Belgium vs Italy, European Championship 2021 QUARTER FINAL
Overview
Match Preview
Belgium vs Italy — European Championship at Fussball Arena Munich.
Match Details
- Referee Fernando Rapallini
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Referee Slavko Vincic
- Referee Tomaz Klancnik
- Referee Andraz Kovacic
- Referee Marco Fritz
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Belgium this season
Belgium this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Belgium
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Belgium and Italy get this one started.
- 5' Italy is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 13' What a moment for Leonardo Bonucci! That strike on 13 puts his side firmly in control.
- 18' The home supporters are growing impatient. Belgium must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' It’s a booking for Italy player. Marco Verratti gets a Yellow card.
- 21' A meaty challenge results in booking for Youri Tielemans on 21.
- 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
- 31' A stunning finish from Nicolo Barella — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 36' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 41' Italy international Lorenzo Insigne has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 44' GOAL! Lorenzo Insigne fires home to make it 0-3!
- 47' Romelu Lukaku has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 52' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 57' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 62' It is a cagey affair so far. Belgium in their trying to find a way past Italy's compact .
- 67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Belgium needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 69' It is a substitution in Belgium team. Youri Tielemans is replaced by Dries Mertens on 69 minute.
- 70' It is a substitution in Belgium team. Youri Tielemans is replaced by Dries Mertens on 70 minute.
- 73' The Belgium bench stirs into life. Nacer Chadli is withdrawn and Dennis Praet gets his opportunity.
- 74' Dennis Praet has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nacer Chadli on 74 minute.
- 79' Another substitution for Italy to replace Lorenzo Insigne by Domenico Berardi on 79 minute.
- 84' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 89' Andrea Belotti has been relatively quiet despite scoring 81 goals in his last 428 appearances.
- 90' A moment of madness from Domenico Berardi on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Italy will be frustrated.
- 90' Italy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rafael Toloi is hanging Federico Chiesa on the field on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Belgium Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 5
- 2
- 9
-
8
Youri Tielemans ↓ Dries Mertens 69'
-
15
Thomas Meunier ↓ Nacer Chadli 69'
- 6
- 16
- 3
- 1
- 25
Bench
- 20
- 19
-
22
Nacer Chadli ↑ 69'
- 18
- 13
- 23
-
14
Dries Mertens ↑ 69'
- 26
- 4
- 11
- 24
- 12
Coach
Roberto Martínez
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 6
- 19
- 3
- 18
- 10
-
4
Leonardo Spinazzola ↓ Emerson 79'
- 21
-
14
Federico Chiesa ↓ Rafael Toloi 90'
-
17
Ciro Immobile ↓ Andrea Belotti 74'
- 2
Bench
-
13
Emerson ↑ 79'
- 20
- 26
-
25
Rafael Toloi ↑ 90'
- 12
-
16
Bryan Cristante ↑ 74'
- 1
-
9
Andrea Belotti ↑ 74'
- 15
- 5
-
11
Domenico Berardi ↑ 79'
- 23
Coach
Roberto Mancini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Emanuele Giaccherini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Romelu Lukaku | 1 |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
| Nicolo Barella | 1 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 1 |
| Emanuele Giaccherini | 1 |
Head to Head
Belgium Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.09
Belgium xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Belgium or Italy 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Belgium or Draw
61%
Draw or Italy
69%
Belgium or Italy
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
10.8%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Belgium
| Handicap | Belgium covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Belgium keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.