FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
35 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 7.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | Holstein Kiel | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Nov | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | FC Bayern München | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | RB Leipzig | A | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | 1. FC Koln | A | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Holstein Kiel gets underway.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 23' Lewis Holtby was booked on 23.
- 25' Manolis Saliakas puts FC St. Pauli 1910 on the lead.
- 27' The referee calls foul for Marko Ivezic. He receives a card.
- 32' It’s high time Alexander Blessin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marko Ivezic made 277 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 38' Eric Smith is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
- 43' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 48' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 48.
- 50' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Dirk Bremser gets a card.
- 55' FC St. Pauli 1910 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 56' What a strike from Morgan Guilavogui! The score is 2-0.
- 59' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 59 minute. Jann-Fiete Arp leaves to be changed by Shuto Machino.
- 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 68' Benedikt Pichler is replacing Lewis Holtby for the Holstein Kiel side.
- 71' Another substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910 to replace Manolis Saliakas by Lars Ritzka on 71 minute.
- 74' Another substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910 to replace Morgan Guilavogui by Danel Sinani on 74 minute.
- 77' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Magnus Knudsen departs to be replaced by Armin Gigovic.
- 78' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Finn Porath is replaced by Lasse Rosenboom on 78 minute.
- 83' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 85' Goal! Johannes Eggestein scores his 26 goal in 414 matches.
- 86' FC St. Pauli 1910 player sees a card in front of him.
- 89' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Johannes Eggestein departs to be replaced by Andreas Albers.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Patrick Erras.
- 90' The whistle greets Oladapo Afolayan as he departs to be replaced by Erik Ahlstrand.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC St. Pauli 1910 players.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 7
- 8
- 17
- 22
- 29
- 16
- 4
-
2
Manolis Saliakas ↓ Lars Ritzka 71'
- 23
Bench
- 32
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↑ 71'
- 25
-
10
Danel Sinani ↑ 74'
- 9
-
19
Andreas Albers ↑ 89'
- 14
-
20
Erik Ahlstrand ↑ 90'
- 42
Coach
Alexander Blessin
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↓ Benedikt Pichler 68'
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↓ Shuto Machino 59'
- 4
- 1
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↓ Armin Gigovic 77'
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Lasse Rosenboom 78'
- 17
- 14
- 22
- 19
- 6
Bench
-
18
Shuto Machino ↑ 59'
-
9
Benedikt Pichler ↑ 68'
-
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz ↑ 68'
- 3
- 21
- 33
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 77'
- 5
-
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↑ 78'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oladapo Afolayan | 3 |
| Connor Metcalfe | 2 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 2 |
| Marcel Hartel | 2 |
| Eric Smith | 1 |
| Lewis Holtby | 1 |
| Joshua Mees | 1 |
| Johannes Eggestein | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2024-11-29
FC St. Pauli 1910
3–1
Holstein Kiel
W
2024-11-24
Borussia Monchengladbach
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-11-09
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-11-02
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-10-29
RB Leipzig
4–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-10-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
VfL Wolfsburg
D
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.07
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 61% + FC St. Pauli 1910 to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
81%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
41%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Holstein Kiel
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 22% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.