Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rochdale AFC vs Milton Keynes Dons FC, League One 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2019-20
Tue 22 Oct 2019 · 18:45 UTC Crown Oil Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 31' Alex Gilbey
Jay Lynch 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Rochdale AFC vs Milton Keynes Dons FCLeague One at Crown Oil Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Rob Lewis
  • Referee Wade Smith
  • Referee Graeme Fyvie
  • Referee Peter Gooch

Head-to-Head

2
2
Rochdale AFC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Milton Keynes Dons FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Milton Keynes Dons FC H 2–0 W
19 Oct Bolton Wanderers FC A 3–1 W
12 Oct Accrington Stanley FC H 2–1 W
05 Oct AFC Wimbledon A 2–3 L
28 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC H 0–3 L
21 Sep Fleetwood Town FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Rochdale AFC A 0–2 L
19 Oct Coventry City FC H 0–0 D
12 Oct Bristol Rovers FC A 0–1 L
05 Oct Burton Albion FC H 0–3 L
28 Sep Sunderland AFC A 1–2 L
21 Sep Southend United FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Crown Oil Arena that hosts another battle between Rochdale AFC and Milton Keynes Dons FC.
  • 3' Against the run of play, Callum Camps has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 8' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Rochdale AFC and Milton Keynes Dons FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 13' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 13 minutes.
  • 18' The travelling Milton Keynes Dons FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 31' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alex Gilbey on 31.
  • 36' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 41' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' Another substitution for Milton Keynes Dons FC to replace Jordan Bowery by Ben Reeves on 46 minute.
  • 51' Rochdale AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 54' A tactical swap from Milton Keynes Dons FCKieran Agard on, David Kasumu off on 54 minutes.
  • 59' Jimmy Keohane is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Milton Keynes Dons FC so far.
  • 60' What a strike from Ian Henderson! The score is 2-0.
  • 62' The Milton Keynes Dons FC manager makes a substitution. Brennan Dickenson departs to be replaced by Hiram Boateng.
  • 64' The referee calls foul for Hiram Boateng. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 65' Another substitution for Rochdale AFC to replace Matt Done by Fabio Tavares on 65 minute.
  • 70' Rhys Norrington-Davies has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 75' Alex Gilbey has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 177 appearances.
  • 76' The whistle greets Jordan Williams as he departs to be replaced by Aaron Wilbraham.
  • 81' A moment of madness from Jay Lynch on 81 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Rochdale AFC will be frustrated.
  • 82' Rochdale AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Calvin Andrew is hanging Ian Henderson on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • The final score is 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56 Rochdale AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73 Milton Keynes Dons FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rochdale AFC57% Draw26% Milton Keynes Dons FC17%
Actual: Rochdale AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Rochdale AFC or Draw
83%
Draw or Milton Keynes Dons FC
43%
Rochdale AFC or Milton Keynes Dons FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rochdale AFC38% Draw49% Milton Keynes Dons FC13%
Actual: Rochdale AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Rochdale AFC

Handicap Rochdale AFC covers Push Milton Keynes Dons FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 26% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Rochdale AFC keeps clean sheet
48%
Milton Keynes Dons FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.