Thursday , 2 July 2026

Arminia Bielefeld vs SC Freiburg, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 LAST 16

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Tue 3 Dec 2024 · 17:00 UTC SchucoArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Arminia Bielefeld vs SC FreiburgDFB-Pokal at SchucoArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
14 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec SC Freiburg H 3–1 W
30 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–0 W
17 Aug Hannover 96 H 2–0 W
31 Oct Hamburger SV H 4–5 L
12 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 H 6–3 W
19 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 0–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Arminia Bielefeld A 1–3 L
30 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–1 W
23 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
08 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
03 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–0 D
30 Oct Hamburger SV H 2–1 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8 Arminia Bielefeld xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arminia Bielefeld54% Draw25% SC Freiburg21%
Actual: Arminia Bielefeld win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Arminia Bielefeld or Draw
79%
Draw or SC Freiburg
46%
Arminia Bielefeld or SC Freiburg
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arminia Bielefeld38% Draw44% SC Freiburg18%
Actual: Arminia Bielefeld win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Arminia Bielefeld

Handicap Arminia Bielefeld covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Arminia Bielefeld keeps clean sheet
36%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.