Real Madrid CF vs Borussia Dortmund, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

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UEFA Champions League · 2024-25

Real Madrid CF

5 – 2

Full Time

Borussia Dortmund

Tue 22 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 74,642 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 30' Donyell Malen

0–2 34' Jamie Bynoe-Gittens

Antonio Rudiger 60' 1–2

Vinicius Junior 62' 2–2

Lucas Vazquez 83' 3–2

Vinicius Junior 86' 4–2

Vinicius Junior 90+3' 5–2

Vinicius Junior 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Borussia Dortmund — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Borussia Dortmund 8 games · 11 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Istvan Kovacs
Assistant 1 Mihai Marica
Assistant 2 George Neacsu (Romania)

16 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	8	24
2	FC Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool FC	8	18
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	8	17
5	FC Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea FC	8	16
7	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	16
8	Manchester City FC	8	16
9	Real Madrid CF	8	15
10	FC Internazionale Milano	8	15
11	Paris Saint-Germain FC	8	14
12	Newcastle United FC	8	14
13	Juventus FC	8	13
14	Club Atletico de Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta BC	8	13
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	PAE Olympiakos SFP	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray SK	8	10
21	AS Monaco FC	8	10
22	Qarabag Agdam FK	8	10
23	FK Bodø/Glimt	8	9
24	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	8	9
25	Olympique de Marseille	8	9
26	Paphos FC	8	9
27	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	SSC Napoli	8	8
31	FC København	8	8
32	AFC Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	SK Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal CF	8	1
36	FK Kairat	8	1

Head-to-Head

Real Madrid CF 7 games · Avg 3.6 goals Borussia Dortmund

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-22 Real Madrid CF 5–2 Borussia Dortmund 2024-06-01 Borussia Dortmund 0–2 Real Madrid CF 2018-02-03 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Borussia Dortmund 2017-10-17 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Real Madrid CF 2016-01-06 Real Madrid CF 3–2 Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Oct	Borussia Dortmund	H	5–2	W
19 Oct	RC Celta de Vigo	A	2–1	W
05 Oct	Villarreal CF	H	2–0	W
02 Oct	Lille OSC	A	0–1	L
29 Sep	Club Atletico de Madrid	A	1–1	D
24 Sep	Deportivo Alaves	H	3–2	W

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Oct	Real Madrid CF	A	2–5	L
18 Oct	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	2–1	W
05 Oct	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–2	L
01 Oct	Celtic FC	H	7–1	W
27 Sep	VfL Bochum 1848	H	4–2	W
22 Sep	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–5	L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF		Borussia Dortmund
#9	Position	#17
15	Points	11
8	Played	8
5 / 0 / 3	W / D / L	3 / 2 / 3
21	Scored	19
12	Conceded	17
+9	GD	+2
1.88	PPG	1.38
63%	Win %	38%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

20% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 17th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/2

46-60

–/1

61-75

1/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Real Madrid CF and Borussia Dortmund get this one started.
5' Felix Kalu Nmecha has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Real Madrid CF winning 100% of all matches.
15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Nuri Sahin might look to freshen things up shortly.
20' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
25' Real Madrid CF looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Arda Guler scoring 1 goals.
30' GOAL! Donyell Malen scores on 30. Assisted by Sehrou Guirassy
34' The deadlock is broken! Jamie Bynoe-Gittens gets on the scoresheet on 34 minutes.
39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eder Militao, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 5 goals in the last 4 games.
44' It looks surprising Borussia Dortmund does not make any changes. Niklas Sule has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
49' Borussia Dortmund is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
54' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Borussia Dortmund's compact 4-2-3-1.
55' Fresh legs for Borussia Dortmund! Waldemar Anton comes on to replace Jamie Bynoe-Gittens.
60' Antonio Rudiger makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
62' GOAL! Vinicius Junior scores on 62.
64' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Donyell Malen departs to be replaced by Pascal Gross.
69' Real Madrid CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
71' Eduardo Camavinga is replacing Luka Modric for the Real Madrid CF side.
76' Fresh legs for Borussia Dortmund! Maximilian Beier comes on to replace Felix Kalu Nmecha.
81' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
83' Against the run of play, Lucas Vazquez has scored! This game has turned on its head.
85' The crowd applauds Rodrygo as he leaves the pitch. Aurelien Tchouameni steps in for Real Madrid CF.
86' Vinicius Junior doubles the advantage! 4-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Vinicius Junior.
90' The crowd applauds Jude Bellingham as he leaves the pitch. Arda Guler steps in for Real Madrid CF.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

21
Donyell Malen ↓ Pascal Gross 64'
5
Ramy Bensebaini
25
Niklas Sule
10
Julian Brandt
1
Gregor Kobel
20
Marcel Sabitzer
9
Sehrou Guirassy
26
Julian Ryerson ↓ Emre Can 76'
8
Felix Kalu Nmecha ↓ Maximilian Beier 76'
4
Nico Schlotterbeck
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↓ Waldemar Anton 55'

Bench

Coach Nuri Sahin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Vinicius Junior	4
Lucas Vazquez	1
Sehrou Guirassy	1
Maximilian Beier	1
Arda Guler	1
Fran Garcia	1
Gonzalo Garcia	1
Dani Carvajal	1

Head to Head

Real Madrid CF Form

2024-10-22 Real Madrid CF 5–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-10-19 RC Celta de Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid CF W 2024-10-05 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Villarreal CF W 2024-10-02 Lille OSC 1–0 Real Madrid CF L 2024-09-29 Club Atletico de Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid CF D 2024-09-24 Real Madrid CF 3–2 Deportivo Alaves W

Borussia Dortmund Form

2024-10-22 Real Madrid CF 5–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2024-10-18 Borussia Dortmund 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2024-10-05 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 Borussia Dortmund L 2024-10-01 Borussia Dortmund 7–1 Celtic FC W 2024-09-27 Borussia Dortmund 4–2 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-09-22 VfB Stuttgart 5–1 Borussia Dortmund L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

3.63 Real Madrid CF xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.66 Borussia Dortmund xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 88% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF70% Draw16% Borussia Dortmund14%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes78% 0% No22%

Avg goals/match: 5.29

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	96%	4%
± 2.5	88%	12%
± 3.5	75%	25%
± 4.5	58%	42%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw

85%

Draw or Borussia Dortmund

30%

Real Madrid CF or Borussia Dortmund

84%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Real Madrid CF56% Draw29% Borussia Dortmund15%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

3 – 1

6.7%

4 – 1

2 – 1

5.8%

3 – 2

5.4%

4 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

4.6%

5 – 1

4.3%

3 – 0

4.2%

4 – 0

3.7%

1 – 1

3.7%

2 – 0

3.7%

5 – 2

Actual

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap	Real Madrid CF covers	Push	Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5	37%	—	63%
-2	37%	18%	45%
-1.5	55%	—	45%
-1	55%	17%	28%
-0.5	72%	—	28%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	8%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

3% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.