Wednesday , 11 November 2026

Santos FC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 23:30 UTC Urbano Caldeira HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Santos FC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Urbano Caldeira.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep São Paulo FC H 1–0 W
14 Sep CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
31 Aug Fluminense FC H 0–0 D
24 Aug EC Bahia A 0–2 L
17 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 0–6 L
10 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
31 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
24 Aug CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
16 Aug SC Recife A 2–2 D
09 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Santos FC São Paulo FC
#9 Position #10
47 Points 44
34 Played 34
12 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 12 / 8 / 14
50 Scored 39
49 Conceded 39
+1 GD +0
1.38 PPG 1.29
35% Win % 35%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Santos FC are 9th (47 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Santos FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
9/8
46-60
7/4
61-75
3/4
76+
11/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 15 G 4 A
Neymar 8 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G
São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Urbano Caldeira as Santos FC face off against São Paulo FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Damian Bobadilla made 12 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Mailton dos Santos has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 489 appearances.
  • 25' Another substitution for Santos FC to replace Victor Hugo Gomes by Alvaro Barreal on 25 minute.
  • 30' São Paulo FC have won 422 goals from 387 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' Wendell is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for São Paulo FC tonight.
  • 40' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' Rodrigo Huendra is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' Emiliano Rigoni is replacing Rodrigo Huendra for the Sao Paulo FC side.
  • 48' That is a card for Santos FC. Adonis Frias will be fuming at that decision.
  • 53' Santos FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 56' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Luan is withdrawn and Marcos Antonio gets his opportunity.
  • 60' What a moment for Guilherme! That strike on 60 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 60' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Luciano on, Ferreira off on 60 minutes.
  • 65' São Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 67' A change in the Santos FC ranks — Lautaro Diaz exits the field as Tiquinho Soares enters on 67.
  • 71' Thaciano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Benjamin Rollheiser on 71 minute.
  • 76' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 80' The referee has no hesitation. Gonzalo Escobar is booked for Santos FC — card on 80.
  • 84' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Wendell exits the field as Enzo Diaz enters on 84.
  • 89' Over 89 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luciano.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for São Paulo FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16 Santos FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Santos FC or São Paulo FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Santos FC39% Draw29% São Paulo FC32%
Actual: Santos FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Santos FC or Draw
69%
Draw or São Paulo FC
61%
Santos FC or São Paulo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Santos FC25% Draw51% São Paulo FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Santos FC

Handicap Santos FC covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Santos FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.