Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Italy vs Spain, European Championship 2021 SEMI FINAL

European Championship · 2021
Italy
5 – 3
4 – 2 pen
Full Time
Spain
Tue 6 Jul 2021 · 19:00 UTC Wembley HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 51' Busquets
Rafael Toloi 98' Y
Leonardo Bonucci 118' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Italy vs Spain — European Championship at Wembley.

  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Spain 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Referee Sergey Karasev
  • Referee Christian Dingert

Head-to-Head

3
3
1
Italy 7 games · Avg 3.1 goals Spain
Last 5 meetings
2021-07-06 Italy 5–3 Spain 2018-04-02 Italy 2–1 Spain 2017-08-26 Spain 2–2 Italy 2017-04-17 Spain 1–1 Italy 2016-10-21 Italy 1–1 Spain

Recent Form

Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jul Spain H 5–3 W
02 Jul Belgium A 2–1 W
26 Jun Austria H 2–1 W
20 Jun Wales H 1–0 W
16 Jun Switzerland H 3–0 W
11 Jun Turkey A 3–0 W
Spain
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jul Italy A 3–5 L
02 Jul Switzerland A 4–2 W
28 Jun Croatia A 5–3 W
23 Jun Slovakia A 5–0 W
19 Jun Poland H 1–1 D
14 Jun Sweden H 0–0 D

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season
43% Clean Sheets
Spain this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Italy
Nicolo Barella 1 G
Alessandro Bastoni 1 G
Spain
Dani Olmo 3 G 2 A
Fabian Ruiz 2 G 2 A
Nico Williams 2 G 1 A
Alvaro Morata 1 G
Dani Carvajal 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Wembley. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nicolo Barella made 420 appearances and scored 30 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Italy currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Italy and Spain are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' It looks surprising Spain does not make any changes. Pau Torres has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' Italy are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Italy must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 50' Italy are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Spain backline.
  • 51' Poor challenge from Busquets. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 56' A quiet spell here at Wembley. Italy seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 60' Magnificent from Federico Chiesa! That is 54 goals in 458 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 61' The whistle greets Ciro Immobile as he departs to be replaced by Domenico Berardi.
  • 62' Italy make a change. Ciro Immobile trudges off to be replaced by Domenico Berardi on 62 minutes.
  • 67' Ciro Immobile has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Spain. Mikel Oiarzabal is replaced by Gerard Moreno.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Italy — Matteo Pessina on, Marco Verratti off on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 80' Against the run of play, Alvaro Morata has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 85' The Italy bench stirs into life. Nicolo Barella is withdrawn and Manuel Locatelli gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Over 90 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Italy take all three points.

Lineups

Italy Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Roberto Mancini

Spain Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Enrique

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.01 Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 Spain xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Italy49% Draw22% Spain29%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Italy or Draw
71%
Draw or Spain
51%
Italy or Spain
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Italy34% Draw39% Spain27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted
5 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.6%
1 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Italy

Handicap Italy covers Push Spain covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 19% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 16% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Italy keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Spain keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.