Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs RB Leipzig, Champions League 2023-24 LAST 16

UEFA Champions League · 2023-24
Real Madrid CF
1 – 1
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Wed 6 Mar 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
Vinicius Junior 65' 1–0
1–1 69' Willi Orban
Y 20' Xaver Schlager
Y 50' David Raum
Vinicius Junior 54' Y
Y 71' Willi Orban
Aurelien Tchouameni 73' Y
Toni Kroos 75' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs RB Leipzig — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
11 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 14
13 Juventus FC 8 13
14 Club Atletico de Madrid 8 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 10
22 Qarabag Agdam FK 8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 9
26 Paphos FC 8 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 9
28 PSV 8 8
29 Athletic Club 8 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 8
31 FC København 8 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 1
36 FK Kairat 8 1

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Real Madrid CF 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2024-03-06 Real Madrid CF 1–1 RB Leipzig 2024-02-13 RB Leipzig 0–1 Real Madrid CF 2022-10-25 RB Leipzig 3–2 Real Madrid CF 2022-09-14 Real Madrid CF 2–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
02 Mar Valencia CF A 2–2 D
25 Feb Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–1 D
13 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–0 W
10 Feb Girona FC H 4–0 W
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–1 D
02 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
24 Feb FC Bayern München A 1–2 L
17 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach H 2–0 W
13 Feb Real Madrid CF H 0–1 L
10 Feb FC Augsburg A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Santiago Bernabeu will turn into a battlefield for Real Madrid CF and RB Leipzig.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Poor challenge from Xaver Schlager. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' Eduardo Camavinga has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 40' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-2-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' Eduardo Camavinga makes way for Rodrygo at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Madrid CF.
  • 50' David Raum picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 54' It’s gonna be a card for Vinicius Junior.
  • 59' RB Leipzig is showing some good football. However, RB Leipzig are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 64' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Eljif Elmas suffering a number of foals already.
  • 65' What composure from Vinicius Junior! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 69' Willi Orban has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 69 minutes.
  • 71' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Willi Orban gets a card.
  • 73' That is a card for Real Madrid CF. Aurelien Tchouameni will be fuming at that decision.
  • 75' Poor challenge from Toni Kroos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 77' RB Leipzig make a change. Lois Openda trudges off to be replaced by Yussuf Poulsen on 77 minutes.
  • 78' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Toni Kroos exits the field as Luka Modric enters on 78.
  • 83' Real Madrid CF currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Jude Bellingham is replaced by Joselu on 85 minute.
  • 90' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Amadou Haidara is replaced by Kevin Kampl on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Vinicius Junior 2
Marco Asensio 1
Federico Valverde 1
Rodrygo 1
Christopher Nkunku 1
Timo Werner 1
Josko Gvardiol 1
Brahim Diaz 1

Head to Head

2024-03-06 Real Madrid CF 1–1 RB Leipzig 2024-02-13 RB Leipzig 0–1 Real Madrid CF 2022-10-25 RB Leipzig 3–2 Real Madrid CF 2022-09-14 Real Madrid CF 2–0 RB Leipzig

Real Madrid CF Form

2024-03-06 Real Madrid CF 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF D 2024-02-25 Real Madrid CF 1–0 Sevilla FC W 2024-02-18 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid CF D 2024-02-13 RB Leipzig 0–1 Real Madrid CF W 2024-02-10 Real Madrid CF 4–0 Girona FC W

RB Leipzig Form

2024-03-06 Real Madrid CF 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2024-03-02 VfL Bochum 1848 1–4 RB Leipzig W 2024-02-24 FC Bayern München 2–1 RB Leipzig L 2024-02-17 RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2024-02-13 RB Leipzig 0–1 Real Madrid CF L 2024-02-10 FC Augsburg 2–2 RB Leipzig D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF46% Draw27% RB Leipzig27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
74%
Draw or RB Leipzig
54%
Real Madrid CF or RB Leipzig
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF31% Draw48% RB Leipzig21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.