Thursday , 2 July 2026

RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Abanca-Balaidos 24,445 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Kylian Mbappe
Williot Swedberg 51' 1–1
1–2 66' Vinicius Junior

Overview

Match Preview

RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio Abanca-Balaidos.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jose Naranjo Perez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Marcos Cerdan Aguilar
12 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 5.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
05 Oct UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W
29 Sep Girona FC H 1–1 D
26 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid H 0–1 L
22 Sep Athletic Club A 1–3 L
15 Sep Real Valladolid CF H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W
05 Oct Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
02 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
29 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–1 D
24 Sep Deportivo Alaves H 3–2 W
21 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 4–1 W

Season Stats

RC Celta de Vigo Real Madrid CF
#6 Position #2
54 Points 86
38 Played 38
14 / 12 / 12 W / D / L 27 / 5 / 6
53 Scored 77
48 Conceded 35
+5 GD +42
1.42 PPG 2.26
37% Win % 71%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RC Celta de Vigo are 6th (54 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! RC Celta de Vigo welcome Real Madrid CF for this crunch clash at Estadio Abanca-Balaidos.
  • 5' The 22-year-old Williot Swedberg has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. RC Celta de Vigo in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 19' A meaty challenge results in booking for Carlo Ancelotti on 19.
  • 20' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kylian Mbappe makes it 0-1.
  • 25' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Eduardo Camavinga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Estadio Abanca-Balaidos. RC Celta de Vigo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 50' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Javier Manquillo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 51' The deadlock is broken! Williot Swedberg gets on the scoresheet on 51 minutes.
  • 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 61' Lucas Vazquez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 63' Real Madrid CF make a change. Eduardo Camavinga trudges off to be replaced by Rodrygo on 63 minutes.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Luka Modric. He replaces Federico Valverde on 64 minute.
  • 66' Real Madrid CF is taking the lead after the goal scored by Vinicius Junior on 66.
  • 71' RC Celta de Vigo have won 375 goals from 320 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 72' Javi Rodriguez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Javier Manquillo at the 72 minute mark.
  • 75' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lucas Vazquez.
  • 78' A change in the RC Celta de Vigo ranks — Jonathan Bamba exits the field as Pablo Duran enters on 78.
  • 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Hugo Sotelo on 82 minutes.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Kylian Mbappe as he leaves the pitch. Dani Ceballos steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 87' The RC Celta de Vigo bench stirs into life. Fran Beltran is withdrawn and Damian Rodriguez gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Marcos Alonso picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Real Madrid CF players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.97 RC Celta de Vigo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
RC Celta de Vigo21% Draw25% Real Madrid CF54%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

RC Celta de Vigo or Draw
46%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
79%
RC Celta de Vigo or Real Madrid CF
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RC Celta de Vigo16% Draw45% Real Madrid CF39%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 1
10.4%
0 – 2
10%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8%
0 – 3
6%
1 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 3
2.9%
2 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — RC Celta de Vigo

Handicap RC Celta de Vigo covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 44% 56%
+1 44% 23% 33%
+1.5 67% 33%
+2 67% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

RC Celta de Vigo keeps clean sheet
17%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.