Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Club, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Club — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
- Athletic Club 38 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
6 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 2.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Athletic Club | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | Sevilla FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 May | Real Oviedo | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 May | FC Barcelona | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 May | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | Real Betis Balompie | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | RC Celta de Vigo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 May | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 May | Valencia CF | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 May | Deportivo Alaves | A | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Apr | Club Atletico de Madrid | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #12 |
| 86 | Points | 45 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 27 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 13 / 6 / 19 |
| 77 | Scored | 43 |
| 35 | Conceded | 58 |
| +42 | GD | -15 |
| 2.26 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 71% | Win % | 34% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Athletic Club gets underway.
- 3' A meaty challenge results in booking for Thiago Pitarch on 3.
- 8' Gorka Guruzeta needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 8 Yellow cards this season.
- 12' GOAL! Gonzalo Garcia scores on 12. Assisted by Dani Carvajal
- 17' Real Madrid CF looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Brahim Diaz scoring 1 goals.
- 20' Jude Bellingham is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kylian Mbappe suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' It looks surprising Athletic Club does not make any changes. Alex Padilla has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yeray Alvarez made 328 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 41' GOAL! Jude Bellingham scores on 41.
- 46' What a strike from Gorka Guruzeta! The score is 2-1.
- 51' What a strike from Kylian Mbappe! The score is 3-1.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Real Madrid CF winning 100% of all matches.
- 61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 71' Athletic Club is showing some good football. However, Athletic Club are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 76' It looks like no one’s ball. Athletic Club is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 81' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 81 minutes.
- 86' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 88' Goal! Brahim Diaz scores his 38 goal in 436 matches.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Athletic Club.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 10
- 4
- 8
- 2
- 1
- 5
- 18
- 16
- 17
- 30
- 45
Bench
- 22
- 21
- 14
- 13
- 19
- 6
- 15
- 20
- 24
Coach
Arbeloa
Athletic Club Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 5
- 3
- 9
- 11
- 23
- 4
- 20
- 27
- 18
- 19
Bench
- 14
- 6
- 2
- 1
- 15
- 12
- 22
- 24
- 21
- 25
- 30
- 40
Coach
Ernesto Valverde
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 10 |
| Rodrygo | 3 |
| Jude Bellingham | 3 |
| Oihan Sancet | 2 |
| Gorka Guruzeta | 2 |
| Toni Kroos | 2 |
| Nacho | 2 |
| Isco | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
Athletic Club Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.73
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Athletic Club xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Real Madrid CF to win 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.74
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
88%
Draw or Athletic Club
30%
Real Madrid CF or Athletic Club
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
6.3%
4 – 1
5.4%
4 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.5%
1 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Athletic Club covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -2 | 32% | 20% | 48% |
| -1.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| -1 | 52% | 20% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.