Italy vs England, European Championship 2021 FINAL
Overview
Match Preview
Italy vs England — European Championship at Wembley.
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Referee Carlos del Cerro
- Referee Bjorn Kuipers
- Referee Sander van Roekel
- Referee Erwin Zeinstra
- Referee Pol van Boekel
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
29%
Clean Sheets
England this season
England this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
England
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
England
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Jude Bellingham | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Wembley as Italy face off against England in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 2' Luke Shaw has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 2 minutes.
- 3' A goal from the England international Luke Shaw! He fires home on 3 to make it 0-2!
- 8' It looks like no one’s ball. England is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 13' Italy currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 18' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 23' The 36-year-old Jordan Henderson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 28' England is showing some good football. However, England are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 33' The energy levels are beginning to show. Roberto Mancini might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alessandro Florenzi, as he is very good at scoring at Wembley with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Giovanni Di Lorenzo suffering a number of foals already.
- 47' The referee has no hesitation. Nicolo Barella is booked for Italy — Yellow card on 47.
- 52' Federico Chiesa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 54' Italy ring the changes. Nicolo Barella has done his job and it is now time for Bryan Cristante to step up.
- 55' Domenico Berardi is replacing Ciro Immobile for the Italy side.
- 55' The referee shows Italy player a Yellow card on 55.
- 60' It looks surprising Italy does not make any changes. Giorgio Chiellini has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 65' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 67' Leonardo Bonucci doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 70' Another change for England made on 70 minute. Kieran Trippier leaves to be changed by Bukayo Saka.
- 71' England manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bukayo Saka is hanging Kieran Trippier on the field on 71 minute.
- 74' Jordan Henderson gets the nod from England. He replaces Declan Rice and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Italy needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 84' That is a Yellow card for Italy. Lorenzo Insigne will be fuming at that decision.
- 86' Federico Bernardeschi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Federico Chiesa on 86 minute.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Giorgio Chiellini.
- 4-3 the final result. England will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
13
Emerson ↓ Alessandro Florenzi 118'
- 6
- 19
- 3
- 18
- 10
- 21
- 14
- 17
- 2
Bench
-
20
Federico Bernardeschi ↑ 86'
- 26
- 25
- 12
-
24
Alessandro Florenzi ↑ 118'
-
16
Bryan Cristante ↑ 54'
- 1
-
9
Andrea Belotti ↑ 91'
- 15
-
5
Manuel Locatelli ↑ 96'
-
11
Domenico Berardi ↑ 55'
- 23
Coach
Roberto Mancini
England Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 1
-
2
Kyle Walker ↓ Jadon Sancho 120'
- 5
- 10
-
12
Kieran Trippier ↓ Bukayo Saka 70'
- 9
- 3
-
4
Declan Rice ↓ Jordan Henderson 74'
-
19
Mason Mount ↓ Jack Grealish 99'
- 14
Bench
-
8
Jordan Henderson ↑ 74'
- 23
- 13
- 15
- 18
- 11
- 16
-
7
Jack Grealish ↑ 99'
- 24
-
17
Jadon Sancho ↑ 120'
-
25
Bukayo Saka ↑ 70'
- 26
Coach
Gareth Southgate
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luke Shaw | 2 |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.99
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
England xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
73%
Draw or England
50%
Italy or England
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: England win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | England covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
England keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.