Saturday , 7 November 2026

SC Bastia vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
1 – 0
Full Time
Mon 26 Dec 2022 · 20:00 UTC Stade Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs SM Caen — Ligue 2 at Stade Armand Cesari.

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec SM Caen H 1–0 W
12 Nov FC Sochaux-Montbeliard A 0–1 L
05 Nov Paris FC H 0–1 L
22 Oct En Avant Guingamp A 1–1 D
17 Oct FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 1–1 D
08 Oct Le Havre AC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec SC Bastia A 0–1 L
12 Nov FC Annecy H 0–0 D
05 Nov Valenciennes FC A 1–1 D
22 Oct Rodez Aveyron Football H 2–0 W
15 Oct Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–4 L
08 Oct Chamois Niortais FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stade Armand Cesari. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Dylan Tavares, a Cape Verde Islands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Kevin Schur.
  • 30' Anthony Mandrea has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Bastia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 40' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Regis Brouard will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 50' SC Bastia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 55' SC Bastia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 60' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Bastia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 65' Kevin Schur has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 174 appearances.
  • 68' A change in the SC Bastia ranks — Sebastien Salles Lamonge exits the field as Christophe Vincent enters on 68.
  • 69' It is a substitution in SC Bastia team. Benjamin Santelli is replaced by Yohan Bai on 69 minute.
  • 74' A quiet spell here at Stade Armand Cesari. SM Caen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 76' Kylian Kaiboue was booked on 76.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Caleb Zady Sery. He replaces Bilal Brahimi on 77 minute.
  • 78' That is a Yellow card for SC Bastia. Christophe Vincent will be fuming at that decision.
  • 83' With 0 assists to his name this season, Emmanuel Ntim is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Bastia.
  • 88' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. Johny Placide has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' Fresh legs for SM Caen! Yoann Court comes on to replace Emmanuel Ntim.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Yohan Bai is booked for SC Bastia — Red card on 90.
  • SC Bastia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: SC Bastia or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia45% Draw30% SM Caen25%
Actual: SC Bastia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
75%
Draw or SM Caen
55%
SC Bastia or SM Caen
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia29% Draw53% SM Caen18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.