Saturday , 14 November 2026

Holstein Kiel vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 7 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 14,715 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 27' Benjamin Sesko
0–2 69' Andre Silva pen

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
8 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Holstein Kiel 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals RB Leipzig

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–3 L
24 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
09 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L
02 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–0 W
29 Oct 1. FC Köln A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
04 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–0 W
30 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 1–5 L
26 Nov FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
23 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–4 L
09 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Holstein Kiel get us underway at Holstein-Stadion.
  • 5' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcel Rapp might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and RB Leipzig are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 27' What a strike from Benjamin Sesko! The score is 0-1.
  • 32' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Armin Gigovic on 35 minutes.
  • 40' Holstein Kiel are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 45' RB Leipzig have won 747 goals from 524 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 46' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Magnus Knudsen exits the field as Steven Skrzybski enters on 46.
  • 51' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' Lois Openda was booked on 56.
  • 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andre Silva suffering a number of foals already.
  • 62' The crowd applauds Armin Gigovic as he leaves the pitch. Lewis Holtby steps in for Holstein Kiel.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Lutsharel Geertruida as he leaves the pitch. Lukas Klostermann steps in for RB Leipzig.
  • 67' The referee calls foul for Timon Weiner. He receives a card.
  • 68' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Marvin Schulz gets a card.
  • 69' What composure from Andre Silva! The Portugal international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Holstein Kiel — Alexander Bernhardsson on, Marvin Schulz off on 74 minutes.
  • 74' Poor challenge from Arthur Vermeeren. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 79' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 80' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Shuto Machino by Benedikt Pichler on 80 minute.
  • 83' Benjamin Henrichs has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
  • 88' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 90' Kevin Kampl gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Arthur Vermeeren and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Alexander Bernhardsson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for RB Leipzig players.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel25% Draw29% RB Leipzig46%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
54%
Draw or RB Leipzig
75%
Holstein Kiel or RB Leipzig
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel17% Draw49% RB Leipzig34%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 14% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 24% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.