Spain vs Italy, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Spain Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Giorgio Chiellini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Giorgio Chiellini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
| Federico Chiesa | 1 |
Spain Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 3
1.13
Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Spain or Italy 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Spain or Draw
67%
Draw or Italy
63%
Spain or Italy
70%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
10.6%
1 – 0
10.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Spain
| Handicap | Spain covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.