Spain vs Italy, 2017

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League Two 2017/18 · 2017

Spain

2 – 2

Full Time

Italy

Sat 26 Aug 2017 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Spain vs Italy — Premier League .

Spain 0 games · 0 pts
Italy 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Spain 2.40

Draw 3.40

Italy 3.20

Head-to-Head

Spain 7 games · Avg 3.1 goals Italy

Last 5 meetings

2017-08-26 Spain 2–2 Italy 2017-04-17 Spain 1–1 Italy 2016-10-21 Italy 1–1 Spain 2016-06-27 Italy 2–0 Spain

Recent Form

Spain

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Aug	Italy	H	2–2	D
19 Aug	Switzerland	A	1–2	L
12 Aug	Sweden	H	2–0	W
05 Aug	Ukraine	A	2–2	D
06 May	Penistone Church FC	A	2–2	D
29 Apr	RSC Anderlecht	H	0–1	L

Italy

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Aug	Spain	A	2–2	D
19 Aug	Wales	H	3–0	W
12 Aug	Belgium	A	0–1	L
05 Aug	Austria	H	8–2	W
06 May	Hungary	H	3–1	W
29 Apr	Switzerland	A	4–1	W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Spain is hosting Italy for another epic battle.
will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Spain Lineups

Italy Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Giorgio Chiellini	1
Graziano Pelle	1
Giorgio Chiellini	1
Graziano Pelle	1
Alvaro Morata	1
Federico Chiesa	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.33 Spain xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.29 Italy xG

I would bet for: Spain or Italy 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Spain37% Draw29% Italy34%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.62

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Spain or Draw

66%

Draw or Italy

63%

Spain or Italy

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Spain27% Draw48% Italy25%

Actual: Spain win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.4%

0 – 0

9.3%

1 – 0

8.7%

0 – 1

8.3%

2 – 1

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 0

6.3%

0 – 2

5.9%

2 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

3.6%

1 – 3

3.3%

3 – 0

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Spain

Handicap	Spain covers	Push	Italy covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	19%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	19%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Spain keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Italy keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.