Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Club, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 23 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
Gonzalo Garcia 12' 1–0
Jude Bellingham 41' 2–0
2–1 45+1' Gorka Guruzeta
Kylian Mbappe 51' 3–1
Brahim Diaz 88' 4–1
4–2 90+1' Urko Izeta

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Club — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
4 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Athletic Club H 4–2 W
17 May Sevilla FC A 1–0 W
14 May Real Oviedo H 2–0 W
10 May FC Barcelona A 0–2 L
03 May RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 2–0 W
24 Apr Real Betis Balompié A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Real Madrid CF A 2–4 L
17 May RC Celta de Vigo H 1–1 D
13 May RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 0–2 L
10 May Valencia CF H 0–1 L
02 May Deportivo Alavés A 4–2 W
25 Apr Club Atlético de Madrid A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Athletic Club
#4 Position #12
15 Points 8
7 Played 6
5 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 2
18 Scored 7
8 Conceded 6
+10 GD +1
2.14 PPG 1.33
71% Win % 33%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
50% Clean Sheets
Athletic Club this season

Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts). Athletic Club are 12th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Athletic Club
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Real Madrid CF is hosting Athletic Club for another epic battle.
  • 3' Thiago Pitarch was booked on 3.
  • 8' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and Athletic Club are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 12' The deadlock is broken! Gonzalo Garcia gets on the scoresheet on 12 minutes.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Athletic Club's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 41' A goal from the England international Jude Bellingham! He fires home on 41 to make it 2-0!
  • 46' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Gorka Guruzeta makes it 2-1.
  • 51' Magnificent from Kylian Mbappe! That is 300 goals in 526 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 61' Unai Gomez, a Spain midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 66' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 66 minutes.
  • 71' Over 71 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 76' Real Madrid CF currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 81' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 86' Franco Mastantuono is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Athletic Club tonight.
  • 88' Brahim Diaz makes no mistake. The score reads 4-1 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
  • Athletic Club will have plenty to reflect on. Real Madrid CF were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.38 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Athletic Club xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Real Madrid CF to win 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF65% Draw20% Athletic Club15%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
85%
Draw or Athletic Club
35%
Real Madrid CF or Athletic Club
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF48% Draw38% Athletic Club14%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 1
8.9%
3 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 0
7%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Athletic Club covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 19% 56%
-1.5 44% — 56%
-1 44% 22% 35%
-0.5 65% — 35%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 9% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.