Thursday , 2 July 2026

Grêmio FBPA vs Santos FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Grêmio FBPA
1 – 0
Full Time
Santos FC
Sun 4 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 5' Luan Peres
Y 10' Luisao
Igor 36' Y
Martin Braithwaite 48' Y
Walter Kannemann 63' Y
Y 75' Tomas Rincon
Marlon 90' Y
Edenilson 91' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs Santos FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

5
4
4
Grêmio FBPA 13 games · Avg 2.9 goals Santos FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-04 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC 2023-08-20 Santos FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2023-04-16 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC 2021-10-10 Santos FC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2021-06-25 Grêmio FBPA 2–2 Santos FC

Recent Form

Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Santos FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
20 Apr SC Internacional H 1–1 D
16 Apr Mirassol FC A 1–4 L
13 Apr CR Flamengo H 0–2 L
05 Apr Ceará SC A 0–2 L
Santos FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Grêmio FBPA A 0–1 L
27 Apr RB Bragantino H 1–2 L
20 Apr Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
17 Apr CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
13 Apr Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
06 Apr EC Bahia H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Grêmio FBPA Santos FC
#16 Position #15
21 Points 21
18 Played 18
5 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
20 Scored 26
23 Conceded 29
-3 GD -3
1.17 PPG 1.17
28% Win % 28%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
28% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). Santos FC are 15th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/4
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G
Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 7 G 2 A
Neymar 4 G 2 A
Alvaro Barreal 3 G
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Grêmio FBPA and Santos FC is underway.
  • 5' The referee calls foul for Luan Peres. He receives a card.
  • 10' The referee has no hesitation. Luisao is booked for Santos FC — card on 10.
  • 15' The travelling Santos FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Denmark international Martin Braithwaite has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kevyson, as he is very good at scoring at Arena do Gremio with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' Edenilson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 36' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Igor gets a card.
  • 41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alysson is hanging Edenilson on the field on 46 minute.
  • 48' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Martin Braithwaite gets a card.
  • 53' Grêmio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Grêmio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Franco Cristaldo as he leaves the pitch. Miguel Monsalve steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 62' The Santos FC manager makes a substitution. Benjamin Rollheiser departs to be replaced by Gabriel Bontempo.
  • 63' The referee has no hesitation. Walter Kannemann is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 63.
  • 68' It looks surprising Grêmio FBPA does not make any changes. Joao Schmidt has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 70' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Gustavo Cuellar departs to be replaced by Camilo.
  • 75' Tomas Rincon was booked on 75.
  • 75' Santos FC ring the changes. Gonzalo Escobar has done his job and it is now time for Kevyson to step up.
  • 77' Cristian Olivera has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Grêmio FBPA are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 83' The whistle greets Luisao as he departs to be replaced by Joao Pedro Chermont.
  • 88' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 89' Matias Arezo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Martin Braithwaite on 89 minute.
  • 90' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Marlon will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Gremio FBPA make a change. Cristian Olivera trudges off to be replaced by Viery on 90 minutes.
  • Santos FC will have plenty to reflect on. Grêmio FBPA were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

Santos FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Cesar Sampaio

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Diego Souza 4
Everton 3
Marinho 3
Maicon 2
Gabriel Barbosa 2
Maicon 2
Pepe 2
Carlos Vinicius 2

Head to Head

2025-05-04 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC 2023-08-20 Santos FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2023-04-16 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC 2021-10-10 Santos FC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2021-06-25 Grêmio FBPA 2–2 Santos FC

Grêmio FBPA Form

2025-05-04 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC W 2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D 2025-04-20 Grêmio FBPA 1–1 SC Internacional D 2025-04-16 Mirassol FC 4–1 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-04-13 Grêmio FBPA 0–2 CR Flamengo L 2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Grêmio FBPA L

Santos FC Form

2025-05-04 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC L 2025-04-27 Santos FC 1–2 RB Bragantino L 2025-04-20 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Santos FC L 2025-04-17 Santos FC 2–0 CA Mineiro W 2025-04-13 Fluminense FC 1–0 Santos FC L 2025-04-06 Santos FC 2–2 EC Bahia D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.31 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Grêmio FBPA or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA45% Draw29% Santos FC26%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
73%
Draw or Santos FC
55%
Grêmio FBPA or Santos FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA29% Draw50% Santos FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.