Saturday , 26 September 2026

Santos FC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 23:30 UTC Urbano Caldeira HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Santos FC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Urbano Caldeira.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep São Paulo FC H 1–0 W
14 Sep CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
31 Aug Fluminense FC H 0–0 D
24 Aug EC Bahia A 0–2 L
17 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 0–6 L
10 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
31 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
24 Aug CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
16 Aug SC Recife A 2–2 D
09 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Santos FC São Paulo FC
#8 Position #11
38 Points 36
27 Played 27
10 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
41 Scored 32
40 Conceded 30
+1 GD +2
1.41 PPG 1.33
37% Win % 37%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Santos FC are 8th (38 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Santos FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/3
31-45
7/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/4
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 11 G 3 A
Neymar 6 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Sao Paulo FC gets underway.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Felipe Negrucci made 377 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at Urbano Caldeira. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' Alvaro Barreal is replacing Victor Hugo Gomes for the Santos FC side.
  • 30' Santos FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's shape.
  • 35' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 40' The 28-year-old Ferreira has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 45' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' Emiliano Rigoni gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Rodrigo Huendra and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 48' The referee calls foul for Adonis Frias. He receives a card.
  • 53' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Luan departs to be replaced by Marcos Antonio.
  • 60' Santos FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Guilherme on 60.
  • 60' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Ferreira departs to be replaced by Luciano.
  • 65' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Santos FC — Tiquinho Soares on, Lautaro Diaz off on 67 minutes.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Santos FC! Thaciano comes on to replace Benjamin Rollheiser.
  • 76' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 80' It’s a booking for Santos FC player. Gonzalo Escobar gets a card.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Enzo Diaz on, Wendell off on 84 minutes.
  • 89' Sao Paulo FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 89.
  • 90' Luciano catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Santos FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16 Santos FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Santos FC or São Paulo FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Santos FC39% Draw29% São Paulo FC32%
Actual: Santos FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Santos FC or Draw
68%
Draw or São Paulo FC
61%
Santos FC or São Paulo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Santos FC24% Draw51% São Paulo FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.9%
0 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Santos FC

Handicap Santos FC covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Santos FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.