Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern Munchen, Champions League 2023-24 SEMI FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern Munchen — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern Munchen 8 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Szymon Marciniak
- Assistant 1 Tomasz Listkiewicz
- Assistant 2
9 games this season
🟨 2.9/game
⚽ 7.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern Munchen | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | FC Bayern Munchen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | Cadiz CF | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Apr | FC Bayern Munchen | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | Real Sociedad de Futbol | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | FC Barcelona | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Apr | Manchester City FC | A | 5–4 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | FC Bayern Munchen | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 15 | Points | 21 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 1 |
| 21 | Scored | 22 |
| 12 | Conceded | 8 |
| +9 | GD | +14 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 2.63 |
| 63% | Win % | 88% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season
FC Bayern Munchen this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 G |
| Federico Valverde | 1 G |
FC Bayern Munchen
| Michael Olise | 2 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 1 G | 1 A |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 G | |
| Jamal Musiala | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern München's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 27' Alphonso Davies is ready to make an impact after coming on for Serge Gnabry at the 27 minute mark.
- 32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 37' Nacho has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 42' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 47' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 52' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 57' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 62' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 67' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
- 68' The Canada Alphonso Davies breaks the deadlock on 68 minutes. 0-1!
- 69' Eduardo Camavinga gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Aurelien Tchouameni and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 76' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Leroy Sane trudges off to be replaced by Min-Jae Kim on 76 minutes.
- 81' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Brahim Diaz comes on to replace Rodrygo.
- 85' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Jamal Musiala is replaced by Thomas Muller on 85 minute.
- 88' The Spain Joselu breaks the deadlock on 88 minutes. 1-1!
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Thomas Tuchel is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — card on 90.
- 90' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Jude Bellingham by Eder Militao on 90 minute.
- Full Time. Real Madrid CF beats FC Bayern München
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
- 23
- 18
- 13
-
8
Toni Kroos ↓ Luka Modric 69'
- 6
-
15
Federico Valverde ↓ Joselu 81'
- 7
- 2
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Brahim Diaz 81'
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Eder Militao 90'
Bench
- 25
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 81'
-
14
Joselu ↑ 81'
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 69'
- 17
- 19
- 1
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 90'
-
12
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 69'
- 24
- 20
- 30
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
FC Bayern Munchen Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Leroy Sane ↓ Min-Jae Kim 76'
- 15
- 9
- 4
- 40
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Alphonso Davies 27'
- 1
- 6
- 27
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 85'
- 45
Bench
-
13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↑ 85'
- 26
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 85'
- 8
- 2
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 27'
- 18
- 39
-
3
Min-Jae Kim ↑ 76'
- 17
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Joselu | 2 |
| Luis Diaz | 2 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
FC Bayern Munchen Form
2024-05-08
Real Madrid CF
2–1
FC Bayern Munchen
L
2024-05-04
VfB Stuttgart
3–1
FC Bayern Munchen
L
2024-04-30
FC Bayern Munchen
2–2
Real Madrid CF
D
2024-04-27
FC Bayern Munchen
2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2024-04-20
1. FC Union Berlin
1–5
FC Bayern Munchen
W
2024-04-17
FC Bayern Munchen
1–0
Arsenal FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.17
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
48%
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern Munchen
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | FC Bayern Munchen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

