Sunday , 16 August 2026

Real Madrid CF vs RB Leipzig, Champions League 2023-24 LAST 16

Wed 6 Mar 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
Vinicius Junior 65' 1–0
1–1 69' Willi Orban

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs RB LeipzigChampions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
10 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 10.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
02 Mar Valencia CF A 2–2 D
25 Feb Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–1 D
13 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–0 W
10 Feb Girona FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–1 D
02 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
24 Feb FC Bayern München A 1–2 L
17 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach H 2–0 W
13 Feb Real Madrid CF H 0–1 L
10 Feb FC Augsburg A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 15 G 1 A
Vinicius Junior 5 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Real Madrid CF host RB Leipzig — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andriy Lunin suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Real Madrid CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' Xaver Schlager is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
  • 25' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 30' Lois Openda, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' It’s high time Marco Rose made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 45' A quiet spell here at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. Real Madrid CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 46' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Eduardo Camavinga exits the field as Rodrygo enters on 46.
  • 50' David Raum was booked on 50.
  • 54' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Vinicius Junior.
  • 59' The travelling RB Leipzig supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 64' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past RB Leipzig's compact 4-2-2-2.
  • 65' Vinicius Junior makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
  • 69' Willi Orban doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 71' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 73' Aurelien Tchouameni is having his name booked by the referee on 73.
  • 75' It’s gonna be a card for Toni Kroos.
  • 77' Yussuf Poulsen gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Lois Openda and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Toni Kroos as he leaves the pitch. Luka Modric steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 83' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
  • 85' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CFJoselu on, Jude Bellingham off on 85 minutes.
  • 90' The whistle greets Amadou Haidara as he departs to be replaced by Kevin Kampl.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF46% Draw27% RB Leipzig27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
74%
Draw or RB Leipzig
54%
Real Madrid CF or RB Leipzig
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF31% Draw48% RB Leipzig21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
33%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.