Thursday , 2 July 2026

Santos FC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 1
Full Time
Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Urbano Caldeira HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Santos FC vs Grêmio FBPASerie A at Urbano Caldeira.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Grêmio FBPA H 1–1 D
28 Sep RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
21 Sep Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
14 Sep CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
31 Aug Fluminense FC H 0–0 D
24 Aug EC Bahia A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Santos FC A 1–1 D
28 Sep EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
24 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
21 Sep SC Internacional A 3–2 W
13 Sep Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Santos FC Grêmio FBPA
#15 Position #16
21 Points 21
18 Played 18
5 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
26 Scored 20
29 Conceded 23
-3 GD -3
1.17 PPG 1.17
28% Win % 28%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Santos FC are 15th (21 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Santos FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/4
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 7 G 2 A
Neymar 4 G 2 A
Alvaro Barreal 3 G
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Urbano Caldeira that hosts another battle between Santos FC and Grêmio FBPA.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Grêmio FBPA looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Carlos Vinicius scoring 2 goals.
  • 17' Joao Schmidt is having his name booked by the referee on 17.
  • 22' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 27' Marlon is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Grêmio FBPA so far.
  • 32' Gabriel Brazao has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Arthur on 37.
  • 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' Another change for Santos FC made on 46 minute. Joao Schmidt leaves to be changed by Tiquinho Soares.
  • 51' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 51.
  • 56' Against the run of play, Edenilson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 59' Franco Cristaldo gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Edenilson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 64' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Arthur has done his job and it is now time for Alex Santana to step up.
  • 69' Igor Vinicius is replacing Mayke for the Santos FC side.
  • 72' The referee has no hesitation. Gonzalo Escobar is booked for Santos FC — card on 72.
  • 77' Igor Vinicius picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 78' Another change for Santos FC made on 78 minute. Benjamin Rollheiser leaves to be changed by Robson Junior.
  • 79' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Alysson has done his job and it is now time for Alexander Aravena to step up.
  • 82' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Alex Santana gets a card.
  • 87' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 89' What a strike from Lautaro Diaz! The score is 1-1.
  • 90' Souza gets the nod from Santos FC. He replaces Gonzalo Escobar and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Santos FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Santos FC or Grêmio FBPA 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Santos FC40% Draw29% Grêmio FBPA31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Santos FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
60%
Santos FC or Grêmio FBPA
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Santos FC27% Draw50% Grêmio FBPA23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Santos FC

Handicap Santos FC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Santos FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.