Thursday , 2 July 2026

Lille OSC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 2 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Stade Pierre Mauroy 48,205 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonathan David pen 45+3' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs Real Madrid CFChampions League at Stade Pierre Mauroy.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Assistant 1 Daniele Bindoni
  • Assistant 2 Alberto Tegoni
14 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
Lille OSC 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Real Madrid CF H 1–0 W
28 Sep Le Havre AC A 3–0 W
21 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace H 3–3 D
17 Sep Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L
13 Sep AS Saint-Étienne A 0–1 L
01 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
29 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–1 D
24 Sep Deportivo Alaves H 3–2 W
21 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 4–1 W
17 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 3–1 W
14 Sep Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 2–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Lille OSC and Real Madrid CF is underway.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Lille OSC that had 466 games and scored 483 goals.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kylian Mbappe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 40' It looks surprising Lille OSC does not make any changes. Luka Modric has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 46.
  • 46' Fran Garcia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ferland Mendy on 46 minute.
  • 48' Jonathan David puts Lille OSC on the lead.
  • 53' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 57' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Endrick is replaced by Luka Modric on 57 minute.
  • 59' That looks like a foul for a card for Eduardo Camavinga.
  • 64' It looks like no one’s ball. Lille OSC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 67' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Eduardo Camavinga by Arda Guler on 67 minute.
  • 72' Osame Sahraoui has so much to prove this time. He replaces Remy Cabella on 72 minute.
  • 77' Lille OSC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 78' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 78.
  • 79' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 81' Luka Modric was booked on 81.
  • 86' Real Madrid CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 86.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Lille OSC. Mitchel Bakker is replaced by Thomas Meunier.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Jonathan David. He receives a card.
  • Another three points for Lille OSC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Lille OSC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC44% Draw30% Real Madrid CF26%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
74%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
56%
Lille OSC or Real Madrid CF
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lille OSC29% Draw52% Real Madrid CF19%
Actual: Lille OSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
41%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.