Holstein Kiel vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
- Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
8 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 10.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Nov | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | 1. FC Köln | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–5 | L |
| 26 Nov | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 3–4 | L |
| 09 Nov | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Holstein Kiel get us underway at Holstein-Stadion.
- 5' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcel Rapp might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and RB Leipzig are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 27' What a strike from Benjamin Sesko! The score is 0-1.
- 32' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Armin Gigovic on 35 minutes.
- 40' Holstein Kiel are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 4-4-2 shape.
- 45' RB Leipzig have won 747 goals from 524 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 46' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Magnus Knudsen exits the field as Steven Skrzybski enters on 46.
- 51' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 56' Lois Openda was booked on 56.
- 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andre Silva suffering a number of foals already.
- 62' The crowd applauds Armin Gigovic as he leaves the pitch. Lewis Holtby steps in for Holstein Kiel.
- 63' The crowd applauds Lutsharel Geertruida as he leaves the pitch. Lukas Klostermann steps in for RB Leipzig.
- 67' The referee calls foul for Timon Weiner. He receives a card.
- 68' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Marvin Schulz gets a card.
- 69' What composure from Andre Silva! The Portugal international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 74' A tactical swap from Holstein Kiel — Alexander Bernhardsson on, Marvin Schulz off on 74 minutes.
- 74' Poor challenge from Arthur Vermeeren. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 79' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 80' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Shuto Machino by Benedikt Pichler on 80 minute.
- 83' Benjamin Henrichs has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
- 88' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 90' Kevin Kampl gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Arthur Vermeeren and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Alexander Bernhardsson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for RB Leipzig players.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 18
- 15
- 1
- 24
- 8
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↓ Lewis Holtby 62'
- 14
- 22
- 19
- 23
- 6
Bench
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 62'
- 20
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↑ 46'
-
9
Benedikt Pichler ↑ 80'
- 27
- 21
- 33
-
11
Alexander Bernhardsson ↑ 74'
- 16
Coach
Marcel Rapp
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 11
- 3
- 39
- 14
- 1
- 4
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Andre Silva 63'
- 13
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Xaver Schlager 63'
- 7
-
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↓ Kevin Kampl 90'
Bench
-
16
Lukas Klostermann ↑ 63'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 90'
-
19
Andre Silva ↑ 63'
- 25
-
24
Xaver Schlager ↑ 63'
- 26
- 38
- 47
-
31
Faik Sakar ↑ 90'
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Benjamin Sesko | 2 |
| Andre Silva | 1 |
| Shuto Machino | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
RB Leipzig Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
54%
Draw or RB Leipzig
75%
Holstein Kiel or RB Leipzig
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

