Thursday , 2 July 2026

Valenciennes FC vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
Sat 5 Nov 2022 · 18:00 UTC Stade du Hainaut HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov SM Caen H 1–1 D
22 Oct Grenoble Foot 38 A 0–1 L
15 Oct En Avant Guingamp H 1–0 W
08 Oct Paris FC A 1–0 W
01 Oct FC Sochaux-Montbeliard H 2–1 W
17 Sep Pau FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Valenciennes FC A 1–1 D
22 Oct Rodez Aveyron Football H 2–0 W
15 Oct Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–4 L
08 Oct Chamois Niortais FC H 1–0 W
01 Oct US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 0–1 L
17 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 A 0–1 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stade du Hainaut. Valenciennes FC are looking to make home advantage count against SM Caen.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Valenciennes FC and SM Caen are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 6' Emmanuel Ntim catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 6.
  • 7' Emmanuel Ntim has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 7.
  • 12' It looks like no one’s ball. Valenciennes FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 17' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 22' Both keepers have barely been tested. Valenciennes FC and SM Caen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 23' What a strike from Alex Mendy! The score is 0-1.
  • 28' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 33' Quentin Daubin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 38' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Joffrey Cuffaut makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 38' Anthony Mandrea catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 38.
  • 39' Joffrey Cuffaut makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Valenciennes FC are in front.
  • 41' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Romain Thomas on 41 minutes.
  • 46' SM Caen come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Valenciennes FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' Jessy Deminguet is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Valenciennes FC so far.
  • 57' Controversy at the stadium! Joffrey Cuffaut argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 62' Valenciennes FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 63' Another change for Valenciennes FC made on 63 minute. Aeron Zinga leaves to be changed by Marius Noubissi.
  • 68' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 73' Valenciennes FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SM Caen's shape.
  • 77' Aymen Boutoutaou is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ilyes Hamache at the 77 minute mark.
  • 80' Time for substitution for SM Caen. Alex Mendy is replaced by Benjamin Jeannot.
  • 85' Johann Obiang is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hugo Vandermersch at the 85 minute mark.
  • 88' It’s a booking for Valenciennes FC player. Marius Noubissi gets a Yellow card.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ali El Abdi on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Another change for Valenciennes FC made on 90 minute. Ugo Bonnet leaves to be changed by Florian Martin.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valenciennes FC49% Draw28% SM Caen23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
78%
Draw or SM Caen
51%
Valenciennes FC or SM Caen
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Valenciennes FC33% Draw51% SM Caen16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
13.4%
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
42%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.