SC Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Bundesliga · 2024-25

SC Freiburg

3 – 2

Full Time

Holstein Kiel

Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 33,700 HT 45' · FT 45'

Nicolai Remberg og 23' 1–0

Christian Gunter 38' 2–0

Vincenzo Grifo 74' 3–0

3–1 85' Phil Harres

3–2 90' Phil Harres

Y 37' Phil Harres

Y 45' Armin Gigovic

Y 50' Alexander Hahn

Lukas Kubler 58' Y

Michael Gregoritsch 90' Y

Y 90' Dominik Javorcek

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

SC Freiburg 3 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Soren Storks
Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
Assistant 2 Markus Schuller

3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 17.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	3	9
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	9
3	FC Augsburg	3	7
4	FC Bayern Munchen	3	7
5	RB Leipzig	3	6
6	SV 07 Elversberg	3	6
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	3	4
8	1. FSV Mainz 05	3	4
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	4
10	SV Werder Bremen	3	4
11	FC Schalke 04	3	4
12	1. FC Koln	3	4
13	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	3
15	SC Paderborn 07	3	1
16	1. FC Union Berlin	3	1
17	Borussia Monchengladbach	3	0
18	Hamburger SV	3	0

Head-to-Head

SC Freiburg 11 games · Avg 2.9 goals Holstein Kiel

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2018-10-31 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Freiburg 2018-02-28 SC Freiburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2017-10-01 Holstein Kiel 3–2 SC Freiburg 2017-02-19 Holstein Kiel 2–0 SC Freiburg

Recent Form

SC Freiburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Holstein Kiel	H	3–2	W
21 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–5	L
13 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–2	W
08 Dec	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	1–1	D
03 Dec	Arminia Bielefeld	A	1–3	L
30 Nov	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	3–1	W

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	SC Freiburg	A	2–3	L
21 Dec	FC Augsburg	H	5–1	W
14 Dec	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	1–4	L
07 Dec	RB Leipzig	H	0–2	L
29 Nov	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	1–3	L
24 Nov	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–3	L

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

67% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg

0-15

–/–

16-30

4/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

–/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SC Freiburg

Igor Matanovic	3 G	1 A
Yuito Suzuki	3 G
Maximilian Eggestein	2 G
Yannik Engelhardt	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and SC Freiburg launch into their encounter with Holstein Kiel.
5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Julian Schuster will be considering his options from the bench.
10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
15' SC Freiburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
20' SC Freiburg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Holstein Kiel's 3-4-1-2 shape.
23' Magnificent from Nicolai Remberg! That is 4 goals in 75 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
28' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Freiburg and Holstein Kiel are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
37' A moment of madness from Phil Harres on 37 minutes earns him a card. Holstein Kiel will be frustrated.
38' Goal! Christian Gunter scores his 13 goal in 493 matches.
43' Jann-Fiete Arp has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 268 appearances.
45' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Armin Gigovic gets a card.
50' Alexander Hahn picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
57' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Armin Gigovic exits the field as Lewis Holtby enters on 57.
58' Controversy at the stadium! Lukas Kubler argues furiously but the card stands.
63' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
66' The whistle greets Shuto Machino as he departs to be replaced by Andu Yobel Kelati.
69' The SC Freiburg manager makes a substitution. Lucas Holer departs to be replaced by Michael Gregoritsch.
74' Sensational shot from Vincenzo Grifo. SC Freiburg is back in the lead.
76' The SC Freiburg bench stirs into life. Eren Dinkci is withdrawn and Maximilian Philipp gets his opportunity.
81' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Dominik Javorcek comes on to replace Alexander Bernhardsson.
83' Jordy Makengo gets the nod from SC Freiburg. He replaces Max Rosenfelder and will look to change the dynamic.
85' GOAL! Phil Harres fires home to make it 2-2!
90' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Phil Harres makes no mistake. 2-3!
90' A moment of madness from Michael Gregoritsch on 90 minutes earns him a card. SC Freiburg will be frustrated.
It finishes all square. SC Freiburg and Holstein Kiel share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Julian Schuster

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

18
Shuto Machino ↓ Andu Yobel Kelati 66'
1
Timon Weiner
8
Finn Porath
17
Timo Becker
3
Marco Komenda
37
Armin Gigovic ↓ Lewis Holtby 57'
22
Nicolai Remberg
19
Phil Harres
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 66'
11
Alexander Bernhardsson ↓ Dominik Javorcek 81'
26
David Zec

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Phil Harres	2
Christian Gunter	1
Lasse Rosenboom	1
Lucas Holer	1
Johan Manzambi	1
David Kinsombi	1
Janni-Luca Serra	1
Nils Petersen	1

Head to Head

SC Freiburg Form

2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel W 2024-12-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 SC Freiburg L 2024-12-13 SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-12-08 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 SC Freiburg D 2024-12-03 Arminia Bielefeld 3–1 SC Freiburg L 2024-11-30 SC Freiburg 3–1 Borussia Monchengladbach W

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel L 2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel 5–1 FC Augsburg W 2024-12-14 Borussia Monchengladbach 4–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-12-07 Holstein Kiel 0–2 RB Leipzig L 2024-11-29 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.94 SC Freiburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.44 Holstein Kiel xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Freiburg50% Draw24% Holstein Kiel26%

Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw

74%

Draw or Holstein Kiel

50%

SC Freiburg or Holstein Kiel

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SC Freiburg36% Draw41% Holstein Kiel23%

Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.4%

2 – 1

8.9%

1 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 0

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

4.2%

3 – 2

Actual

3 – 0

0 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap	SC Freiburg covers	Push	Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	20%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	15%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.