FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- D.C. United SC 27 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 63 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 28 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 48 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 28 | 46 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 28 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 36 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 28 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 32 |
| 12 | D.C. United SC | 27 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 28 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 28 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 28 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 28 | 51 |
| 17 | St. Louis City | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | FC Dallas | 28 | 47 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 46 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 45 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 42 |
| 22 | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 41 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids SC | 28 | 37 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 25 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 33 |
| 26 | San Diego FC | 28 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 28 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 28 | 30 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Atlanta United FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Sep | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–5 | L |
| 29 Aug | Nashville SC | A | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Los Angeles FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | D.C. United SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #12 |
| 36 | Points | 30 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 6 / 12 / 9 |
| 58 | Scored | 34 |
| 65 | Conceded | 46 |
| -7 | GD | -12 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 33% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
30%
Clean Sheets
D.C. United SC this season
D.C. United SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (36 pts). D.C. United SC are 12th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
6/11
61-75
4/5
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
D.C. United SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/4
31-45
2/7
46-60
5/7
61-75
3/6
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
D.C. United SC
| Tai Baribo | 14 G | |
| Louis Munteanu | 6 G | 2 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brandon Vazquez | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paul Arriola | 3 |
| Brenner da Silva | 3 |
| Gabriel Pirani | 2 |
| Pavel Bucha | 2 |
| Lucas Rodriguez | 2 |
| Taxiarchis Fountas | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
D.C. United SC Form
2026-10-10
Internacional CF Miami
4–0
D.C. United SC
L
2026-09-27
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
3–3
D.C. United SC
D
2026-09-19
D.C. United SC
1–2
Charlotte FC
L
2026-09-12
D.C. United SC
0–0
Atlanta United FC
D
2026-09-09
D.C. United SC
2–1
Columbus Crew SC
W
2026-08-29
D.C. United SC
0–0
Los Angeles FC
D
Predictions
2.54
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88
D.C. United SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 4.42
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
73%
Draw or D.C. United SC
49%
FC Cincinnati or D.C. United SC
79%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
6.5%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
4 – 1
3.8%
4 – 2
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | D.C. United SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 15% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 18% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
D.C. United SC keeps clean sheet
9%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

