Sunday , 9 August 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs AS Saint-Etienne, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
Sun 3 Mar 2019 · 20:00 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs AS Saint-EtienneLigue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Referee Nicolas Danos
  • Referee Cyril Gringore
  • Referee Nicolas Rainville
  • Referee Benoit Millot
16 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Olympique de Marseille to score. At the same time, AS Saint-Etienne does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Hiroki Sakai catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 5.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Neven Subotic, as he is very good at scoring at Orange Velodrome with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 12' Mario Balotelli is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 17' Youssef Ait Bennasser is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Olympique de Marseille so far.
  • 19' Mathieu Debuchy is having his name booked by the referee on 19.
  • 21' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Florian Thauvin makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 25' Bouna Sarr is having his name booked by the referee on 25.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 45' Olympique de Marseille started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
  • 46' Robert Beric has so much to prove this time. He replaces Loic Perrin on 46 minute.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Olympique de Marseille that had 465 games and scored 515 goals.
  • 56' AS Saint-Etienne have won 380 goals from 427 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 61' Olympique de Marseille are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 65' Luiz Gustavo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Valere Germain at the 65 minute mark.
  • 70' AS Saint-Etienne manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lois Diony is hanging Romain Hamouma on the field on 70 minute.
  • 75' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 76' Another change for AS Saint-Etienne made on 76 minute. Mathieu Debuchy leaves to be changed by Valentin Vada.
  • 79' Another change for Olympique de Marseille made on 79 minute. Mario Balotelli leaves to be changed by Clinton Njie.
  • 84' Valentin Vada has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 85' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Wahbi Khazri.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Kevin Strootman. He replaces Morgan Sanson on 86 minute.
  • 2-0 the final result. AS Saint-Etienne will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 AS Saint-Etienne xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille56% Draw26% AS Saint-Etienne18%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
82%
Draw or AS Saint-Etienne
44%
Olympique de Marseille or AS Saint-Etienne
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille36% Draw50% AS Saint-Etienne14%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
12%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push AS Saint-Etienne covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 25% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
45%
AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.