Sunday , 16 August 2026

SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

2 0
Full Time
Sun 7 Jul 2024 · 21:30 UTC Allianz Parque 40,198 HT 45' · FT 45'
Estevao 45+5' 1–0
Rony 61' 2–0
Y 18' Kanu
Rony 62' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs EC BahiaSerie A at Allianz Parque.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jul EC Bahia H 2–0 W
04 Jul Gremio FBPA A 2–2 D
01 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
27 Jun Fortaleza EC A 0–3 L
23 Jun EC Juventude H 3–1 W
21 Jun RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jul SE Palmeiras A 0–2 L
04 Jul EC Juventude H 2–0 W
30 Jun Sao Paulo FC A 1–3 L
27 Jun CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
23 Jun Cruzeiro EC H 4–1 W
20 Jun CR Flamengo A 1–2 L

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras EC Bahia
#1 Position #5
48 Points 33
23 Played 22
14 / 6 / 3 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 5
40 Scored 29
19 Conceded 25
+21 GD +4
2.09 PPG 1.50
61% Win % 36%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Ramon Sosa 4 G 2 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Mauricio 4 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 4 G 1 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SE Palmeiras and EC Bahia has kicked off!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' SE Palmeiras seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 18' Controversy at the stadium! Kanu argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gabriel Xavier suffering a number of foals already.
  • 28' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 33' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 43' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 48' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 48 minutes.
  • 50' Estevao has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 60' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 61' A goal from the Brazil international Rony! He fires home on 61 to make it 2-0!
  • 62' SE Palmeiras receives a card for a hard tackle on 62.
  • 63' EC Bahia ring the changes. Everaldo has done his job and it is now time for Gabriel Teixeira to step up.
  • 68' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Carlos De Pena on, Everton Ribeiro off on 68 minutes.
  • 69' Ademir Santos is replacing Thaciano for the EC Bahia side.
  • 73' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Estevao has done his job and it is now time for Marcos Rocha to step up.
  • 78' Yago Felipe gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Jean Lucas and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' The whistle greets Rony as he departs to be replaced by Vanderlan.
  • 86' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 90' Luighi Hanri gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Jose Manuel Lopez and will look to change the dynamic.
  • It finishes all square. SE Palmeiras and EC Bahia share the spoils 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras63% Draw23% EC Bahia14%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
86%
Draw or EC Bahia
37%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras44% Draw45% EC Bahia11%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
3%
4 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 20% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 25% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
51%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.