FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | Holstein Kiel | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Nov | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | FC Bayern München | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | RB Leipzig | A | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | 1. FC Köln | A | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Millerntor-Stadion. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC St. Pauli 1910 and Holstein Kiel.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' FC St. Pauli 1910 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lewis Holtby made 268 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 23' The referee has no hesitation. Lewis Holtby is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 23.
- 25' The Greece Manolis Saliakas breaks the deadlock on 25 minutes. 1-0!
- 27' Marko Ivezic picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 37' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 38' That looks like a foul for a card for Eric Smith.
- 43' Timon Weiner has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 48' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 50' That looks like a foul for a card for Dirk Bremser.
- 55' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 56' Morgan Guilavogui doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Shuto Machino. He replaces Jann-Fiete Arp on 59 minute.
- 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 68' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 68 minute. Lewis Holtby leaves to be changed by Benedikt Pichler.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Lars Ritzka. He replaces Manolis Saliakas on 71 minute.
- 74' A change in the FC St. Pauli 1910 ranks — Morgan Guilavogui exits the field as Danel Sinani enters on 74.
- 77' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 77 minute. Magnus Knudsen leaves to be changed by Armin Gigovic.
- 78' Finn Porath makes way for Lasse Rosenboom at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Holstein Kiel.
- 83' Benedikt Pichler is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
- 85' Against the run of play, Johannes Eggestein has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 86' Oladapo Afolayan picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 89' Andreas Albers is ready to make an impact after coming on for Johannes Eggestein at the 89 minute mark.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Patrick Erras.
- 90' FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Erik Ahlstrand is hanging Oladapo Afolayan on the field on 90 minute.
- The final score is 3-1.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 7
- 8
- 17
- 22
- 29
- 16
- 4
-
2
Manolis Saliakas ↓ Lars Ritzka 71'
- 23
Bench
- 32
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↑ 71'
- 25
-
10
Danel Sinani ↑ 74'
- 9
-
19
Andreas Albers ↑ 89'
- 14
-
20
Erik Ahlstrand ↑ 90'
- 42
Coach
Alexander Blessin
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↓ Benedikt Pichler 68'
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↓ Shuto Machino 59'
- 4
- 1
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↓ Armin Gigovic 77'
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Lasse Rosenboom 78'
- 17
- 14
- 22
- 19
- 6
Bench
-
18
Shuto Machino ↑ 59'
-
9
Benedikt Pichler ↑ 68'
-
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz ↑ 68'
- 3
- 21
- 33
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 77'
- 5
-
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↑ 78'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oladapo Afolayan | 3 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 2 |
| Phil Harres | 2 |
| Marcel Hartel | 2 |
| Connor Metcalfe | 2 |
| Joshua Mees | 1 |
| Johannes Eggestein | 1 |
| Shuto Machino | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2024-11-29
FC St. Pauli 1910
3–1
Holstein Kiel
W
2024-11-24
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-11-09
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-11-02
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-10-29
RB Leipzig
4–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-10-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
VfL Wolfsburg
D
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.07
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 61% + FC St. Pauli 1910 to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
81%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
41%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Holstein Kiel
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 22% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.