Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern Munchen, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern Munchen — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern Munchen 8 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Oliver
- Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
- Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
22 games this season
🟨 3.5/game
⚽ 12.1 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern Munchen | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | FC Bayern Munchen | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Elche CF | H | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Mar | Manchester City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Mar | Atalanta BC | A | 6–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | FC Bayern Munchen | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 15 | Points | 21 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 1 |
| 21 | Scored | 22 |
| 12 | Conceded | 8 |
| +9 | GD | +14 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 2.63 |
| 63% | Win % | 88% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season
FC Bayern Munchen this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
FC Bayern Munchen
| Harry Kane | 4 G | 3 A |
| Michael Olise | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alphonso Davies | 2 G | |
| Jamal Musiala | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Real Madrid CF welcome FC Bayern Munchen for this crunch clash at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern Munchen backline.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Bayern Munchen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' FC Bayern Munchen is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern Munchen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' Thiago Pitarch, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 37' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 37.
- 41' What a moment for Luis Diaz! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
- 46' Harry Kane is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 22 goals this season for the .
- 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern Munchen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 61' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past FC Bayern Munchen's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 62' Eder Militao has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dean Huijsen on 62 minute.
- 67' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 69' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 69 minute. Serge Gnabry leaves to be changed by Jamal Musiala.
- 70' It’s a booking for FC Bayern Munchen player. Jonathan Tah gets a card.
- 71' The crowd applauds Arda Guler as he leaves the pitch. Brahim Diaz steps in for Real Madrid CF.
- 74' Kylian Mbappe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 23 goals this season for the .
- 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luis Diaz on 77.
- 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Manuel Neuer on 82.
- 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jamal Musiala on 86 minutes.
- 90' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Luis Diaz is replaced by Tom Bischof on 90 minute.
- It finishes all square. Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern Munchen share the spoils 1-2.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 12
- 22
- 10
- 14
- 13
- 8
- 7
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Brahim Diaz 71'
- 18
-
24
Dean Huijsen ↓ Eder Militao 62'
- 45
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 71'
- 4
- 19
- 2
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 62'
- 6
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↑ 62'
- 20
- 26
- 16
- 17
- 30
Coach
Arbeloa
FC Bayern Munchen Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Jamal Musiala 69'
- 1
- 6
- 4
- 2
-
27
Konrad Laimer ↓ Alphonso Davies 69'
-
14
Luis Diaz ↓ Tom Bischof 90'
- 17
- 44
- 45
Bench
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 90'
- 22
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 69'
- 21
-
10
Jamal Musiala ↑ 69'
- 3
- 40
-
20
Tom Bischof ↑ 90'
- 11
- 42
- 38
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Joselu | 2 |
| Luis Diaz | 2 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
FC Bayern Munchen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05
FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for:
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern Munchen 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern Munchen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
63%
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern Munchen
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
7%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | FC Bayern Munchen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 18% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

