Saturday , 14 November 2026

Real Madrid CF vs RB Leipzig, Champions League 2023-24 LAST 16

Wed 6 Mar 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
Vinicius Junior 65' 1–0
1–1 69' Willi Orban

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs RB Leipzig — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
9 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 9.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
02 Mar Valencia CF A 2–2 D
25 Feb Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–1 D
13 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–0 W
10 Feb Girona FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–1 D
02 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
24 Feb FC Bayern München A 1–2 L
17 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach H 2–0 W
13 Feb Real Madrid CF H 0–1 L
10 Feb FC Augsburg A 2–2 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
25% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/–
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 4 G 1 A
Federico Valverde 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 4-2-2-2 shape.
  • 10' RB Leipzig seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Dani Olmo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Xaver Schlager catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 20.
  • 25' Eduardo Camavinga needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 45' Jude Bellingham is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Real Madrid CF so far.
  • 46' Rodrygo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eduardo Camavinga on 46 minute.
  • 50' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 50.
  • 54' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a card on 54.
  • 59' RB Leipzig come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 64' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and RB Leipzig are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 65' Vinicius Junior doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 69' GOAL! Willi Orban fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 71' Willi Orban has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
  • 73' Controversy at the stadium! Aurelien Tchouameni argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 75' Toni Kroos was booked on 75.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Lois Openda as he leaves the pitch. Yussuf Poulsen steps in for RB Leipzig.
  • 78' Luka Modric is replacing Toni Kroos for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 83' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Jude Bellingham is replaced by Joselu on 85 minute.
  • 90' Kevin Kampl has so much to prove this time. He replaces Amadou Haidara on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF46% Draw27% RB Leipzig27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
74%
Draw or RB Leipzig
54%
Real Madrid CF or RB Leipzig
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF31% Draw48% RB Leipzig21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.