Thursday , 2 July 2026

Belgium vs Italy, European Championship 2021 QUARTER FINAL

1 2
Full Time
Fri 2 Jul 2021 · 19:00 UTC Fussball Arena Munich HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Belgium vs ItalyEuropean Championship at Fussball Arena Munich.

  • Belgium 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Fernando Rapallini
  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Referee Tomaz Klancnik
  • Referee Andraz Kovacic
  • Referee Marco Fritz

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jul Italy H 1–2 L
27 Jun Portugal H 1–0 W
21 Jun Finland A 2–0 W
17 Jun Denmark A 2–1 W
12 Jun Russia H 3–0 W
14 Jul England H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jul Belgium A 2–1 W
26 Jun Austria H 2–1 W
20 Jun Wales H 1–0 W
16 Jun Switzerland H 3–0 W
11 Jun Turkey A 3–0 W
05 May Royal Standard de Liege A 0–0 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Belgium this season
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Belgium
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Belgium and Italy get this one started.
  • 5' Italy is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 13' What a moment for Leonardo Bonucci! That strike on 13 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 18' The home supporters are growing impatient. Belgium must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' It’s a booking for Italy player. Marco Verratti gets a Yellow card.
  • 21' A meaty challenge results in booking for Youri Tielemans on 21.
  • 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
  • 31' A stunning finish from Nicolo Barella — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 36' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 41' Italy international Lorenzo Insigne has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 44' GOAL! Lorenzo Insigne fires home to make it 0-3!
  • 47' Romelu Lukaku has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 52' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 57' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 62' It is a cagey affair so far. Belgium in their trying to find a way past Italy's compact .
  • 67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Belgium needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Belgium team. Youri Tielemans is replaced by Dries Mertens on 69 minute.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Belgium team. Youri Tielemans is replaced by Dries Mertens on 70 minute.
  • 73' The Belgium bench stirs into life. Nacer Chadli is withdrawn and Dennis Praet gets his opportunity.
  • 74' Dennis Praet has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nacer Chadli on 74 minute.
  • 79' Another substitution for Italy to replace Lorenzo Insigne by Domenico Berardi on 79 minute.
  • 84' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 89' Andrea Belotti has been relatively quiet despite scoring 81 goals in his last 428 appearances.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Domenico Berardi on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Italy will be frustrated.
  • 90' Italy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rafael Toloi is hanging Federico Chiesa on the field on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.09 Belgium xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Italy xG
I would bet for: Belgium or Italy 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Belgium31% Draw30% Italy39%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Belgium or Draw
61%
Draw or Italy
69%
Belgium or Italy
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Belgium22% Draw51% Italy27%
Actual: Italy win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
10.8%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Belgium

Handicap Belgium covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Belgium keeps clean sheet
29%
Italy keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.