Saturday , 17 October 2026

Real Madrid CF vs RB Leipzig, Champions League 2026-27 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Oct AS Roma A 4–3 W
10 Oct Villarreal CF H 1–0 W
20 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–2 L
15 Sep Elche CF A 3–2 W
12 Sep Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 4–1 W
08 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Oct PSV H 1–0 W
10 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt H 6–0 W
20 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
13 Sep Hamburger SV H 5–0 W
10 Sep Como 1907 A 1–4 L
05 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 1–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 2 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

H2H

Predictions

1.75 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 56%

Match Result

Real Madrid CF56% Draw25% RB Leipzig19%

Both Teams to Score

Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.66

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
81%
Draw or RB Leipzig
44%
Real Madrid CF or RB Leipzig
75%

Half-Time Result

Real Madrid CF39% Draw46% RB Leipzig15%

Correct Score

1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.9%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 24% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
41%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.