Saturday , 14 November 2026

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Hamburger SV
2 – 2
Full Time
FC Bayern München
Sat 31 Jan 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
10 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 9 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 21
3 SC Freiburg 9 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 16
6 SV Werder Bremen 9 15
7 SV 07 Elversberg 9 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 12
9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 12
12 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 10
13 SC Paderborn 07 9 10
14 FC Augsburg 9 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 9
16 1. FC Union Berlin 9 7
17 FC Schalke 04 9 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 4

Head-to-Head

1
1
Hamburger SV 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals FC Bayern München
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München 2025-09-13 FC Bayern München 5–0 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D
10 Jan SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
20 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
13 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
FC Bayern München
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan Hamburger SV A 2–2 D
28 Jan PSV A 2–1 W
24 Jan FC Augsburg H 1–2 L
21 Jan Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 2–0 W
17 Jan RB Leipzig A 5–1 W
14 Jan 1. FC Köln A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Hamburger SV FC Bayern München
#11 Position #1
12 Points 21
9 Played 9
4 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 3 / 0
10 Scored 29
20 Conceded 9
-10 GD +20
1.33 PPG 2.33
44% Win % 67%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Hamburger SV are 11th (12 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Hamburger SV
Miro Muheim 3 G 1 A
Yussuf Poulsen 2 G
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 6 G 3 A
Harry Kane 4 G 7 A
Luis Diaz 4 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 3 G
Ismael Saibari 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Hamburger SV gets underway.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.96 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.29 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + FC Bayern München to win 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV16% Draw18% FC Bayern München66%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 4.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
34%
Draw or FC Bayern München
84%
Hamburger SV or FC Bayern München
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV9% Draw30% FC Bayern München61%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 3
8.5%
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 3
7.9%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 4
6.8%
1 – 4
6.5%
1 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 5
4.5%
1 – 5
4.3%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% — 98%
-1 2% 5% 93%
-0.5 7% — 93%
+0.5 20% — 80%
+1 20% 17% 63%
+1.5 37% — 63%
+2 37% 20% 43%
+2.5 57% — 43%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
5% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
39% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.