Sunday , 16 August 2026

Rochdale AFC vs Milton Keynes Dons FC, League One 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2020-21
Rochdale AFC
1 – 4
Full Time
Milton Keynes Dons FC
Tue 9 Feb 2021 · 19:00 UTC Crown Oil Arena HT 45+6' · FT 45+5'
Eoghan O'Connell 30' Y
Matthew Lund 65' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Rochdale AFC vs Milton Keynes Dons FC — League One at Crown Oil Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Mark Cunliffe
  • Referee Carl Boyeson
  • Referee Peter Gooch
  • Referee Christopher Ward

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Lincoln City FC 46 103
2 Cardiff City FC 46 91
3 Bolton Wanderers FC 46 75
4 Exeter City FC 46 49
5 Port Vale FC 46 42
6 Rotherham United FC 46 41
7 Northampton Town FC 46 35
8 Huddersfield Town AFC 1 3
9 Stockport County FC 1 3
10 Bradford City AFC 1 3
11 Luton Town FC 1 3
12 Cambridge United FC 1 3
13 Mansfield Town FC 1 3
14 Sheffield Wednesday FC 1 3
15 Bromley FC 1 3
16 Oxford United FC 1 1
17 Milton Keynes Dons FC 1 1
18 Stevenage FC 1 1
19 Wycombe Wanderers FC 1 1
20 Blackpool FC 1 1
21 Burton Albion FC 1 1
22 Leicester City FC 1 1
23 Notts County FC 1 1
24 Reading FC 1 0
25 Wigan Athletic FC 1 0
26 Doncaster Rovers FC 1 0
27 Leyton Orient FC 1 0
28 Barnsley FC 1 0
29 Plymouth Argyle FC 1 0
30 Peterborough United FC 1 0
31 AFC Wimbledon 1 0

Head-to-Head

2
2
Rochdale AFC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Milton Keynes Dons FC
Last 5 meetings
2021-02-09 Rochdale AFC 1–4 Milton Keynes Dons FC 2020-01-28 Milton Keynes Dons FC 2–1 Rochdale AFC 2019-10-22 Rochdale AFC 2–0 Milton Keynes Dons FC

Recent Form

Rochdale AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–4 L
06 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 0–2 L
30 Jan Bristol Rovers FC A 2–1 W
26 Jan Oxford United FC H 3–4 L
23 Jan Gillingham FC A 2–2 D
19 Jan Doncaster Rovers FC A 0–1 L
Milton Keynes Dons FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Rochdale AFC A 4–1 W
06 Feb Sunderland AFC H 2–2 D
30 Jan AFC Wimbledon A 2–0 W
26 Jan Charlton Athletic FC H 0–1 L
19 Jan Fleetwood Town FC H 3–1 W
16 Jan Peterborough United FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Milton Keynes Dons FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Milton Keynes Dons FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Rochdale AFC and Milton Keynes Dons FC get this one started.
  • 5' A goal from the Denmark international Matt O'Riley! He fires home on 5 to make it 0-1!
  • 10' Milton Keynes Dons FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matt Done made 140 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matthew Lund, as he is very good at scoring at Crown Oil Arena with 9 goals in the last 7 games.
  • 25' It looks surprising Milton Keynes Dons FC does not make any changes. Haydon Roberts has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' Eoghan O'Connell catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 30.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lasse Sorensen suffering a number of foals already.
  • 37' It is a substitution in Rochdale AFC team. Eoghan O'Connell is replaced by Jimmy Keohane on 37 minute.
  • 39' A goal from the Northern Ireland international Matthew Lund! He fires home on 39 to make it 1-1!
  • 44' Aaron Morley is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Milton Keynes Dons FC tonight.
  • 49' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Rochdale AFC that had 140 games and scored 206 goals.
  • 55' Milton Keynes Dons FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Zak Jules on 55.
  • 58' Magnificent from Scott Fraser! That is 40 goals in 372 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 62' Cameron Jerome adds to his 0 season tally! Milton Keynes Dons FC lead 1-4 — and this changes everything.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Aaron Morley as he leaves the pitch. Kwadwo Baah steps in for Rochdale AFC.
  • 65' That is a Yellow card for Rochdale AFC. Matthew Lund will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' Milton Keynes Dons FC make a change. Zak Jules trudges off to be replaced by Matthew Sorinola on 70 minutes.
  • 75' Rochdale AFC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Milton Keynes Dons FC's shape.
  • 77' The whistle greets Will Grigg as he departs to be replaced by Charlie Brown.
  • 78' A tactical swap from Rochdale AFC — Conor Grant on, Alex Newby off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 85' Another change for Milton Keynes Dons FC made on 85 minute. Ethan Laird leaves to be changed by Daniel Harvie.
  • 90' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • It finishes all square. Rochdale AFC and Milton Keynes Dons FC share the spoils 1-4.

Lineups

Rochdale AFC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Brian Barry-Murphy

Milton Keynes Dons FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Russell Martin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ian Henderson 2
Aaron Morley 2
Jimmy Keohane 1
Rhys Healey 1
Carlton Morris 1
Matthew Lund 1
Scott Fraser 1
Matt O'Riley 1

Head to Head

2021-02-09 Rochdale AFC 1–4 Milton Keynes Dons FC 2020-01-28 Milton Keynes Dons FC 2–1 Rochdale AFC 2019-10-22 Rochdale AFC 2–0 Milton Keynes Dons FC

Rochdale AFC Form

2021-02-09 Rochdale AFC 1–4 Milton Keynes Dons FC L 2021-02-06 Rochdale AFC 0–2 Charlton Athletic FC L 2021-01-30 Bristol Rovers FC 1–2 Rochdale AFC W 2021-01-26 Rochdale AFC 3–4 Oxford United FC L 2021-01-23 Gillingham FC 2–2 Rochdale AFC D 2021-01-19 Doncaster Rovers FC 1–0 Rochdale AFC L

Milton Keynes Dons FC Form

2021-02-09 Rochdale AFC 1–4 Milton Keynes Dons FC W 2021-02-06 Milton Keynes Dons FC 2–2 Sunderland AFC D 2021-01-30 AFC Wimbledon 0–2 Milton Keynes Dons FC W 2021-01-26 Milton Keynes Dons FC 0–1 Charlton Athletic FC L 2021-01-19 Milton Keynes Dons FC 3–1 Fleetwood Town FC W 2021-01-16 Peterborough United FC 3–0 Milton Keynes Dons FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.28 Rochdale AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 Milton Keynes Dons FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rochdale AFC28% Draw26% Milton Keynes Dons FC46%
Actual: Milton Keynes Dons FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Rochdale AFC or Draw
54%
Draw or Milton Keynes Dons FC
72%
Rochdale AFC or Milton Keynes Dons FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Rochdale AFC21% Draw43% Milton Keynes Dons FC36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
4.8%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Rochdale AFC

Handicap Rochdale AFC covers Push Milton Keynes Dons FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Rochdale AFC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Milton Keynes Dons FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.