Thursday , 2 July 2026

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Holstein Kiel
0 – 3
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sun 24 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 14,906 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Nadiem Amiri
0–2 37' Jonathan Burkardt pen
0–3 53' Jae-sung Lee
Patrick Erras 56' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

1
1
Holstein Kiel 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
09 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L
02 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–0 W
29 Oct 1. FC Koln A 0–3 L
26 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
20 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–2 L
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Nov Holstein Kiel A 3–0 W
09 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 3–1 W
03 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
30 Oct FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
25 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D
19 Oct RB Leipzig H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Holstein Kiel to score. At the same time, 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' It’s high time Bo Henriksen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Hyun-seok Hong has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 11' What a strike from Nadiem Amiri! The score is 0-1.
  • 16' Supporters expect more eagerness from Max Geschwill, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 21' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
  • 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 33' The whistle greets Shuto Machino as he departs to be replaced by Finn Porath.
  • 37' Goal! Jonathan Burkardt scores his 52 goal in 436 matches.
  • 42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' Benedikt Pichler is replacing Lewis Holtby for the Holstein Kiel side.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kaishu Sano made 447 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 53' Goal! Jae-sung Lee scores his 13 goal in 436 matches.
  • 56' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Patrick Erras gets a card.
  • 61' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 69' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hyun-seok Hong is hanging Jae-sung Lee on the field on 69 minute.
  • 72' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marvin Schulz is hanging Max Geschwill on the field on 72 minute.
  • 76' The whistle greets Steven Skrzybski as he departs to be replaced by Dominik Javorcek.
  • 80' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Silvan Widmer is hanging Anthony Caci on the field on 80 minute.
  • 85' Holstein Kiel is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 90' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Philipp Mwene is replaced by Nikolas Veratschnig on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. 1. FSV Mainz 05 beats Holstein Kiel

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Nadiem Amiri 1
Jae-sung Lee 1
Nelson Weiper 1
Alexander Bernhardsson 1
Jonathan Burkardt 1

Head to Head

2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Holstein Kiel Form

2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-11-09 SV Werder Bremen 2–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-11-02 Holstein Kiel 1–0 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2024-10-29 1. FC Koln 3–0 Holstein Kiel L 2024-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-10-20 Holstein Kiel 0–2 1. FC Union Berlin L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-11-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-11-03 SC Freiburg 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München L 2024-10-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia Monchengladbach D 2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.7 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 58% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel20% Draw27% 1. FSV Mainz 0553%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
47%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
80%
Holstein Kiel or 1. FSV Mainz 05
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel12% Draw48% 1. FSV Mainz 0540%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.6%
0 – 2
12.7%
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 4
3%
1 – 4
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 10% 86%
-0.5 14% — 86%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 26% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 19% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
50% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.