SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 25 games · 52 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 25 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 25 | 51 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 25 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 09 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Jul | EC Vitoria | A | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #5 |
| 52 | Points | 40 |
| 25 | Played | 25 |
| 15 / 7 / 3 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 5 |
| 45 | Scored | 37 |
| 21 | Conceded | 30 |
| +24 | GD | +7 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 1.60 |
| 60% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
40%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
SE Palmeiras are 1st (52 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/4
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 2 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Jean Lucas | 3 G | 3 A |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Estevao | 1 |
| Antonio Carlos | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
1.67
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
76%
Draw or EC Bahia
51%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
36%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.