Holstein Kiel vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

Holstein Kiel

0 – 3

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 24 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 14,906 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 11' Nadiem Amiri

0–2 37' Jonathan Burkardt pen

0–3 53' Jae-sung Lee

Patrick Erras 56' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sascha Stegemann
Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth

3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

Holstein Kiel 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Nov	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–3	L
09 Nov	SV Werder Bremen	A	1–2	L
02 Nov	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	1–0	W
29 Oct	1. FC Köln	A	0–3	L
26 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–2	L
20 Oct	1. FC Union Berlin	H	0–2	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Nov	Holstein Kiel	A	3–0	W
09 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	H	3–1	W
03 Nov	SC Freiburg	A	0–0	D
30 Oct	FC Bayern München	H	0–4	L
25 Oct	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	1–1	D
19 Oct	RB Leipzig	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Holstein Kiel and 1. FSV Mainz 05 is underway.
5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Henriksen might look to freshen things up shortly.
10' Andreas Hanche-Olsen is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
11' What a moment for Nadiem Amiri! That strike on 11 puts his side firmly in control.
16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
21' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Phil Harres made 3 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
26' Jonathan Burkardt has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 6 goals this season.
31' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
33' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Shuto Machino exits the field as Finn Porath enters on 33.
37' Jonathan Burkardt adds to his 6 season tally! 1. FSV Mainz 05 lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
42' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Holstein Kiel side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
46' The whistle greets Lewis Holtby as he departs to be replaced by Benedikt Pichler.
51' It is a cagey affair so far. Holstein Kiel in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
53' Jae-sung Lee is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the midfielder.
56' Poor challenge from Patrick Erras. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
66' Holstein Kiel have won 180 goals from 284 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
69' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Jae-sung Lee by Hyun-seok Hong on 69 minute.
72' Holstein Kiel make a change. Max Geschwill trudges off to be replaced by Marvin Schulz on 72 minutes.
76' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Steven Skrzybski exits the field as Dominik Javorcek enters on 76.
80' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Anthony Caci is withdrawn and Silvan Widmer gets his opportunity.
85' South Korea international Hyun-seok Hong has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
90' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Nikolas Veratschnig comes on to replace Philipp Mwene.
With this win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

10
Lewis Holtby ↓ Benedikt Pichler 46'
7
Steven Skrzybski ↓ Dominik Javorcek 76'
4
Patrick Erras
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Finn Porath 33'
1
Timon Weiner
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz ↓ Armin Gigovic 33'
17
Timo Becker
14
Max Geschwill ↓ Marvin Schulz 72'
22
Nicolai Remberg
19
Phil Harres
6
Marko Ivezic

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 80'
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Andreas Hanche-Olsen 90'
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Nikolas Veratschnig 90'
27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↓ Armindo Sieb 80'
18
Nadiem Amiri
21
Danny da Costa
8
Paul Nebel
6
Kaishu Sano
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 69'

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonathan Burkardt	1
Nadiem Amiri	1
Jae-sung Lee	1
Nelson Weiper	1
Alexander Bernhardsson	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.7 Holstein Kiel xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.69 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 58% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Holstein Kiel20% Draw27% 1. FSV Mainz 0553%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.39

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw

47%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

80%

Holstein Kiel or 1. FSV Mainz 05

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Holstein Kiel12% Draw48% 1. FSV Mainz 0540%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

14.6%

0 – 2

12.7%

1 – 1

11.6%

0 – 0

11.2%

1 – 2

8.9%

0 – 3

Actual

1 – 0

5.4%

1 – 3

5.1%

2 – 1

3.6%

2 – 2

3.2%

0 – 4

1 – 4

2.2%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap	Holstein Kiel covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	3%	96%
-1.5	4%	—	96%
-1	4%	10%	86%
-0.5	14%	—	86%
+0.5	40%	—	60%
+1	40%	26%	34%
+1.5	66%	—	34%
+2	66%	19%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

50% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Holstein Kiel Form

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Clean Sheet