Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Holstein Kiel vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Holstein Kiel
0 – 2
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Sat 7 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 14,715 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 27' Benjamin Sesko
0–2 69' Andre Silva pen
Armin Gigovic 35' Y
Y 56' Lois Openda
Timon Weiner 67' Y
Marvin Schulz 68' Y
Y 74' Arthur Vermeeren
Y 83' Benjamin Henrichs
Alexander Bernhardsson 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
Holstein Kiel 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-07 Holstein Kiel 0–2 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–3 L
24 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
09 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L
02 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–0 W
29 Oct 1. FC Köln A 0–3 L
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
04 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–0 W
30 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 1–5 L
26 Nov FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
23 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–4 L
09 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Holstein-Stadion will turn into a battlefield for Holstein Kiel and RB Leipzig.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 519 games and scored 734 goals.
  • 10' Max Geschwill is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Holstein Kiel so far.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Finn Porath has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 27' RB Leipzig is taking the lead after the goal scored by Benjamin Sesko on 27.
  • 32' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Holstein Kiel and RB Leipzig are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 35' It’s gonna be a card for Armin Gigovic.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Steven Skrzybski comes on to replace Magnus Knudsen.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' Controversy at the stadium! Lois Openda argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 61' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 62' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Armin Gigovic is replaced by Lewis Holtby on 62 minute.
  • 63' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Lutsharel Geertruida is replaced by Lukas Klostermann.
  • 67' Timon Weiner has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
  • 68' Marvin Schulz was booked on 68.
  • 69' Andre Silva adds to his 3 season tally! RB Leipzig lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 74' The whistle greets Marvin Schulz as he departs to be replaced by Alexander Bernhardsson.
  • 74' Poor challenge from Arthur Vermeeren. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 79' Marko Ivezic is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
  • 80' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Shuto Machino has done his job and it is now time for Benedikt Pichler to step up.
  • 83' That is a card for RB Leipzig. Benjamin Henrichs will be fuming at that decision.
  • 88' Marvin Schulz has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 6 appearances.
  • 90' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Arthur Vermeeren is replaced by Kevin Kampl.
  • 90' Alexander Bernhardsson is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • RB Leipzig celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel25% Draw29% RB Leipzig46%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
54%
Draw or RB Leipzig
75%
Holstein Kiel or RB Leipzig
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel17% Draw49% RB Leipzig34%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 14% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 24% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.