SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Jul | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Jun | EC Juventude | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Jun | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jul | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #5 |
| 57 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 16 / 9 / 3 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 47 | Scored | 43 |
| 21 | Conceded | 35 |
| +26 | GD | +8 |
| 2.04 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 57% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SE Palmeiras to score. At the same time, EC Bahia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Brazil international Weverton has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. SE Palmeiras must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Thaciano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 18' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Kanu gets a card.
- 23' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 28' SE Palmeiras are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 38' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Jhon Arias scoring 1 goals.
- 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 48' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 50' Estevao doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 55' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 60' EC Bahia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 61' What a moment for Rony! That strike on 61 puts his side firmly in control.
- 62' SE Palmeiras receives a card for a hard tackle on 62.
- 63' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Everaldo is replaced by Gabriel Teixeira.
- 68' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Carlos De Pena on, Everton Ribeiro off on 68 minutes.
- 69' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ademir Santos is hanging Thaciano on the field on 69 minute.
- 73' Marcos Rocha is ready to make an impact after coming on for Estevao at the 73 minute mark.
- 78' The whistle greets Jean Lucas as he departs to be replaced by Yago Felipe.
- 81' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Rony by Vanderlan on 81 minute.
- 86' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 86.
- 90' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Jose Manuel Lopez is withdrawn and Luighi Hanri gets his opportunity.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — SE Palmeiras 2-0 EC Bahia.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 21
-
12
Mayke ↓ Caio Paulista 90'
- 15
- 5
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Fabinho 73'
- 42
- 22
-
41
Estevao ↓ Marcos Rocha 73'
- 44
Bench
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↑ 73'
- 7
-
16
Caio Paulista ↑ 90'
- 14
-
6
Vanderlan ↑ 81'
- 32
- 34
- 40
-
35
Fabinho ↑ 73'
-
57
Luighi Hanri ↑ 90'
- 65
- 54
Coach
Abel Ferreira
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-3-2Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Ademir Santos 69'
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Yago Felipe 78'
- 10
- 2
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Oscar Estupinan 68'
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 63'
- 19
- 46
- 3
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 78'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 69'
- 15
-
29
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 68'
- 40
- 21
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 68'
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 63'
- 23
- 5
- 44
- 66
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Kayky | 1 |
| Miguel Borja | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
86%
Draw or EC Bahia
37%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.6%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

