TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
- SC Freiburg 34 games · 47 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sven Jablonski
- Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
- Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
25 games this season
🟨 0.6/game
⚽ 4.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | SC Freiburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 4–3 | W |
| 10 Nov | FC Augsburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Nov | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #7 |
| 61 | Points | 47 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 13 / 8 / 13 |
| 65 | Scored | 51 |
| 52 | Conceded | 57 |
| +13 | GD | -6 |
| 1.79 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 53% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
18%
Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
SC Freiburg this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg — let the football do the talking.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Freiburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' Lukas Kubler has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 49 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 25' With 1 assists to his name this season, Andrej Kramaric is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Freiburg.
- 26' A meaty challenge results in booking for Patrick Osterhage on 26.
- 31' It’s high time Julian Schuster made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering TSG 1899 Hoffenheim that had 407 games and scored 529 goals.
- 41' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Freiburg backline.
- 46' SC Freiburg have won 469 goals from 493 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Noah Atubolu suffering a number of foals already.
- 56' SC Freiburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 60' A tactical swap from SC Freiburg — Vincenzo Grifo on, Patrick Osterhage off on 60 minutes.
- 65' SC Freiburg is showing some good football. However, SC Freiburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 68' GOAL! Matthias Ginter fires home to make it 0-1!
- 69' Michael Gregoritsch makes way for Merlin Rohl at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Freiburg.
- 72' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Diadie Samassekou exits the field as Dennis Geiger enters on 72.
- 73' Tom Bischof makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are in front.
- 78' A tactical swap from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Mergim Berisha on, Jacob Bruun Larsen off on 78 minutes.
- 81' That looks like a foul for a card for Dennis Geiger.
- 81' The SC Freiburg manager makes a substitution. Lucas Holer departs to be replaced by Eren Dinkci.
- 82' Kevin Akpoguma gets the nod from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. He replaces Adam Hlozek and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against SC Freiburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 29
- 1
-
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ Max Moerstedt 72'
- 18
-
23
Adam Hlozek ↓ Kevin Akpoguma 82'
- 15
- 16
- 35
- 22
- 7
- 34
Bench
-
25
Kevin Akpoguma ↑ 82'
- 3
-
8
Dennis Geiger ↑ 72'
-
10
Mergim Berisha ↑ 78'
- 26
- 37
- 19
-
33
Max Moerstedt ↑ 72'
- 2
Coach
Christian Ilzer
SC Freiburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 42
- 38
- 30
-
17
Lukas Kubler ↓ Max Rosenfelder 69'
- 3
- 27
-
9
Lucas Holer ↓ Eren Dinkci 81'
- 28
- 6
- 1
Bench
- 24
- 23
-
32
Vincenzo Grifo ↑ 60'
- 25
-
34
Merlin Rohl ↑ 69'
-
18
Eren Dinkci ↑ 81'
- 7
-
33
Jordy Makengo ↑ 81'
-
37
Max Rosenfelder ↑ 69'
Coach
Julian Schuster
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 6 |
| Lucas Holer | 5 |
| Roland Sallai | 3 |
| Vincenzo Grifo | 3 |
| Christian Gunter | 2 |
| Sebastian Rudy | 2 |
| Adam Szalai | 2 |
| Angelo Stiller | 2 |
Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2024-12-08
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
SC Freiburg
D
2024-12-04
VfL Wolfsburg
3–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-12-01
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-11-28
Sporting Clube de Braga
3–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-11-23
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–3
RB Leipzig
W
2024-11-10
FC Augsburg
0–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
SC Freiburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.99
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
72%
Draw or SC Freiburg
53%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or SC Freiburg
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
6%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Handicap | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers | Push | SC Freiburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 21% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

