Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern Munchen, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern Munchen — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern Munchen 8 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Oliver
- Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
- Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
16 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 13.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern Munchen | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | FC Bayern Munchen | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Elche CF | H | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Mar | Manchester City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Mar | Atalanta BC | A | 6–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | FC Bayern Munchen | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 15 | Points | 21 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 1 |
| 21 | Scored | 22 |
| 12 | Conceded | 8 |
| +9 | GD | +14 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 2.63 |
| 63% | Win % | 88% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season
FC Bayern Munchen this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 G |
| Federico Valverde | 1 G |
FC Bayern Munchen
| Michael Olise | 2 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 1 G | 1 A |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 G | |
| Jamal Musiala | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FC Bayern Munchen get us underway at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- 5' FC Bayern Munchen has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' The travelling FC Bayern Munchen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' FC Bayern Munchen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Michael Olise made 380 appearances and scored 50 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 37' The referee has no hesitation. Aurelien Tchouameni is booked for Real Madrid CF — card on 37.
- 41' Against the run of play, Luis Diaz has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 46' What a strike from Harry Kane! The score is 0-2.
- 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 61' A quiet spell here at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. FC Bayern Munchen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 62' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Dean Huijsen is replaced by Eder Militao.
- 67' It’s high time Vincent Kompany made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 69' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Serge Gnabry by Jamal Musiala on 69 minute.
- 70' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a card on 70.
- 71' The crowd applauds Arda Guler as he leaves the pitch. Brahim Diaz steps in for Real Madrid CF.
- 74' Brilliant from the ! Kylian Mbappe makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 74.
- 77' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
- 82' FC Bayern Munchen receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
- 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jamal Musiala on 86.
- 90' Tom Bischof is replacing Luis Diaz for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
- Full Time. FC Bayern Munchen beats Real Madrid CF
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 12
- 22
- 10
- 14
- 13
- 8
- 7
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Brahim Diaz 71'
- 18
-
24
Dean Huijsen ↓ Eder Militao 62'
- 45
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 71'
- 4
- 19
- 2
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 62'
- 6
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↑ 62'
- 20
- 26
- 16
- 17
- 30
Coach
Arbeloa
FC Bayern Munchen Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Jamal Musiala 69'
- 1
- 6
- 4
- 2
-
27
Konrad Laimer ↓ Alphonso Davies 69'
-
14
Luis Diaz ↓ Tom Bischof 90'
- 17
- 44
- 45
Bench
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 90'
- 22
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 69'
- 21
-
10
Jamal Musiala ↑ 69'
- 3
- 40
-
20
Tom Bischof ↑ 90'
- 11
- 42
- 38
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Joselu | 2 |
| Luis Diaz | 2 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
FC Bayern Munchen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05
FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for:
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern Munchen 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern Munchen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
63%
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern Munchen
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
7%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | FC Bayern Munchen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 18% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.