Sunday , 16 August 2026

SC Bastia vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
1 0
Full Time
Mon 26 Dec 2022 · 20:00 UTC Stade Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec SM Caen H 1–0 W
12 Nov FC Sochaux-Montbéliard A 0–1 L
05 Nov Paris FC H 0–1 L
22 Oct En Avant Guingamp A 1–1 D
17 Oct FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 1–1 D
08 Oct Le Havre AC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec SC Bastia A 0–1 L
12 Nov FC Annecy H 0–0 D
05 Nov Valenciennes FC A 1–1 D
22 Oct Rodez Aveyron Football H 2–0 W
15 Oct Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–4 L
08 Oct Chamois Niortais FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stade Armand Cesari will turn into a battlefield for SC Bastia and SM Caen.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' SC Bastia is showing some good football. However, SC Bastia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Caleb Zady Sery needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 20' It’s high time Regis Brouard made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' The referee has no hesitation. Kevin Schur is booked for SC Bastia — Yellow card on 25.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' The home supporters are growing impatient. SC Bastia must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 45' Dylan Tavares is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SM Caen so far.
  • 50' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Bastia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Johny Placide, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Armand Cesari with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 60' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ali El Abdi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SM Caen.
  • 65' Godson Kyeremeh has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Christophe Vincent. He replaces Sebastien Salles Lamonge on 68 minute.
  • 69' Fresh legs for SC Bastia! Yohan Bai comes on to replace Benjamin Santelli.
  • 74' Kevin Schur, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 76' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Kylian Kaiboue.
  • 77' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Bilal Brahimi departs to be replaced by Caleb Zady Sery.
  • 78' That is a Yellow card for SC Bastia. Christophe Vincent will be fuming at that decision.
  • 83' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 88' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yoann Court made 444 appearances and scored 19 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' Yoann Court has so much to prove this time. He replaces Emmanuel Ntim on 90 minute.
  • 90' It’s a booking for SC Bastia player. Yohan Bai gets a Red card.
  • Full Time. SC Bastia beats SM Caen

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: SC Bastia or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia45% Draw30% SM Caen25%
Actual: SC Bastia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
75%
Draw or SM Caen
55%
SC Bastia or SM Caen
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia29% Draw53% SM Caen18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
42%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.