Thursday , 2 July 2026

Holstein Kiel vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 7 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 14,715 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 27' Benjamin Sesko
0–2 69' Andre Silva pen

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 4.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Holstein Kiel 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals RB Leipzig

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–3 L
24 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
09 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L
02 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–0 W
29 Oct 1. FC Koln A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
04 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–0 W
30 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 1–5 L
26 Nov FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
23 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–4 L
09 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Holstein-Stadion that hosts another battle between Holstein Kiel and RB Leipzig.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' RB Leipzig is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' RB Leipzig seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 27' What a strike from Benjamin Sesko! The score is 0-1.
  • 32' Amadou Haidara needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 35' The referee calls foul for Armin Gigovic. He receives a card.
  • 40' Magnus Knudsen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Xaver Schlager has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Steven Skrzybski. He replaces Magnus Knudsen on 46 minute.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 56' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a card on 56.
  • 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 62' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lewis Holtby is hanging Armin Gigovic on the field on 62 minute.
  • 63' The whistle greets Lutsharel Geertruida as he departs to be replaced by Lukas Klostermann.
  • 67' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 67.
  • 68' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Marvin Schulz gets a card.
  • 69' Goal! Andre Silva scores his 100 goal in 121 matches.
  • 74' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alexander Bernhardsson is hanging Marvin Schulz on the field on 74 minute.
  • 74' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a card on 74.
  • 79' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 80' Benedikt Pichler has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shuto Machino on 80 minute.
  • 83' Benjamin Henrichs is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
  • 88' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 88.
  • 90' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Arthur Vermeeren by Kevin Kampl on 90 minute.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Alexander Bernhardsson gets a card.
  • Another three points for RB Leipzig.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel25% Draw29% RB Leipzig46%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
54%
Draw or RB Leipzig
75%
Holstein Kiel or RB Leipzig
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel17% Draw49% RB Leipzig34%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 14% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 24% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.