Spain vs Croatia, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Spain vs Croatia — European Championship at Olympiastadion.
Match Details
- Referee Michael Oliver
- Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
- Assistant 2 Dan Cook
19 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 9.5 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Spain this season
Spain this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Croatia this season
Croatia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Croatia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Spain
| Dani Olmo | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2 G | 2 A |
| Nico Williams | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 G | |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 G |
Croatia
| Andrej Kramaric | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Croatia gets underway.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Croatia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Spain is showing some good football. However, Spain are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Croatia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 29' What a strike from Alvaro Morata! The score is 1-0.
- 32' GOAL! Fabian Ruiz scores on 32. Assisted by Pedri
- 37' Mario Pasalic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 42' It looks surprising Croatia does not make any changes. Nico Williams has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 47' GOAL! Dani Carvajal scores on 45. Assisted by Lamine Yamal
- 52' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' Ivan Perisic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ante Budimir on 56 minute.
- 59' Dani Olmo is replacing Pedri for the Spain side.
- 64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ante Budimir made 228 appearances and scored 85 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 65' Luka Sucic is replacing Luka Modric for the Croatia side.
- 68' It is a substitution in Spain team. Alvaro Morata is replaced by Mikel Oyarzabal on 68 minute.
- 72' Bruno Petkovic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Andrej Kramaric on 72 minute.
- 77' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 78' Spain receives a card for a hard tackle on 78.
- 83' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Spain winning 100% of all matches.
- 86' Ferran Torres is replacing Lamine Yamal for the Spain side.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Croatia.
Lineups
Spain Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Mikel Oyarzabal 68'
-
16
Rodri ↓ Martin Zubimendi 86'
- 23
- 4
- 2
- 24
- 8
- 3
- 20
-
17
Nico Williams ↓ Mikel Merino 68'
-
19
Lamine Yamal ↓ Ferran Torres 86'
Bench
- 14
- 26
- 9
- 1
-
11
Ferran Torres ↑ 86'
-
6
Mikel Merino ↑ 68'
- 22
- 13
- 5
-
10
Dani Olmo ↑ 59'
- 12
-
18
Martin Zubimendi ↑ 86'
-
21
Mikel Oyarzabal ↑ 68'
- 15
- 25
Croatia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↓ Mario Pasalic 65'
- 9
-
10
Luka Modric ↓ Luka Sucic 65'
-
16
Ante Budimir ↓ Ivan Perisic 56'
- 11
- 1
- 7
- 3
- 4
- 6
- 2
Bench
- 19
-
15
Mario Pasalic ↑ 65'
-
14
Ivan Perisic ↑ 56'
- 20
- 5
- 21
-
17
Bruno Petkovic ↑ 72'
- 13
- 22
- 23
- 18
-
25
Luka Sucic ↑ 65'
- 26
- 24
- 12
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alvaro Morata | 3 |
| Ferran Torres | 1 |
| Ivan Perisic | 1 |
| Mikel Oiarzabal | 1 |
| Pablo Sarabia | 1 |
| Nikola Kalinic | 1 |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 |
| Ivan Perisic | 1 |
Head to Head
Spain Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.12
Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Croatia xG
I would bet for:
Spain to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Spain win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Spain or Draw
82%
Draw or Croatia
41%
Spain or Croatia
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Spain win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.6%
4 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Spain
| Handicap | Spain covers | Push | Croatia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 23% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Croatia keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.