Thursday , 2 July 2026

Italy vs Albania, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

European Championship · 2024
Italy
2 – 1
Full Time
Albania
Sat 15 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park 60,512 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Nedim Bajrami
Alessandro Bastoni 11' 1–1
Nicolo Barella 16' 2–1
Lorenzo Pellegrini 21' Y
Riccardo Calafiori 51' Y
Y 51' Armando Broja
Y 74' Arber Hoxha

Overview

Match Preview

Italy vs Albania — European Championship at Signal Iduna Park.

  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Albania 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
35 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
Italy 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Albania
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-15 Italy 2–1 Albania

Recent Form

Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jun Albania H 2–1 W
11 Jul England H 4–3 W
06 Jul Spain H 5–3 W
02 Jul Belgium A 2–1 W
26 Jun Austria H 2–1 W
20 Jun Wales H 1–0 W
Albania
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jun Italy A 1–2 L
05 May AS Roma H 2–2 D
28 Apr FC Porto A 0–1 L
21 Apr Valencia CF H 2–0 W
14 Apr FC Schalke 04 A 3–2 W
10 Apr SSC Napoli A 0–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season
0% Clean Sheets
Albania this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Albania
0-15
2/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Italy
Nicolo Barella 1 G
Alessandro Bastoni 1 G
Albania
Qazim Laci 1 G
Klaus Gjasula 1 G
Nedim Bajrami 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Signal Iduna Park that hosts another battle between Italy and Albania.
  • 1' Nedim Bajrami puts Albania on the lead.
  • 6' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 6 minutes.
  • 11' GOAL! Alessandro Bastoni scores on 11. Assisted by Lorenzo Pellegrini
  • 16' Sensational shot from Nicolo Barella. Italy is back in the lead.
  • 21' Lorenzo Pellegrini is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
  • 26' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gianluca Scamacca, as he is very good at scoring at Signal Iduna Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 31' Riccardo Calafiori needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 36' Italy is showing some good football. However, Italy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 41' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' It looks surprising Italy does not make any changes. Armando Broja has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 51' Riccardo Calafiori was booked on 51.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Italy winning 100% of all matches.
  • 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Albania that had 100 games and scored 5 goals.
  • 66' Mario Mitaj has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 68' Another change for Albania made on 68 minute. Jasir Asani leaves to be changed by Arber Hoxha.
  • 73' Italy is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 74' Arber Hoxha was booked on 74.
  • 77' Rey Manaj is replacing Armando Broja for the Albania side.
  • 82' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 83' The whistle greets Gianluca Scamacca as he departs to be replaced by Mateo Retegui.
  • 87' Ernest Muci is replacing Nedim Bajrami for the Albania side.
  • 90' Another change for Italy made on 90 minute. Nicolo Barella leaves to be changed by Michael Folorunsho.
  • Full Time. Italy beats Albania

Lineups

Italy Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Albania Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Albania xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Italy54% Draw24% Albania22%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Italy or Draw
78%
Draw or Albania
46%
Italy or Albania
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Italy37% Draw44% Albania19%
Actual: Italy win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Italy

Handicap Italy covers Push Albania covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Italy keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Albania keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.