Sunday , 16 August 2026

Real Madrid CF vs FC Barcelona, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 78,192 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 54' Robert Lewandowski
0–2 56' Robert Lewandowski
0–3 77' Lamine Yamal
0–4 85' Raphinha

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs FC BarcelonaLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 2.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct FC Barcelona H 0–4 L
22 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 5–2 W
19 Oct RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W
05 Oct Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
02 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
29 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Real Madrid CF A 4–0 W
23 Oct FC Bayern München H 4–1 W
20 Oct Sevilla FC H 5–1 W
06 Oct Deportivo Alavés A 3–0 W
01 Oct BSC Young Boys H 5–0 W
28 Sep CA Osasuna A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF FC Barcelona
#10 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 10th (0 pts). FC Barcelona are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Estadio Santiago Bernabeu that hosts another battle between Real Madrid CF and FC Barcelona.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' FC Barcelona fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lamine Yamal suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' Pedri, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. FC Barcelona seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 44' It’s a booking for FC Barcelona player. Marc Casado gets a card.
  • 46' Time for substitution for FC Barcelona. Fermin Lopez is replaced by Frenkie de Jong.
  • 51' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 54' Robert Lewandowski has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 54 minutes.
  • 56' GOAL! Robert Lewandowski scores on 56. Assisted by Alex Balde
  • 61' Ferland Mendy is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Barcelona so far.
  • 63' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Luka Modric comes on to replace Aurelien Tchouameni.
  • 65' Another substitution for FC Barcelona to replace Marc Casado by Dani Olmo on 65 minute.
  • 69' The referee shows FC Barcelona player a card on 69.
  • 74' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 75' The referee has no hesitation. Inigo Martinez is booked for FC Barcelona — card on 75.
  • 77' Against the run of play, Lamine Yamal has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CFBrahim Diaz on, Eduardo Camavinga off on 77 minutes.
  • 80' Poor challenge from Vinicius Junior. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Inaki Pena on 82 minutes.
  • 85' A goal from the Brazil international Raphinha! He fires home on 85 to make it 0-4!
  • 86' Fran Garcia gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Ferland Mendy and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Eder Militao.
  • 87' The whistle greets Pedri as he departs to be replaced by Pablo Gavira.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Pablo Gavira on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Barcelona will be frustrated.
  • The final score is 0-4.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.86 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 FC Barcelona xG
I would bet for: FC Barcelona or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF28% Draw31% FC Barcelona41%
Actual: FC Barcelona win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
59%
Draw or FC Barcelona
72%
Real Madrid CF or FC Barcelona
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF17% Draw52% FC Barcelona31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
0 – 0
14%
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 1
13.8%
0 – 2
9.3%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
2 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push FC Barcelona covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 15% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 24% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
28%
FC Barcelona keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.