FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 29 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- D.C. United SC 29 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 67 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 30 | 55 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 52 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 30 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 30 | 47 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 30 | 41 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 30 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 36 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 36 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew SC | 30 | 35 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 34 |
| 13 | D.C. United SC | 29 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 30 | 30 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 30 | 25 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 30 | 55 |
| 17 | St. Louis City | 30 | 51 |
| 18 | FC Dallas | 30 | 51 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 48 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 47 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 46 |
| 22 | Seattle Sounders FC | 30 | 42 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 40 |
| 24 | Colorado Rapids SC | 30 | 39 |
| 25 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 36 |
| 26 | San Diego FC | 30 | 34 |
| 27 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 34 |
| 28 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 34 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 30 | 31 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | Atlanta United FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Orlando City SC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | D.C. United SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #13 |
| 36 | Points | 33 |
| 29 | Played | 29 |
| 9 / 9 / 11 | W / D / L | 7 / 12 / 10 |
| 60 | Scored | 37 |
| 70 | Conceded | 51 |
| -10 | GD | -14 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 31% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
28%
Clean Sheets
D.C. United SC this season
D.C. United SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (36 pts). D.C. United SC are 13th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
5/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
9/10
46-60
6/13
61-75
5/5
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
D.C. United SC
0-15
3/3
16-30
5/5
31-45
4/7
46-60
5/8
61-75
3/7
76+
8/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 9 G | 3 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
D.C. United SC
| Tai Baribo | 16 G | 1 A |
| Louis Munteanu | 6 G | 2 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Paul Arriola | 3 |
| Brenner da Silva | 3 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Lucas Rodriguez | 2 |
| Gabriel Pirani | 2 |
| Pavel Bucha | 2 |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
D.C. United SC Form
2026-10-17
Orlando City SC
4–1
D.C. United SC
L
2026-10-14
D.C. United SC
2–1
New York Red Bulls
W
2026-10-10
Internacional CF Miami
4–0
D.C. United SC
L
2026-09-27
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
3–3
D.C. United SC
D
2026-09-19
D.C. United SC
1–2
Charlotte FC
L
2026-09-12
D.C. United SC
0–0
Atlanta United FC
D
Predictions
2.3
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8
D.C. United SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 4.1
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
71%
Draw or D.C. United SC
51%
FC Cincinnati or D.C. United SC
78%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.6%
1 – 0
3.5%
4 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | D.C. United SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 14% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 19% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
D.C. United SC keeps clean sheet
11%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

