Monday , 27 July 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena 30,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
Andrej Kramaric pen 42' 1–0
1–1 87' Sehrou Guirassy
Andrej Kramaric pen 90+8' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
11 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–1 W
10 Apr FC Augsburg A 2–2 D
04 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
20 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–5 L
14 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
07 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–2 L
11 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
04 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 2–0 W
21 Mar Hamburger SV H 3–2 W
14 Mar FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
07 Mar 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Borussia Dortmund
#5 Position #2
61 Points 73
34 Played 34
18 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
65 Scored 70
52 Conceded 34
+13 GD +36
1.79 PPG 2.15
53% Win % 65%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Borussia Dortmund 75% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim36% Draw25% Borussia Dortmund39%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
61%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
64%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Borussia Dortmund
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim24% Draw43% Borussia Dortmund33%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.7%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 20% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
18%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.