SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Jul | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Jun | EC Juventude | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Jun | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jul | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #5 |
| 48 | Points | 33 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 14 / 6 / 3 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 5 |
| 40 | Scored | 29 |
| 19 | Conceded | 25 |
| +21 | GD | +4 |
| 2.09 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 61% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Mauricio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SE Palmeiras and EC Bahia has kicked off!
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' SE Palmeiras seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 18' Controversy at the stadium! Kanu argues furiously but the card stands.
- 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gabriel Xavier suffering a number of foals already.
- 28' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
- 33' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 43' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 48' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 48 minutes.
- 50' Estevao has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 60' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 61' A goal from the Brazil international Rony! He fires home on 61 to make it 2-0!
- 62' SE Palmeiras receives a card for a hard tackle on 62.
- 63' EC Bahia ring the changes. Everaldo has done his job and it is now time for Gabriel Teixeira to step up.
- 68' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Carlos De Pena on, Everton Ribeiro off on 68 minutes.
- 69' Ademir Santos is replacing Thaciano for the EC Bahia side.
- 73' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Estevao has done his job and it is now time for Marcos Rocha to step up.
- 78' Yago Felipe gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Jean Lucas and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' The whistle greets Rony as he departs to be replaced by Vanderlan.
- 86' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 90' Luighi Hanri gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Jose Manuel Lopez and will look to change the dynamic.
- It finishes all square. SE Palmeiras and EC Bahia share the spoils 2-0.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 21
-
12
Mayke ↓ Caio Paulista 90'
- 15
- 5
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Fabinho 73'
- 42
- 22
-
41
Estevao ↓ Marcos Rocha 73'
- 44
Bench
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↑ 73'
- 7
-
16
Caio Paulista ↑ 90'
- 14
-
6
Vanderlan ↑ 81'
- 32
- 34
- 40
-
35
Fabinho ↑ 73'
-
57
Luighi Hanri ↑ 90'
- 65
- 54
Coach
Abel Ferreira
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-3-2Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Ademir Santos 69'
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Yago Felipe 78'
- 10
- 2
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Oscar Estupinan 68'
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 63'
- 19
- 46
- 3
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 78'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 69'
- 15
-
29
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 68'
- 40
- 21
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 68'
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 63'
- 23
- 5
- 44
- 66
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 1 |
| Ze Rafael | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
86%
Draw or EC Bahia
37%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
3%
4 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

