Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rochdale AFC vs Milton Keynes Dons FC, League One 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2020-21
Tue 9 Feb 2021 · 19:00 UTC Crown Oil Arena HT 45+6' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

Rochdale AFC vs Milton Keynes Dons FCLeague One at Crown Oil Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Mark Cunliffe
  • Referee Carl Boyeson
  • Referee Peter Gooch
  • Referee Christopher Ward

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–4 L
06 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 0–2 L
30 Jan Bristol Rovers FC A 2–1 W
26 Jan Oxford United FC H 3–4 L
23 Jan Gillingham FC A 2–2 D
19 Jan Doncaster Rovers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Rochdale AFC A 4–1 W
06 Feb Sunderland AFC H 2–2 D
30 Jan AFC Wimbledon A 2–0 W
26 Jan Charlton Athletic FC H 0–1 L
19 Jan Fleetwood Town FC H 3–1 W
16 Jan Peterborough United FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Milton Keynes Dons FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' What a strike from Matt O'Riley! The score is 0-1.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matt Done made 140 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Scott Fraser suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' It looks surprising Rochdale AFC does not make any changes. Matthew Lund has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' Conor Shaughnessy needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 10 Yellow cards this season.
  • 30' The referee calls foul for Eoghan O'Connell. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 37' Time for substitution for Rochdale AFC. Eoghan O'Connell is replaced by Jimmy Keohane.
  • 39' GOAL! Matthew Lund scores on 39. Assisted by Stephen Humphrys
  • 44' Milton Keynes Dons FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 49' It’s high time Russell Martin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 55' Zak Jules puts Milton Keynes Dons FC on the lead.
  • 58' What a strike from Scott Fraser! The score is 1-3.
  • 62' Goal! Cameron Jerome scores his 23 goal in 177 matches.
  • 64' Kwadwo Baah is replacing Aaron Morley for the Rochdale AFC side.
  • 65' Matthew Lund was booked on 65.
  • 70' The whistle greets Zak Jules as he departs to be replaced by Matthew Sorinola.
  • 75' The travelling Milton Keynes Dons FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 77' Charlie Brown has so much to prove this time. He replaces Will Grigg on 77 minute.
  • 78' Another change for Rochdale AFC made on 78 minute. Alex Newby leaves to be changed by Conor Grant.
  • 83' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 85' Daniel Harvie is replacing Ethan Laird for the Milton Keynes Dons FC side.
  • 90' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Rochdale AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Rochdale AFC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.28 Rochdale AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 Milton Keynes Dons FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rochdale AFC28% Draw26% Milton Keynes Dons FC46%
Actual: Milton Keynes Dons FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Rochdale AFC or Draw
54%
Draw or Milton Keynes Dons FC
72%
Rochdale AFC or Milton Keynes Dons FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Rochdale AFC21% Draw43% Milton Keynes Dons FC36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
4.8%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Rochdale AFC

Handicap Rochdale AFC covers Push Milton Keynes Dons FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Rochdale AFC keeps clean sheet
17%
Milton Keynes Dons FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.