SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Jul | Grêmio FBPA | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Jun | EC Juventude | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Jun | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jul | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #6 |
| 41 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 12 / 5 / 1 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 5 |
| 30 | Scored | 25 |
| 13 | Conceded | 23 |
| +17 | GD | +2 |
| 2.28 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 67% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Allianz Parque as SE Palmeiras face off against EC Bahia in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' EC Bahia have won 348 goals from 325 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Brazil international Kanu has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 18' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gustavo Gomez suffering a number of foals already.
- 28' The energy levels are beginning to show. Abel Ferreira might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 33' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SE Palmeiras side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 38' The 20-year-old Vitor Reis has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 48' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 50' GOAL! Estevao scores on 45. Assisted by Anibal Moreno
- 55' SE Palmeiras seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 60' SE Palmeiras are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's 4-1-3-2 shape.
- 61' Brilliant from the ! Rony makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 61.
- 62' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Rony gets a card.
- 63' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Gabriel Teixeira on, Everaldo off on 63 minutes.
- 68' The crowd applauds Everton Ribeiro as he leaves the pitch. Carlos De Pena steps in for EC Bahia.
- 69' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Thaciano by Ademir Santos on 69 minute.
- 73' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Marcos Rocha on, Estevao off on 73 minutes.
- 78' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Jean Lucas is withdrawn and Yago Felipe gets his opportunity.
- 81' Rony makes way for Vanderlan at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
- 86' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 90' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Jose Manuel Lopez is withdrawn and Luighi Hanri gets his opportunity.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SE Palmeiras players.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 21
-
12
Mayke ↓ Caio Paulista 90'
- 15
- 5
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Fabinho 73'
- 42
- 22
-
41
Estevao ↓ Marcos Rocha 73'
- 44
Bench
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↑ 73'
- 7
-
16
Caio Paulista ↑ 90'
- 14
-
6
Vanderlan ↑ 81'
- 32
- 34
- 40
-
35
Fabinho ↑ 73'
-
57
Luighi Hanri ↑ 90'
- 65
- 54
Coach
Abel Ferreira
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-3-2Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Ademir Santos 69'
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Yago Felipe 78'
- 10
- 2
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Oscar Estupinan 68'
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 63'
- 19
- 46
- 3
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 78'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 69'
- 15
-
29
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 68'
- 40
- 21
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 68'
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 63'
- 23
- 5
- 44
- 66
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Marco Antonio | 1 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.94
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
87%
Draw or EC Bahia
36%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.1%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
8.7%
3 – 1
5.8%
4 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
2.9%
1 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 21% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
53%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

