Real Madrid CF vs Borussia Dortmund, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Borussia Dortmund — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Borussia Dortmund 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Istvan Kovacs
- Assistant 1 Mihai Marica
- Assistant 2 George Neacsu (Romania)
7 games this season
🟨 6.3/game
⚽ 22.4 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | Borussia Dortmund | H | 5–2 | W |
| 19 Oct | RC Celta de Vigo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | Villarreal CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Lille OSC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | Club Atlético de Madrid | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Sep | Deportivo Alavés | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–5 | L |
| 18 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | Celtic FC | H | 7–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 4–2 | W |
| 22 Sep | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #17 |
| 15 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 3 |
| 21 | Scored | 19 |
| 12 | Conceded | 17 |
| +9 | GD | +2 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 63% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 17th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/2
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
Borussia Dortmund
| Sehrou Guirassy | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Real Madrid CF welcome Borussia Dortmund for this crunch clash at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' Kylian Mbappe is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Real Madrid CF tonight.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' Vinicius Junior has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 3 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and Borussia Dortmund are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 30' Against the run of play, Donyell Malen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 34' Jamie Bynoe-Gittens has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 34 minutes.
- 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luka Modric, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 11 goals in the last 9 games.
- 49' Federico Valverde has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 4 goals to his name this season.
- 54' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 55' A tactical swap from Borussia Dortmund — Waldemar Anton on, Jamie Bynoe-Gittens off on 55 minutes.
- 60' What a moment for Antonio Rudiger! That strike on 60 puts his side firmly in control.
- 62' What an equalizer from Vinicius Junior!
- 64' The crowd applauds Donyell Malen as he leaves the pitch. Pascal Gross steps in for Borussia Dortmund.
- 69' The energy levels are beginning to show. Nuri Sahin might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 71' Eduardo Camavinga is replacing Luka Modric for the Real Madrid CF side.
- 76' The supporters are chanting for Maximilian Beier. He replaces Felix Kalu Nmecha on 76 minute.
- 81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 83' The deadlock is broken! Lucas Vazquez gets on the scoresheet on 83 minutes.
- 85' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Rodrygo departs to be replaced by Aurelien Tchouameni.
- 86' Vinicius Junior does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
- 87' Vinicius Junior was booked on 87.
- 90' Arda Guler has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jude Bellingham on 90 minute.
- The points are shared — Real Madrid CF 5-2 Borussia Dortmund. Honours even.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 22
-
9
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Dani Ceballos 90'
- 23
-
10
Luka Modric ↓ Eduardo Camavinga 71'
- 17
- 8
- 7
- 1
- 3
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Aurelien Tchouameni 85'
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Arda Guler 90'
Bench
-
14
Aurelien Tchouameni ↑ 85'
- 13
- 18
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↑ 90'
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 71'
-
15
Arda Guler ↑ 90'
- 16
- 20
- 26
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
21
Donyell Malen ↓ Pascal Gross 64'
- 5
- 25
- 10
- 1
- 20
- 9
-
26
Julian Ryerson ↓ Emre Can 76'
- 8
- 4
- 43
Bench
-
13
Pascal Gross ↑ 64'
-
3
Waldemar Anton ↑ 55'
- 33
-
23
Emre Can ↑ 76'
- 46
-
14
Maximilian Beier ↑ 76'
- 35
- 38
- 42
- 39
- 37
Coach
Nuri Sahin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 4 |
| Fran Garcia | 1 |
| Gonzalo Garcia | 1 |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 |
| Donyell Malen | 1 |
| Jamie Bynoe-Gittens | 1 |
| Antonio Rudiger | 1 |
| Lucas Vazquez | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2024-10-22
Real Madrid CF
5–2
Borussia Dortmund
L
2024-10-18
Borussia Dortmund
2–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-10-05
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
Borussia Dortmund
L
2024-10-01
Borussia Dortmund
7–1
Celtic FC
W
2024-09-27
Borussia Dortmund
4–2
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2024-09-22
VfB Stuttgart
5–1
Borussia Dortmund
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.63
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 88% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 3.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 4.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
85%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
30%
Real Madrid CF or Borussia Dortmund
84%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
6.7%
4 – 1
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.4%
4 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
5 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
4 – 0
3.7%
1 – 1
3.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
5 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -2 | 37% | 18% | 45% |
| -1.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| -1 | 55% | 17% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

