Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs FC Barcelona, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 21 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
Vinicius Junior pen 18' 1–1
1–2 69' Fermin Lopez
Lucas Vazquez 73' 2–2
Jude Bellingham 90+1' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs FC BarcelonaLa Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Pau Cebrian
  • Assistant 2 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–2 W
17 Apr Manchester City FC A 5–4 W
13 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–0 W
09 Apr Manchester City FC H 3–3 D
31 Mar Athletic Club H 2–0 W
16 Mar CA Osasuna A 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–3 L
16 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–4 L
13 Apr Cadiz CF A 1–0 W
10 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 3–2 W
30 Mar UD Las Palmas H 1–0 W
17 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF FC Barcelona
#2 Position #1
86 Points 94
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 31 / 1 / 6
77 Scored 95
35 Conceded 36
+42 GD +59
2.26 PPG 2.47
71% Win % 82%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). FC Barcelona are 1st (94 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Santiago Bernabeu. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 6' Andreas Christensen is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 11' Toni Kroos is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Barcelona tonight.
  • 16' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and FC Barcelona are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 18' Vinicius Junior is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
  • 23' The 35-year-old Ilkay Gundogan has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Raphinha suffering a number of foals already.
  • 33' Eduardo Camavinga is having his name booked by the referee on 33.
  • 38' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 45' The crowd applauds Frenkie de Jong as he leaves the pitch. Pedri steps in for FC Barcelona.
  • 46' Fermin Lopez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andreas Christensen at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 61' Fermin Lopez, a Spain central midfielder, has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 64' Another substitution for FC Barcelona to replace Robert Lewandowski by Joao Felix on 64 minute.
  • 69' GOAL! Fermin Lopez scores on 69.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CFFran Garcia on, Eduardo Camavinga off on 71 minutes.
  • 72' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CFBrahim Diaz on, Toni Kroos off on 72 minutes.
  • 73' Lucas Vazquez adds to his 0 season tally! Real Madrid CF lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 74' Rodrygo makes way for Eder Militao at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Madrid CF.
  • 75' A moment of madness from Jules Kounde on 75 minutes earns him a card. FC Barcelona will be frustrated.
  • 80' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 80 minutes.
  • 82' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Vinicius Junior exits the field as Joselu enters on 82.
  • 83' The referee has no hesitation. Luka Modric is booked for Real Madrid CF — card on 83.
  • 88' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Pau Cubarsi is booked for FC Barcelona — card on 90.
  • The points are shared — Real Madrid CF 3-2 FC Barcelona. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.86 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 FC Barcelona xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF or FC Barcelona 77% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF44% Draw23% FC Barcelona33%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
67%
Draw or FC Barcelona
56%
Real Madrid CF or FC Barcelona
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF30% Draw40% FC Barcelona30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 2
4.3%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 1
4%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push FC Barcelona covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 18% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 17% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
17%
FC Barcelona keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.