Sunday , 16 August 2026

Italy vs Spain, European Championship 2021 SEMI FINAL

European Championship · 2021
Italy
5 – 3
4 – 2 pen
Full Time
Spain
Tue 6 Jul 2021 · 19:00 UTC Wembley HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 51' Busquets
Rafael Toloi 98' Y
Leonardo Bonucci 118' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Italy vs Spain — European Championship at Wembley.

  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Spain 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Referee Sergey Karasev
  • Referee Christian Dingert

Head-to-Head

3
3
1
Italy 7 games · Avg 3.1 goals Spain
Last 5 meetings
2021-07-06 Italy 5–3 Spain 2018-04-02 Italy 2–1 Spain 2017-08-26 Spain 2–2 Italy 2017-04-17 Spain 1–1 Italy 2016-10-21 Italy 1–1 Spain

Recent Form

Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jul Spain H 5–3 W
02 Jul Belgium A 2–1 W
26 Jun Austria H 2–1 W
20 Jun Wales H 1–0 W
16 Jun Switzerland H 3–0 W
11 Jun Turkey A 3–0 W
Spain
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jul Italy A 3–5 L
02 Jul Switzerland A 4–2 W
28 Jun Croatia A 5–3 W
23 Jun Slovakia A 5–0 W
19 Jun Poland H 1–1 D
14 Jun Sweden H 0–0 D

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season
43% Clean Sheets
Spain this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Italy
Nicolo Barella 1 G
Alessandro Bastoni 1 G
Spain
Dani Olmo 3 G 2 A
Fabian Ruiz 2 G 2 A
Nico Williams 2 G 1 A
Alvaro Morata 1 G
Dani Carvajal 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Wembley. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Italy and Spain.
  • 5' Italy are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Spain's shape.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Giorgio Chiellini, as he is very good at scoring at Wembley with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' Ferran Torres has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 30' Spain started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' Spain come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 45' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 51' Spain receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 51.
  • 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 60' Federico Chiesa is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 61' Domenico Berardi gets the nod from Italy. He replaces Ciro Immobile and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 62' Another substitution for Italy to replace Ciro Immobile by Domenico Berardi on 62 minute.
  • 67' Italy is showing some good football. However, Italy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Gerard Moreno. He replaces Mikel Oiarzabal on 70 minute.
  • 74' Italy make a change. Marco Verratti trudges off to be replaced by Matteo Pessina on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Italy currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 80' Alvaro Morata doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 85' Italy ring the changes. Nicolo Barella has done his job and it is now time for Manuel Locatelli to step up.
  • 90' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Enrique might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 5-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Italy Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Roberto Mancini

Spain Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Enrique

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.01 Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 Spain xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Italy49% Draw22% Spain29%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Italy or Draw
71%
Draw or Spain
51%
Italy or Spain
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Italy34% Draw39% Spain27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted
5 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.6%
1 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Italy

Handicap Italy covers Push Spain covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 19% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 16% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Italy keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Spain keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.