Spain vs Italy, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE
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Overview
Match Preview
Spain vs Italy — European Championship at Veltins-Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Slavko Vincic
- Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
- Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
15 games this season 🟨 3.1/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game 🟥 4 totalHead-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history43% Clean Sheets
Spain this season0% Clean Sheets
Italy this seasonGoal Timing (This Season)
Spain0-151/116-303/–31-453/–46-603/–61-751/176+3/1■ Scored ■ ConcededItaly0-151/116-301/–31-45–/146-60–/261-75–/–76+1/–■ Scored ■ ConcededTop Scorers (This Season)
SpainDani Olmo 3 G 2 A Fabian Ruiz 2 G 2 A Nico Williams 2 G 1 A Alvaro Morata 1 G Dani Carvajal 1 G ItalyNicolo Barella 1 G Alessandro Bastoni 1 G -
Events
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Lineups
Spain Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
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7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Mikel Oyarzabal 78'
- 14
- 16
- 23
- 2
- 24
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8
Fabian Ruiz ↓ Mikel Merino 90'
- 3
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20
Pedri ↓ Alex Baena 71'
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17
Nico Williams ↓ Ayoze Perez 78'
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19
Lamine Yamal ↓ Ferran Torres 71'
Bench
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26
Ayoze Perez ↑ 78'
- 9
- 1
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11
Ferran Torres ↑ 71'
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6
Mikel Merino ↑ 90'
- 22
- 13
- 5
- 4
- 10
- 12
- 18
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21
Mikel Oyarzabal ↑ 78'
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15
Alex Baena ↑ 71'
- 25
Italy Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 7
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8
Jorginho ↓ Bryan Cristante 46'
- 9
- 18
- 10
- 1
- 14
- 23
- 3
- 2
- 5
Bench
- 12
- 13
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20
Mattia Zaccagni ↑ 64'
- 26
- 17
- 22
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16
Bryan Cristante ↑ 46'
- 15
- 4
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19
Mateo Retegui ↑ 64'
- 21
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11
Giacomo Raspadori ↑ 82'
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24
Andrea Cambiaso ↑ 46'
- 25
- 6
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7
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Giorgio Chiellini 1 Graziano Pelle 1 Giorgio Chiellini 1 Graziano Pelle 1 Alvaro Morata 1 Federico Chiesa 1 Head to Head
Spain Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.54 Spain xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.07 Italy xGI would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Spain winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.61Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 91% 9% ± 1.5 74% 26% ± 2.5 48% 52% ± 3.5 27% 73% ± 4.5 13% 87% Double Chance
Spain or Draw 74%Draw or Italy 54%Spain or Italy 72%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 13%1 – 0 Actual0 – 0 9.3%2 – 1 9%2 – 0 8.5%0 – 1 6.8%1 – 2 6.2%2 – 2 4.9%3 – 1 4.7%3 – 0 4.3%0 – 2 4.1%3 – 2 2.6%Asian Handicap — Spain
Handicap Spain covers Push Italy covers -2.5 10% — 90% -2 10% 14% 76% -1.5 24% — 76% -1 24% 22% 53% -0.5 47% — 53% +0.5 75% — 25% +1 75% 15% 10% +1.5 90% — 10% +2 90% 7% 3% +2.5 97% — 3% Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet 35% ✗Italy keeps clean sheet 22% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.