Thursday , 2 July 2026

Holstein Kiel vs FC Augsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Holstein Kiel
5 – 1
Full Time
FC Augsburg
Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 14,830 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Alexis Claude Maurice
Lasse Rosenboom 12' 1–1
Phil Harres 32' 2–1
Phil Harres 35' 3–1
Shuto Machino 39' 4–1
Shuto Machino 90+1' 5–1
Y 29' Marius Wolf
Marcel Rapp 31' Y
Y 67' Dimitris Giannoulis
Y 83' Ruben Vargas
Y 86' Steve Mounie

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs FC Augsburg — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

2
1
Holstein Kiel 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals FC Augsburg
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel 5–1 FC Augsburg 2019-02-06 Holstein Kiel 0–1 FC Augsburg

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec FC Augsburg H 5–1 W
14 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–4 L
07 Dec RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–3 L
24 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
09 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L
FC Augsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Holstein Kiel A 1–5 L
14 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L
07 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–2 D
04 Dec Karlsruher SC A 5–4 W
30 Nov VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–0 W
22 Nov FC Bayern München A 0–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Augsburg
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: FC Augsburg gets underway.
  • 5' GOAL! Alexis Claude Maurice scores on 5. Assisted by Samuel Essende
  • 10' FC Augsburg is showing some good football. However, FC Augsburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 11' FC Augsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Henri Koudossou is hanging Keven Schlotterbeck on the field on 11 minute.
  • 12' What an equalizer from Lasse Rosenboom!
  • 17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alexander Bernhardsson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 22' Supporters expect more eagerness from Steve Mounie, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 27' Maximilian Bauer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 29' The referee calls foul for Marius Wolf. He receives a card.
  • 31' Marcel Rapp was booked on 31.
  • 32' What a strike from Phil Harres! The score is 2-1.
  • 35' Goal! Phil Harres scores his 15 goal in 3 matches.
  • 39' What a strike from Shuto Machino! The score is 4-1.
  • 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Arne Maier made 464 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' Another change for FC Augsburg made on 46 minute. Elvis Rexhbecaj leaves to be changed by Frank Onyeka.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 59' Time for substitution for FC Augsburg. Samuel Essende is replaced by Ruben Vargas.
  • 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
  • 66' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Alexander Bernhardsson departs to be replaced by Lewis Holtby.
  • 67' The referee shows FC Augsburg player a card on 67.
  • 72' Time for substitution for FC Augsburg. Marius Wolf is replaced by Steve Mounie.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Marco Komenda is replaced by Carl Johansson on 73 minute.
  • 78' Henri Koudossou needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 83' Ruben Vargas is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
  • 86' That looks like a foul for a card for Steve Mounie.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Dominik Javorcek. He replaces Finn Porath on 87 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Holstein Kiel players.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

FC Augsburg Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jess Thorup

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Shuto Machino 3
Alexander Bernhardsson 2
Phil Harres 2
Lasse Rosenboom 1
Steve Mounie 1
Michael Gregoritsch 1
Alexis Claude Maurice 1

Head to Head

2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel 5–1 FC Augsburg 2019-02-06 Holstein Kiel 0–1 FC Augsburg

Holstein Kiel Form

2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel 5–1 FC Augsburg W 2024-12-14 Borussia Monchengladbach 4–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-12-07 Holstein Kiel 0–2 RB Leipzig L 2024-11-29 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-11-09 SV Werder Bremen 2–1 Holstein Kiel L

FC Augsburg Form

2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel 5–1 FC Augsburg L 2024-12-14 FC Augsburg 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2024-12-07 Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 FC Augsburg D 2024-12-04 Karlsruher SC 4–5 FC Augsburg W 2024-11-30 FC Augsburg 1–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-11-22 FC Bayern München 3–0 FC Augsburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 FC Augsburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel51% Draw24% FC Augsburg25%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
75%
Draw or FC Augsburg
49%
Holstein Kiel or FC Augsburg
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel40% Draw40% FC Augsburg20%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push FC Augsburg covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.