Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Rochdale AFC vs Oxford United FC, League One 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2020-21
Tue 26 Jan 2021 · 19:00 UTC Crown Oil Arena HT 45+4' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

Rochdale AFC vs Oxford United FC — League One at Crown Oil Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Graeme Fyvie
  • Referee Paul Marsden
  • Referee Ross Joyce
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Oxford United FC H 3–4 L
23 Jan Gillingham FC A 2–2 D
19 Jan Doncaster Rovers FC A 0–1 L
16 Jan Wigan Athletic FC H 3–3 D
12 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 4–4 D
09 Jan Crewe Alexandra FC H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Rochdale AFC A 4–3 W
23 Jan Bristol Rovers FC H 2–0 W
02 Jan Burton Albion FC A 5–1 W
29 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–2 W
26 Dec AFC Wimbledon H 2–0 W
15 Dec Northampton Town FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oxford United FC
Mark Harris 3 G 1 A
Gatlin O'Donkor 3 G 1 A
Ciaron Brown 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Rochdale AFC launch into their encounter with Oxford United FC.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Brian Barry-Murphy might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 6' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Matt Done on 6 minutes.
  • 11' Oxford United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 12' Daniel Agyei is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 17' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 22' Against the run of play, Matt Done has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 27' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' Stephen Humphrys has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 30 minutes.
  • 35' Rochdale AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Oxford United FC backline.
  • 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Rochdale AFC and Oxford United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Rochdale AFC and Oxford United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 46' The whistle greets Jamie Hanson as he departs to be replaced by James Henry.
  • 48' The referee has no hesitation. Oliver Rathbone is booked for Rochdale AFC — Yellow card on 48.
  • 49' Elliott Moore doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 54' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 59' The whistle greets Kwadwo Baah as he departs to be replaced by Alex Newby.
  • 60' That is a Yellow card for Oxford United FC. Cameron Brannagan will be fuming at that decision.
  • 62' James Henry has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 62 minutes.
  • 64' Goal! Matthew Lund scores his 18 goal in 51 matches.
  • 68' Time for substitution for Oxford United FC. Daniel Agyei is replaced by Anthony Forde.
  • 73' Rochdale AFC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Oxford United FC's shape.
  • 77' It’s a booking for Rochdale AFC player. Stephen Humphrys gets a Yellow card.
  • 82' Oxford United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 87' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • Another three points for Oxford United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 Rochdale AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rochdale AFC28% Draw22% Oxford United FC50%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Rochdale AFC or Draw
50%
Draw or Oxford United FC
72%
Rochdale AFC or Oxford United FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rochdale AFC24% Draw37% Oxford United FC39%
Actual: Rochdale AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 2
8%
1 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 3
3.7%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Rochdale AFC

Handicap Rochdale AFC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 8% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 14% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 19% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Rochdale AFC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.