Wednesday , 23 September 2026

SM Caen vs AS Saint-Etienne, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
Sat 16 Mar 2019 · 19:00 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs AS Saint-EtienneLigue 1 at Stade Michel d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Mehdi Rahmouni
  • Referee Florent Batta
  • Referee Julien Aube
  • Referee Karim Abed
  • Referee Guillaume Paradis

Head-to-Head

2
4
SM Caen 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals AS Saint-Etienne

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar AS Saint-Etienne H 0–5 L
10 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 1–3 L
02 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
17 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace H 0–0 D
13 Feb FC Nantes H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar SM Caen A 5–0 W
10 Mar Lille OSC H 0–1 L
03 Mar Olympique de Marseille A 0–2 L
22 Feb Dijon Football Cote d'Or A 1–0 W
17 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–1 L
13 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace H 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.01 AS Saint-Etienne xG
I would bet for: AS Saint-Etienne to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen20% Draw24% AS Saint-Etienne56%
Actual: AS Saint-Etienne win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
44%
Draw or AS Saint-Etienne
80%
SM Caen or AS Saint-Etienne
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen13% Draw43% AS Saint-Etienne44%
Actual: AS Saint-Etienne win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–5 not predicted
0 – 5
Actual
0 – 2
10.9%
1 – 1
10.6%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 3
7.2%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 1
4.2%
1 – 0
4.1%
0 – 4
3.6%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push AS Saint-Etienne covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 38% 62%
+1 38% 23% 39%
+1.5 61% 39%
+2 61% 19% 19%
+2.5 81% 19%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
14%
AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.