Rochdale AFC vs Oxford United FC, League One 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2020-21

Rochdale AFC

3 – 4

Full Time

Oxford United FC

Tue 26 Jan 2021 · 19:00 UTC Crown Oil Arena HT 45+4' · FT 45+4'

Matt Done 6' Y

Oliver Rathbone 48' Y

Y 60' Cameron Brannagan

Stephen Humphrys 77' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Rochdale AFC vs Oxford United FC — League One at Crown Oil Arena.

Rochdale AFC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Oxford United FC 13 games · 26 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Graeme Fyvie
Referee Paul Marsden
Referee Ross Joyce
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Huddersfield Town AFC	14	29
2	Stockport County FC	15	29
3	Oxford United FC	13	26
4	Luton Town FC	14	24
5	Sheffield Wednesday FC	14	23
6	Plymouth Argyle FC	15	23
7	Reading FC	15	22
8	Bradford City AFC	13	22
9	Milton Keynes Dons FC	14	21
10	Cambridge United FC	14	21
11	Leicester City FC	13	19
12	Mansfield Town FC	13	19
13	Wycombe Wanderers FC	13	18
14	Leyton Orient FC	13	17
15	Burton Albion FC	15	17
16	Stevenage FC	12	16
17	AFC Wimbledon	14	16
18	Notts County FC	12	14
19	Wigan Athletic FC	15	14
20	Blackpool FC	13	12
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	13	12
22	Peterborough United FC	13	10
23	Barnsley FC	13	9
24	Bromley FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Rochdale AFC 5 games · Avg 4.0 goals Oxford United FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-01-26 Rochdale AFC 3–4 Oxford United FC 2020-11-03 Oxford United FC 3–1 Rochdale AFC 2019-10-26 Oxford United FC 3–0 Rochdale AFC 2019-03-12 Rochdale AFC 0–0 Oxford United FC 2018-11-27 Oxford United FC 4–2 Rochdale AFC

Recent Form

Rochdale AFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Jan	Oxford United FC	H	3–4	L
23 Jan	Gillingham FC	A	2–2	D
19 Jan	Doncaster Rovers FC	A	0–1	L
16 Jan	Wigan Athletic FC	H	3–3	D
12 Jan	Charlton Athletic FC	A	4–4	D
09 Jan	Crewe Alexandra FC	H	3–3	D

Oxford United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Jan	Rochdale AFC	A	4–3	W
23 Jan	Bristol Rovers FC	H	2–0	W
02 Jan	Burton Albion FC	A	5–1	W
29 Dec	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	3–2	W
26 Dec	AFC Wimbledon	H	2–0	W
15 Dec	Northampton Town FC	H	4–0	W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

38% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

2/1

31-45

3/2

46-60

3/2

61-75

3/2

76+

9/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oxford United FC

Mark Harris	6 G	1 A
Gatlin O'Donkor	4 G	2 A
Cameron Brannagan	2 G
Ciaron Brown	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Crown Oil Arena as Rochdale AFC face off against Oxford United FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Rochdale AFC and Oxford United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
6' The referee has no hesitation. Matt Done is booked for Rochdale AFC — Yellow card on 6.
11' It is a cagey affair so far. Rochdale AFC in their trying to find a way past Oxford United FC's compact .
12' Brilliant from the forward! Daniel Agyei makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 12.
17' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
22' A stunning finish from Matt Done — that came from absolutely nowhere!
27' Haydon Roberts has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 344 appearances.
30' Goal! Stephen Humphrys scores his 53 goal in 51 matches.
35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Karl Robinson will be considering his options from the bench.
45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Rochdale AFC and Oxford United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
46' The Oxford United FC bench stirs into life. Jamie Hanson is withdrawn and James Henry gets his opportunity.
48' A moment of madness from Oliver Rathbone on 48 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Rochdale AFC will be frustrated.
49' Elliott Moore makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Oxford United FC are in front.
54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Oxford United FC that had 377 games and scored 503 goals.
59' Rochdale AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alex Newby is hanging Kwadwo Baah on the field on 59 minute.
60' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Cameron Brannagan.
62' A goal from the England international James Henry! He fires home on 62 to make it 2-3!
64' Matthew Lund has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 64 minutes.
68' Anthony Forde has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel Agyei on 68 minute.
73' England international Robert Atkinson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
77' The referee shows Rochdale AFC player a Yellow card on 77.
82' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
87' Josh Ruffels has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
With this win, Oxford United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Rochdale AFC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Brian Barry-Murphy

Oxford United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

28
Liam Kelly
11
Sam Winnall ↑ 68'
25
Olamide Shodipo ↑ 68'
14
Anthony Forde ↑ 68'
1
Simon Eastwood
17
James Henry ↑ 46'
7
Robert Hall

Coach Karl Robinson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Elliott Moore	3
James Henry	2
Marcus Browne	2
Olamide Shodipo	2
Matthew Lund	2
Jamie Mackie	1
Daniel Agyei	1
Matt Done	1

Head to Head

Rochdale AFC Form

2021-01-26 Rochdale AFC 3–4 Oxford United FC L 2021-01-23 Gillingham FC 2–2 Rochdale AFC D 2021-01-19 Doncaster Rovers FC 1–0 Rochdale AFC L 2021-01-16 Rochdale AFC 3–3 Wigan Athletic FC D 2021-01-12 Charlton Athletic FC 4–4 Rochdale AFC D 2021-01-09 Rochdale AFC 3–3 Crewe Alexandra FC D

Oxford United FC Form

2021-01-26 Rochdale AFC 3–4 Oxford United FC W 2021-01-23 Oxford United FC 2–0 Bristol Rovers FC W 2021-01-02 Burton Albion FC 1–5 Oxford United FC W 2020-12-29 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Oxford United FC W 2020-12-26 Oxford United FC 2–0 AFC Wimbledon W 2020-12-15 Oxford United FC 4–0 Northampton Town FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.71 Rochdale AFC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.29 Oxford United FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Rochdale AFC28% Draw22% Oxford United FC50%

Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	56%	44%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

Rochdale AFC or Draw

50%

Draw or Oxford United FC

72%

Rochdale AFC or Oxford United FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Rochdale AFC24% Draw37% Oxford United FC39%

Actual: Rochdale AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

1 – 2

1 – 1

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 3

2 – 1

2 – 3

5.1%

0 – 2

4.9%

0 – 1

3.8%

3 – 2

3.8%

0 – 3

3.7%

1 – 4

3.5%

3 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Rochdale AFC

Handicap	Rochdale AFC covers	Push	Oxford United FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	8%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	14%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	50%	—	50%
+1	50%	19%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	15%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Rochdale AFC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.