Sunday , 16 August 2026

SM Caen vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2021-22
2 1
Full Time
Sat 26 Feb 2022 · 18:00 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

5
1
2
SM Caen 8 games · Avg 2.4 goals SC Bastia

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb SC Bastia H 2–1 W
19 Feb Pau FC A 0–1 L
12 Feb Nimes Olympique H 4–0 W
05 Feb AS Nancy-Lorraine A 1–1 D
28 Jan Chamois Niortais FC H 0–2 L
20 Nov Paris FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb SM Caen A 1–2 L
19 Feb Dijon Football Cote d'Or H 0–0 D
14 Feb Le Havre AC A 4–2 W
05 Feb Pau FC H 1–1 D
20 Nov Chamois Niortais FC H 2–0 W
06 Nov En Avant Guingamp A 3–2 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or SC Bastia 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen45% Draw27% SC Bastia28%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
71%
Draw or SC Bastia
55%
SM Caen or SC Bastia
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen31% Draw46% SC Bastia23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
29%
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.