Sunday , 16 August 2026

SM Caen vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
Sat 2 Mar 2019 · 16:00 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Paris Saint-Germain FCLigue 1 at Stade Michel d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Hakim Ben El Hadj Salem
  • Referee Gwenael Pasqualotti
  • Referee Alexandre Viala
  • Referee Abdelatif Kherradji
  • Referee

Head-to-Head

2
SM Caen 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Paris Saint-Germain FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
17 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace H 0–0 D
13 Feb FC Nantes H 0–1 L
09 Feb Amiens SC A 0–1 L
27 Jan Montpellier HSC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar SM Caen A 2–1 W
23 Feb Nimes Olympique H 3–0 W
20 Feb Montpellier HSC H 5–1 W
17 Feb AS Saint-Étienne A 1–0 W
12 Feb Manchester United FC A 2–0 W
09 Feb FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: SM Caen gets underway.
  • 1' A moment of madness from Enzo Crivelli on 1 minutes earns him a Yellow card. SM Caen will be frustrated.
  • 6' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Thomas Tuchel will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 11' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 16' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 21' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 26' Younn Zahary, a Comoros , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 31' A quiet spell here at Stade Michel d'Ornano. SM Caen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 36' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SM Caen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 41' It looks surprising Paris Saint-Germain FC does not make any changes. Ismael Diomande has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' Dani Alves is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Paris Saint-Germain FC tonight.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' Magnificent from Casimir Ninga! That is 10 goals in 399 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 56' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Casimir Ninga.
  • 57' It’s a booking for SM Caen player. Casimir Ninga gets a Yellow card.
  • 59' Brilliant from the ! Kylian Mbappe makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 59.
  • 64' The SM Caen bench stirs into life. Saif-Eddine Khaoui is withdrawn and Jessy Deminguet gets his opportunity.
  • 65' Another change for Paris Saint-Germain FC made on 65 minute. Angel di Maria leaves to be changed by Julian Draxler.
  • 66' The referee shows Paris Saint-Germain FC player a Yellow card on 66.
  • 71' Paris Saint-Germain FC make a change. Moussa Diaby trudges off to be replaced by Juan Bernat on 71 minutes.
  • 73' The whistle greets Enzo Crivelli as he departs to be replaced by Claudio Beauvue.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Dani Alves as he leaves the pitch. Maxim Choupo-Moting steps in for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • 83' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Paris Saint-Germain FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 87' What composure from Kylian Mbappe! The France international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 88' The whistle greets Prince Oniangue as he departs to be replaced by Evens Joseph.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SM Caen.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.89 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen23% Draw28% Paris Saint-Germain FC49%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
51%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
77%
SM Caen or Paris Saint-Germain FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen17% Draw49% Paris Saint-Germain FC34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
11.5%
0 – 2
9.9%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 14% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 24% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
24%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.