Italy vs Spain, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr | Spain | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Wales | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Mar | Belgium | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Blyth Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Mar | Northern Ireland | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Mar | Switzerland | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Spain Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
| Federico Chiesa | 1 |
| Giorgio Chiellini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Giorgio Chiellini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.53
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Spain xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
78%
Draw or Spain
48%
Italy or Spain
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Spain win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Spain covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Spain keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.