Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sagan Tosu FC

0 – 2

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Sun 14 Jul 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Kohei Tezuka 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2024-07-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Gamba Osaka 2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-03 Gamba Osaka 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jul	Gamba Osaka	H	0–2	L
06 Jul	Albirex Niigata	A	4–3	W
03 Jul	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	1–0	W
30 Jun	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–4	L
26 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
22 Jun	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	3–0	W

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–0	W
06 Jul	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	4–0	W
30 Jun	FC Machida Zelvia	H	1–3	L
26 Jun	Kashima Antlers	A	0–0	D
22 Jun	Vissel Kobe	H	2–1	W
16 Jun	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

1/2

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

Issam Jebali	2 G	1 A
Deniz Hummet	2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani	1 G
Asahi Uenaka	1 G
Welton	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — let the football do the talking.
5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
10' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
15' It’s high time Dani Poyatos made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
19' The deadlock is broken! Isa Sakamoto gets on the scoresheet on 19 minutes.
24' The 30-year-old Kosuke Yamazaki has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
29' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gamba Osaka's shape.
34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 410 games and scored 381 goals.
39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shota Fukuoka, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
46' The whistle greets Vinicius Araujo as he departs to be replaced by Hikaru Nakahara.
51' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Keisuke Kurokawa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
61' Akito Fukuta is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
64' Gamba Osaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shu Kurata is hanging Welton on the field on 64 minute.
69' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
72' Tae-hyeon Kim has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keisuke Sakaiya on 72 minute.
77' Seiji Kimura has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 444 appearances.
81' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Takashi Usami by Riku Matsuda on 81 minute.
84' A stunning finish from Issam Jebali — that came from absolutely nowhere!
85' Kohei Tezuka catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
85' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vykintas Slivka is hanging Akito Fukuta on the field on 85 minute.
90' Yusei Egawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Keisuke Kurokawa at the 90 minute mark.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

11
Vinicius Araujo ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 46'
3
Seiji Kimura
22
Cayman Togashi
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Vykintas Slivka 85'
71
Il-kyu Park
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Kohei Tezuka 64'
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Hiroshi Kiyotake 72'
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
13
Ayumu Yokoyama
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↓ Tae-hyeon Kim 72'

Bench

77
Vykintas Slivka ↑ 85'
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 64'
55
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 72'
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 46'
5
So Kawahara
20
Tae-hyeon Kim ↑ 72'
1
Arnau Riera

Coach Kenta Kawai

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Issam Jebali ↑ 81'
47
Juan Alano ↑ 64'
10
Shu Kurata ↑ 64'
46
Riku Matsuda ↑ 81'
24
Yusei Egawa ↑ 90'
6
Neta Lavi
25
Kei Ishikawa

Coach Dani Poyatos

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazuma Watanabe	3
Yuji Ono	3
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Seokho	2
Mu Kanazaki	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-07-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Gamba Osaka L 2024-07-06 Albirex Niigata 3–4 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-07-03 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-06-22 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W

Gamba Osaka Form

2024-07-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Gamba Osaka W 2024-07-06 Gamba Osaka 4–0 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2024-06-30 Gamba Osaka 1–3 FC Machida Zelvia L 2024-06-26 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Gamba Osaka D 2024-06-22 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Vissel Kobe W 2024-06-16 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.04 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.31 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Gamba Osaka or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC30% Draw31% Gamba Osaka39%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.35

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	41%	59%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

61%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

70%

Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka

69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC21% Draw50% Gamba Osaka29%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.9%

0 – 0

11.7%

0 – 1

11.3%

1 – 0

8.8%

1 – 2

8.2%

0 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

6.5%

2 – 0

2 – 2

4.4%

1 – 3

3.6%

0 – 3

3.4%

3 – 1

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	8%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	17%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	22%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	12%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.