SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Jul | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Jun | EC Juventude | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Jun | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jul | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | São Paulo FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #6 |
| 73 | Points | 53 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 21 / 10 / 3 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 9 |
| 62 | Scored | 50 |
| 23 | Conceded | 45 |
| +39 | GD | +5 |
| 2.15 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 62% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Allianz Parque. Ninety minutes of football awaits between SE Palmeiras and EC Bahia.
- 5' Brazil international Gilberto has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' Weverton, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 18' That is a card for EC Bahia. Kanu will be fuming at that decision.
- 23' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 28' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 33' Rony has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 38' Caio Alexandre needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 43' SE Palmeiras are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 50' Estevao is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 55' It looks surprising SE Palmeiras does not make any changes. Marcos Felipe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 61' Rony makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and SE Palmeiras are in front.
- 62' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Rony gets a card.
- 63' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Everaldo departs to be replaced by Gabriel Teixeira.
- 68' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Everton Ribeiro by Carlos De Pena on 68 minute.
- 69' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Thaciano exits the field as Ademir Santos enters on 69.
- 73' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Estevao has done his job and it is now time for Marcos Rocha to step up.
- 78' EC Bahia make a change. Jean Lucas trudges off to be replaced by Yago Felipe on 78 minutes.
- 81' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Rony is replaced by Vanderlan.
- 86' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 90' Luighi Hanri has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jose Manuel Lopez on 90 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. SE Palmeiras take all three points.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 21
-
12
Mayke ↓ Caio Paulista 90'
- 15
- 5
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Fabinho 73'
- 42
- 22
-
41
Estevao ↓ Marcos Rocha 73'
- 44
Bench
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↑ 73'
- 7
-
16
Caio Paulista ↑ 90'
- 14
-
6
Vanderlan ↑ 81'
- 32
- 34
- 40
-
35
Fabinho ↑ 73'
-
57
Luighi Hanri ↑ 90'
- 65
- 54
Coach
Abel Ferreira
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-3-2Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Ademir Santos 69'
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Yago Felipe 78'
- 10
- 2
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Oscar Estupinan 68'
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 63'
- 19
- 46
- 3
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 78'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 69'
- 15
-
29
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 68'
- 40
- 21
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 68'
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 63'
- 23
- 5
- 44
- 66
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Estevao | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.01
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
87%
Draw or EC Bahia
34%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14%
1 – 1
9.7%
3 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 1
5.9%
4 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.7%
1 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 21% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

