Belgium vs Italy, European Championship 2021 QUARTER FINAL
Overview
Match Preview
Belgium vs Italy — European Championship at Fussball Arena Munich.
Match Details
- Referee Fernando Rapallini
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Referee Slavko Vincic
- Referee Tomaz Klancnik
- Referee Andraz Kovacic
- Referee Marco Fritz
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Belgium this season
Belgium this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Belgium
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Belgium vs Italy — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Roberto Martínez might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 13' Against the run of play, Leonardo Bonucci has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 18' It is a cagey affair so far. Belgium in their trying to find a way past Italy's compact .
- 20' The referee has no hesitation. Marco Verratti is booked for Italy — Yellow card on 20.
- 21' It’s a booking for Belgium player. Youri Tielemans gets a Yellow card.
- 26' Belgium are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Italy backline.
- 31' Nicolo Barella adds to his 2 season tally! Italy lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 36' Belgium started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
- 41' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 41 minutes.
- 44' Lorenzo Insigne is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 47' What a moment for Romelu Lukaku! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 52' Italy is showing some good football. However, Italy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 57' The home supporters are growing impatient. Belgium must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 69' The whistle greets Youri Tielemans as he departs to be replaced by Dries Mertens.
- 70' Dries Mertens is replacing Youri Tielemans for the Belgium side.
- 73' Time for substitution for Belgium. Nacer Chadli is replaced by Dennis Praet.
- 74' Dennis Praet has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nacer Chadli on 74 minute.
- 79' The supporters are chanting for Domenico Berardi. He replaces Lorenzo Insigne on 79 minute.
- 84' Belgium is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 89' Axel Witsel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Domenico Berardi on 90.
- 90' The crowd applauds Federico Chiesa as he leaves the pitch. Rafael Toloi steps in for Italy.
- The points are shared — Belgium 1-2 Italy. Honours even.
Lineups
Belgium Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 5
- 2
- 9
-
8
Youri Tielemans ↓ Dries Mertens 69'
-
15
Thomas Meunier ↓ Nacer Chadli 69'
- 6
- 16
- 3
- 1
- 25
Bench
- 20
- 19
-
22
Nacer Chadli ↑ 69'
- 18
- 13
- 23
-
14
Dries Mertens ↑ 69'
- 26
- 4
- 11
- 24
- 12
Coach
Roberto Martínez
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 6
- 19
- 3
- 18
- 10
-
4
Leonardo Spinazzola ↓ Emerson 79'
- 21
-
14
Federico Chiesa ↓ Rafael Toloi 90'
-
17
Ciro Immobile ↓ Andrea Belotti 74'
- 2
Bench
-
13
Emerson ↑ 79'
- 20
- 26
-
25
Rafael Toloi ↑ 90'
- 12
-
16
Bryan Cristante ↑ 74'
- 1
-
9
Andrea Belotti ↑ 74'
- 15
- 5
-
11
Domenico Berardi ↑ 79'
- 23
Coach
Roberto Mancini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Emanuele Giaccherini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Emanuele Giaccherini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Romelu Lukaku | 1 |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
| Nicolo Barella | 1 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 1 |
Head to Head
Belgium Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.09
Belgium xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Belgium or Italy 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Belgium or Draw
61%
Draw or Italy
69%
Belgium or Italy
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
10.8%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Belgium
| Handicap | Belgium covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Belgium keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.