SC Bastia vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Etienne | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier HSC | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Stade de Reims | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Pau FC | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Metz | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Red Star FC | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Annecy | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | USL Dunkerque | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | En Avant Guingamp | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | US Boulogne Cote d'Opale | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | Clermont Foot 63 | 12 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 12 | 11 |
| 17 | FC Nantes | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 11 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | SM Caen | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Nov | Paris FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Oct | En Avant Guingamp | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | FC Girondins de Bordeaux | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Oct | Le Havre AC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | SC Bastia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Nov | FC Annecy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | Valenciennes FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Oct | Rodez Aveyron Football | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Oct | Chamois Niortais FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Stade Armand Cesari. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Dylan Tavares, a Cape Verde Islands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Kevin Schur.
- 30' Anthony Mandrea has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Bastia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 40' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Regis Brouard will be considering his options from the bench.
- 50' SC Bastia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 55' SC Bastia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 60' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Bastia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 65' Kevin Schur has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 174 appearances.
- 68' A change in the SC Bastia ranks — Sebastien Salles Lamonge exits the field as Christophe Vincent enters on 68.
- 69' It is a substitution in SC Bastia team. Benjamin Santelli is replaced by Yohan Bai on 69 minute.
- 74' A quiet spell here at Stade Armand Cesari. SM Caen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 76' Kylian Kaiboue was booked on 76.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Caleb Zady Sery. He replaces Bilal Brahimi on 77 minute.
- 78' That is a Yellow card for SC Bastia. Christophe Vincent will be fuming at that decision.
- 83' With 0 assists to his name this season, Emmanuel Ntim is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Bastia.
- 88' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. Johny Placide has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 90' Fresh legs for SM Caen! Yoann Court comes on to replace Emmanuel Ntim.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Yohan Bai is booked for SC Bastia — Red card on 90.
- SC Bastia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
SC Bastia Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 20
-
9
Benjamin Santelli ↓ Yohan Bai 69'
- 22
- 25
- 27
- 8
- 30
- 10
- 42
- 5
Bench
- 1
- 23
-
7
Christophe Vincent ↑ 68'
- 4
- 86
- 78
- 66
-
96
Yohan Bai ↑ 69'
Coach
Regis Brouard
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Bilal Brahimi ↓ Caleb Zady Sery 77'
- 8
- 27
- 1
- 29
-
19
Alex Mendy ↓ Benjamin Jeannot 77'
-
91
Emmanuel Ntim ↓ Yoann Court 90'
- 99
- 2
- 24
- 18
Bench
- 16
-
9
Benjamin Jeannot ↑ 77'
-
10
Caleb Zady Sery ↑ 77'
-
11
Yoann Court ↑ 90'
-
17
Godson Kyeremeh ↑ 69'
- 6
- 28
Coach
Stephane Moulin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Mendy | 6 |
| Nuno Da Costa | 3 |
| Yohan Bai | 3 |
| Benjamin Santelli | 2 |
| Bilal Brahimi | 1 |
| Ilyes Najim | 1 |
| Dominique Guidi | 1 |
| Zakaria Ariss | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Bastia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23
SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
SM Caen xG
I would bet for:
SC Bastia or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Bastia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
SC Bastia or Draw
75%
Draw or SM Caen
55%
SC Bastia or SM Caen
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
1.6%
Asian Handicap — SC Bastia
| Handicap | SC Bastia covers | Push | SM Caen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 23% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 16% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

