo | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2 G | 2 A |
| Nico Williams | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 G | |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 G |
Croatia
| Andrej Kramaric | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Olympiastadion. Spain are looking to make home advantage count against Croatia.
- 5' Croatia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' The 29-year-old Unai Simon has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' Spain are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Croatia's 4-3-3 shape.
- 20' It looks surprising Croatia does not make any changes. Marcelo Brozovic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Spain is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 29' What composure from Alvaro Morata! The Spain international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 32' Magnificent from Fabian Ruiz! That is 37 goals in 520 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Josip Stanisic, as he is very good at scoring at Olympiastadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 42' Lovro Majer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 47' GOAL! Dani Carvajal fires home to make it 3-0!
- 52' It is a cagey affair so far. Spain in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Croatia's compact 4-3-3.
- 56' Ante Budimir makes way for Ivan Perisic at the 56 minute mark. A tactical switch from Croatia.
- 59' Time for substitution for Spain. Pedri is replaced by Dani Olmo.
- 64' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 65' Croatia make a change. Luka Modric trudges off to be replaced by Luka Sucic on 65 minutes.
- 68' Another substitution for Spain to replace Alvaro Morata by Mikel Oyarzabal on 68 minute.
- 72' Bruno Petkovic is replacing Andrej Kramaric for the Croatia side.
- 77' The travelling Croatia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 78' The referee calls foul for Rodri. He receives a card.
- 83' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 86' Time for substitution for Spain. Lamine Yamal is replaced by Ferran Torres.
- It finishes all square. Spain and Croatia share the spoils 3-0.
Lineups
Spain Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Mikel Oyarzabal 68'
-
16
Rodri ↓ Martin Zubimendi 86'
- 23
- 4
- 2
- 24
- 8
- 3
- 20
-
17
Nico Williams ↓ Mikel Merino 68'
-
19
Lamine Yamal ↓ Ferran Torres 86'
Bench
- 14
- 26
- 9
- 1
-
11
Ferran Torres ↑ 86'
-
6
Mikel Merino ↑ 68'
- 22
- 13
- 5
-
10
Dani Olmo ↑ 59'
- 12
-
18
Martin Zubimendi ↑ 86'
-
21
Mikel Oyarzabal ↑ 68'
- 15
- 25
Croatia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↓ Mario Pasalic 65'
- 9
-
10
Luka Modric ↓ Luka Sucic 65'
-
16
Ante Budimir ↓ Ivan Perisic 56'
- 11
- 1
- 7
- 3
- 4
- 6
- 2
Bench
- 19
-
15
Mario Pasalic ↑ 65'
-
14
Ivan Perisic ↑ 56'
- 20
- 5
- 21
-
17
Bruno Petkovic ↑ 72'
- 13
- 22
- 23
- 18
-
25
Luka Sucic ↑ 65'
- 26
- 24
- 12
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alvaro Morata | 3 |
| Mario Pasalic | 1 |
| Mislav Orsic | 1 |
| Pedri | 1 |
| Azpilicueta | 1 |
| Nikola Kalinic | 1 |
| Ferran Torres | 1 |
| Ivan Perisic | 1 |
Head to Head
Spain Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.12
Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Croatia xG
I would bet for:
Spain to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Spain win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Spain or Draw
82%
Draw or Croatia
41%
Spain or Croatia
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Spain win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.6%
4 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Spain
| Handicap | Spain covers | Push | Croatia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 23% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Croatia keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.