Sunday , 16 August 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Club, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 23 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
Gonzalo Garcia 12' 1–0
Jude Bellingham 41' 2–0
2–1 45+1' Gorka Guruzeta
Kylian Mbappe 51' 3–1
Brahim Diaz 88' 4–1
4–2 90+1' Urko Izeta

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Athletic ClubLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
6 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 2.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Athletic Club H 4–2 W
17 May Sevilla FC A 1–0 W
14 May Real Oviedo H 2–0 W
10 May FC Barcelona A 0–2 L
03 May RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 2–0 W
24 Apr Real Betis Balompié A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Real Madrid CF A 2–4 L
17 May RC Celta de Vigo H 1–1 D
13 May RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 0–2 L
10 May Valencia CF H 0–1 L
02 May Deportivo Alavés A 4–2 W
25 Apr Club Atlético de Madrid A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Athletic Club
#10 Position #18
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 10th (0 pts). Athletic Club are 18th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Real Madrid CF to score. At the same time, Athletic Club does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 3' Thiago Pitarch catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 3.
  • 8' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ernesto Valverde might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 12' The deadlock is broken! Gonzalo Garcia gets on the scoresheet on 12 minutes.
  • 17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yeray Alvarez suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Poor challenge from Jude Bellingham. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' Athletic Club have won 386 goals from 328 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 40' It’s high time Arbeloa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 41' What a strike from Jude Bellingham! The score is 2-0.
  • 46' A stunning finish from Gorka Guruzeta — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 51' Kylian Mbappe doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Athletic Club is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 66' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 71' Supporters expect more eagerness from Federico Valverde, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 13 goals in the last 13 games.
  • 76' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 86' It looks surprising Athletic Club does not make any changes. Thiago Pitarch has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 88' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Brahim Diaz makes no mistake. 4-1!
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Real Madrid CF 4-2 Athletic Club.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.41 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Athletic Club xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF58% Draw27% Athletic Club15%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
85%
Draw or Athletic Club
42%
Real Madrid CF or Athletic Club
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF36% Draw52% Athletic Club12%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
17.1%
0 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
12.3%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
2.7%
0 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Athletic Club covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 17% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 27% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
53%
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.