Sunday , 16 August 2026

Lille OSC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 2 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Stade Pierre Mauroy 48,205 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonathan David pen 45+3' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs Real Madrid CFChampions League at Stade Pierre Mauroy.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Assistant 1 Daniele Bindoni
  • Assistant 2 Alberto Tegoni
11 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
Lille OSC 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Real Madrid CF H 1–0 W
28 Sep Le Havre AC A 3–0 W
21 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace H 3–3 D
17 Sep Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L
13 Sep AS Saint-Étienne A 0–1 L
01 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
29 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–1 D
24 Sep Deportivo Alavés H 3–2 W
21 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 4–1 W
17 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 3–1 W
14 Sep Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 2–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 15 G 1 A
Vinicius Junior 5 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Lille OSC and Real Madrid CF is underway.
  • 5' Lille OSC is showing some good football. However, Lille OSC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' Real Madrid CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' Alexsandro Ribeiro is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Real Madrid CF so far.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Eduardo Camavinga made 422 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' It’s a booking for Real Madrid CF player. Endrick gets a card.
  • 46' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 46 minute. Ferland Mendy leaves to be changed by Fran Garcia.
  • 48' A stunning finish from Jonathan David — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 57' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Endrick by Luka Modric on 57 minute.
  • 59' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 64' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 67' Arda Guler is replacing Eduardo Camavinga for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 72' The crowd applauds Remy Cabella as he leaves the pitch. Osame Sahraoui steps in for Lille OSC.
  • 77' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Lille OSC and Real Madrid CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 78' That is a card for Real Madrid CF. Jude Bellingham will be fuming at that decision.
  • 79' Antonio Rudiger catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
  • 81' Luka Modric has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 81.
  • 86' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Lille OSC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 88' Mitchel Bakker makes way for Thomas Meunier at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Lille OSC.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Jonathan David. He receives a card.
  • Another three points for Lille OSC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Lille OSC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC44% Draw30% Real Madrid CF26%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
74%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
56%
Lille OSC or Real Madrid CF
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lille OSC29% Draw52% Real Madrid CF19%
Actual: Lille OSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
41%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.