Sunday , 16 August 2026

Holstein Kiel vs FC Augsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 14,830 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lasse Rosenboom 12' 1–1
Phil Harres 32' 2–1
Phil Harres 35' 3–1
Shuto Machino 39' 4–1
Shuto Machino 90+1' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs FC AugsburgBundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak

Head-to-Head

2
1
Holstein Kiel 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals FC Augsburg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec FC Augsburg H 5–1 W
14 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–4 L
07 Dec RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–3 L
24 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
09 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Holstein Kiel A 1–5 L
14 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L
07 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–2 D
04 Dec Karlsruher SC A 5–4 W
30 Nov VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–0 W
22 Nov FC Bayern München A 0–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Holstein Kiel and FC Augsburg has kicked off!
  • 5' Goal! Alexis Claude Maurice scores his 43 goal in 434 matches.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Holstein Kiel side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 11' Henri Koudossou is ready to make an impact after coming on for Keven Schlotterbeck at the 11 minute mark.
  • 12' What composure from Lasse Rosenboom! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 17' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 22' It is a cagey affair so far. Holstein Kiel in their 5-3-2 trying to find a way past FC Augsburg's compact 3-1-4-2.
  • 27' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and FC Augsburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 29' Marius Wolf has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 29.
  • 31' Marcel Rapp is having his name booked by the referee on 31.
  • 32' Phil Harres does the damage! The net is bulging and Holstein Kiel surge ahead!
  • 35' GOAL! Phil Harres fires home to make it 3-1!
  • 39' Brilliant from the forward! Shuto Machino makes it 4-1 with a superb finish on 39.
  • 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' FC Augsburg ring the changes. Elvis Rexhbecaj has done his job and it is now time for Frank Onyeka to step up.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 59' FC Augsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ruben Vargas is hanging Samuel Essende on the field on 59 minute.
  • 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
  • 66' The Holstein Kiel bench stirs into life. Alexander Bernhardsson is withdrawn and Lewis Holtby gets his opportunity.
  • 67' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dimitris Giannoulis on 67 minutes.
  • 72' The FC Augsburg manager makes a substitution. Marius Wolf departs to be replaced by Steve Mounie.
  • 73' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Carl Johansson comes on to replace Marco Komenda.
  • 78' It looks surprising FC Augsburg does not make any changes. Armin Gigovic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 83' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ruben Vargas.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Steve Mounie. He receives a card.
  • 87' Finn Porath makes way for Dominik Javorcek at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Holstein Kiel.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Holstein Kiel to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 FC Augsburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel51% Draw24% FC Augsburg25%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
75%
Draw or FC Augsburg
49%
Holstein Kiel or FC Augsburg
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel40% Draw40% FC Augsburg20%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push FC Augsburg covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
27%
FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.