Sunday , 16 August 2026

Italy vs Albania, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

European Championship · 2024
Italy
2 – 1
Full Time
Albania
Sat 15 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park 60,512 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Nedim Bajrami
Alessandro Bastoni 11' 1–1
Nicolo Barella 16' 2–1
Lorenzo Pellegrini 21' Y
Riccardo Calafiori 51' Y
Y 51' Armando Broja
Y 74' Arber Hoxha

Overview

Match Preview

Italy vs Albania — European Championship at Signal Iduna Park.

  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Albania 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
16 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Italy 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Albania
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-15 Italy 2–1 Albania

Recent Form

Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jun Albania H 2–1 W
11 Jul England H 4–3 W
06 Jul Spain H 5–3 W
02 Jul Belgium A 2–1 W
26 Jun Austria H 2–1 W
20 Jun Wales H 1–0 W
Albania
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jun Italy A 1–2 L
05 May AS Roma H 2–2 D
28 Apr FC Porto A 0–1 L
21 Apr Valencia CF H 2–0 W
14 Apr FC Schalke 04 A 3–2 W
10 Apr SSC Napoli A 0–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season
0% Clean Sheets
Albania this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Albania
0-15
2/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Italy
Nicolo Barella 1 G
Alessandro Bastoni 1 G
Albania
Qazim Laci 1 G
Klaus Gjasula 1 G
Nedim Bajrami 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Italy welcome Albania for this crunch clash at Signal Iduna Park.
  • 1' The deadlock is broken! Nedim Bajrami gets on the scoresheet on 1 minutes.
  • 6' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 11' Against the run of play, Alessandro Bastoni has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 16' Sensational shot from Nicolo Barella. Italy is back in the lead.
  • 21' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lorenzo Pellegrini.
  • 26' Giovanni Di Lorenzo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 38 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 36' The home supporters are growing impatient. Italy must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 41' Italy is showing some good football. However, Italy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 51' Controversy at the stadium! Riccardo Calafiori argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 56' The travelling Albania supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 61' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kristjan Asllani, as he is very good at scoring at Signal Iduna Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 66' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Albania! Arber Hoxha comes on to replace Jasir Asani.
  • 73' The 22-year-old Mario Mitaj has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 74' Controversy at the stadium! Arber Hoxha argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Albania — Rey Manaj on, Armando Broja off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Italy are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Albania backline.
  • 83' Gianluca Scamacca makes way for Mateo Retegui at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Italy.
  • 87' The Albania manager makes a substitution. Nedim Bajrami departs to be replaced by Ernest Muci.
  • 90' The Italy manager makes a substitution. Nicolo Barella departs to be replaced by Michael Folorunsho.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Italy players.

Lineups

Italy Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Albania Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Albania xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Italy54% Draw24% Albania22%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Italy or Draw
78%
Draw or Albania
46%
Italy or Albania
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Italy37% Draw44% Albania19%
Actual: Italy win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Italy

Handicap Italy covers Push Albania covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Italy keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Albania keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.